PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cremona vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 97-64
33-18 20-12 25-20 19-14
Position#3
Record15-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game78.7
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record7-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game92.2
ItalyLega ARound 25
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Cremona v Pesaro
19 Nov 2023
CRE96
PES69
21 Nov 2021
CRE84
PES88
07 Mar 2021
CRE100
PES78
29 Mar 2020
CRE v PES
upcoming
07 Apr 2019
CRE97
PES64
04 Mar 2018
CRE92
PES79
04 Dec 2016
CRE71
PES73
20 Mar 2016
CRE77
PES72
14 Dec 2014
CRE73
PES80
22 Dec 2013
CRE80
PES82
23 Dec 2012
CRE91
PES73
18 Dec 2011
CRE78
PES81
12 Dec 2010
CRE74
PES87
03 Apr 2010
CRE98
PES94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#8
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A03/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H09/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H14/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#4
W
102-91
102
91
+11
A16/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#2
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H17/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#4
W
20-0
20
0
+20
A03/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H10/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A17/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H24/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
80-97
80
97
-17
A31/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
10-19
20-14
18-20
22-18
24-20
15-20
26-12
19-15
25-25
16-12
22-21
21-20
38-24
16-24
27-23
23-18
22-19
17-14
21-23
–
–
–
–
23-26
29-19
17-21
21-14
13-23
22-19
16-18
13-23
16-24
16-12
15-15
29-21
24-35
13-26
19-22
24-14
147.2Avg total
75.0Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.178.7160.8+3.462%
Season at home (12)86.882.2169.1+4.667%
Season away (12)77.375.2152.5+2.258%
Last 10 (10)75.072.2147.2+2.870%
Last 5 (5)66.066.4132.4-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.098.0173.0-23.00%
vs Similar (10)71.471.9143.3-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)90.183.4173.5+6.675%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#13
W
102-98 OT
102
98
+4
H13/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A20/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
80-101
80
101
-21
H26/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
86-89
86
89
-3
H03/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-111
74
111
-37
A10/02
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
86-92
86
92
-6
H03/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
68-105
68
105
-37
A09/03
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H17/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A23/03
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
91-89
91
89
+2
H31/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
15-23
26-18
19-19
30-17
16-29
14-16
21-15
19-31
22-29
23-12
16-29
25-18
28-20
14-21
19-30
18-29
10-30
21-21
25-31
26-17
25-26
17-26
18-23
21-16
8-30
20-29
19-30
22-20
14-20
23-15
13-25
11-22
26-23
10-16
23-17
8-28
32-20
25-23
26-18
173.0Avg total
81.0Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.992.2173.2-11.329%
Season at home (13)86.491.0177.4-4.638%
Season away (11)74.593.7168.2-19.318%
Last 10 (10)81.092.0173.0-11.030%
Last 5 (5)77.488.8166.2-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)80.593.0173.5-12.426%
vs Similar (3)81.375.3156.7+6.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -3.8-3.8
CremonaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#8
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A03/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H09/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H14/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#4
W
59-44
59
44
+15
A16/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H17/02
Italian Cup
Pistoia
#16
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H10/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A17/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H24/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
37-61
37
61
-24
A31/03
Lega A
85.4Avg total
42.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.541.983.4-0.459%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.841.983.7-0.153%-
Last 30 away (14)41.141.983.1-0.864%-
Last 10 (9)42.043.485.4-1.456%-
Last 5 (5)40.244.284.4-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.349.788.0-11.30%-
vs Similar (9)37.739.276.9-1.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.142.186.1+2.069%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#13
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H13/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A20/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
41-60
41
60
-19
H26/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H03/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
28-59
28
59
-31
A10/02
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H03/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A09/03
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H17/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A23/03
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H31/03
Lega A
87.6Avg total
40.2Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.547.386.8-7.823%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.945.987.8-3.931%-
Last 30 away (14)36.749.085.7-12.314%-
Last 10 (10)40.247.487.6-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)38.644.483.0-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)39.148.187.2-8.922%-
vs Similar (3)42.740.783.3+2.033%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.3
50.1%
51.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.1
27.4%
35.1%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.515.3
71.2%
72.3%15.3
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.119.7
46.8%
51.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.96.9
31.5%
35.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws22.116.3
73.8%
72.3%16.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LWLWWWWWWL
Pesaro
WLLLLLLLWW
#3
League position
#15
-1.7
Net rating
-20.3
100.8
Offensive rating
99.5
102.5
Defensive rating
119.9
46.6%
Effective FG%
47.0%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
60.6%
16.6%
Turnover %
18.7%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
27.4%
3-point %
31.5%
49.3%
Assist %
35.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 99.5Defence102.5 · 119.9Shooting46.6% · 47.0%3-point %27.4% · 31.5%Ball care16.6% · 18.7%Off. rebounds29.6% · 31.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Cremona   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Cremona wins
2
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
16/12/18Pesaro v Cremona106-122
04/03/18Cremona v Pesaro92-79
29/10/17Pesaro v Cremona68-79
02/04/17Pesaro v Cremona63-73
04/12/16Cremona v Pesaro71-73
20/03/16Cremona v Pesaro77-72
30/11/15Pesaro v Cremona74-86
04/04/15Pesaro v Cremona74-89
14/12/14Cremona v Pesaro73-80
06/04/14Pesaro v Cremona86-91
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/19ATrieste80-97
24/03/19HOlimpia Milano76-72
17/03/19AVarese64-83
10/03/19HPistoia90-80
03/03/19ASassari20-0
17/02/19HBrindisi83-74
16/02/19AVirtus Bologna102-91
14/02/19HVarese82-73
09/02/19HVirtus Bologna87-70
03/02/19ACantu66-82
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/19HAvellino91-89
23/03/19AVirtus Bologna70-78
17/03/19HCantu72-80
09/03/19ATrieste68-105
03/03/19HBrescia86-92
10/02/19AOlimpia Milano74-111
03/02/19HVenezia86-89
26/01/19HBrindisi80-101
20/01/19APistoia81-77
13/01/19HTorino102-98 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayWLWLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %62%67%58%
Points / game82.186.877.3
Allowed / game78.782.275.2
Point differential+3.4+4.6+2.2
Avg total160.8169.1152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Pesaro
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeLLLLW38%
AwayLWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %29%38%18%
Points / game80.986.474.5
Allowed / game92.291.093.7
Point differential-11.3-4.6-19.3
Avg total173.2177.4168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2519676%86.978.8+8.0
2 Venezia2417771%82.073.8+8.3
3 Cremona2415962%82.178.7+3.4
4 Brindisi24141058%82.279.6+2.6
5 Avellino24141058%80.580.3+0.2
6 Varese25141156%79.075.1+3.9
7 Trento25141156%79.781.3-1.6
8 Trieste24131154%87.583.1+4.4
9 Sassari25131252%85.381.5+3.8
10 Brescia24121250%80.080.4-0.4
11 Virtus Bologna24121250%80.781.5-0.8
12 Cantu24121250%84.187.0-2.9
13 Pesaro2471729%80.992.2-11.3
14 Torino2571828%82.986.9-4.0
15 Reggiana2571828%77.682.8-5.2
16 Pistoia2451921%75.383.8-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona3320251997
Pesaro1812201464
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.