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Cruzeiro vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 19 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 89-81
27-20 26-19 17-25 19-17
Position#14
Record6-15
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game85.9
vs
Position#17
Record5-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game81.4
BrazilNBB
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cruzeiro v Pato
29 Oct 2026
CRUZ76
PATO68
19 Jan 2026
CRUZ89
PATO81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cruzeiro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CruzeiroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCruzeiro
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
89-102
89
102
-13
80avg 72
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
63-78
63
78
-15
50avg 72
A01/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
76-87
76
87
-11
68avg 72
A03/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
89-65
89
65
+24
91avg 72
H16/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
80-93
80
93
-13
74avg 72
H21/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
79-75
79
75
+4
79avg 72
H23/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
77-85
77
85
-8
70avg 72
A27/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
86-78
86
78
+8
80avg 72
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
83-95
83
95
-12
78avg 72
A10/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
91-98
91
98
-7
no box
A15/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-30
34-27
16-23
27-22
15-22
15-29
10-19
23-8
19-32
26-13
13-20
18-22
18-19
22-18
19-14
30-14
21-22
19-21
26-18
14-32
21-17
15-23
23-10
20-25
11-18
24-20
22-21
20-26
19-24
21-12
16-19
30-23
17-23
21-17
27-19
18-36
27-26
22-18
24-22
18-32
166.9Avg total
81.3Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.885.9164.6-7.129%
Season at home (12)80.486.2166.7-5.833%
Season away (9)76.685.3161.9-8.822%
Last 10 (10)81.385.6166.9-4.330%
Last 5 (5)83.286.2169.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.190.5168.5-12.48%
vs Similar ◀ (4)71.883.2155.0-11.525%
vs Weaker (4)88.073.5161.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
L
71-86
71
86
-15
57avg 67
A22/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
67-59
67
59
+8
55avg 67
H06/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
109-101 OT
109
101
+8
103avg 67
A09/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
61-69
61
69
-8
59avg 67
H15/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
71-93
71
93
-22
57avg 67
H18/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
82-67
82
67
+15
77avg 67
H20/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
69-84
69
84
-15
61avg 67
A23/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
67-94
67
94
-27
64avg 67
H29/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
78avg 67
H09/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 67
H12/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-25
19-23
22-20
18-18
20-12
18-17
18-18
11-12
19-22
23-18
25-15
14-26
13-15
15-16
15-17
18-21
19-26
18-24
11-16
23-27
21-20
19-15
22-15
20-17
18-20
18-20
8-19
25-25
18-27
15-25
16-21
18-21
15-26
24-17
15-14
16-13
19-22
17-19
19-22
17-17
157.8Avg total
75.4Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)72.781.4154.1-8.724%
Season at home (11)72.177.8149.9-5.727%
Season away (10)73.485.4158.8-12.020%
Last 10 (10)75.482.4157.8-7.030%
Last 5 (5)75.083.2158.2-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)70.883.8154.7-13.05%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.176.0158.1+6.178%
vs Weaker (1)76.090.0166.0-14.00%
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
CruzeiroPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CruzeiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A01/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A03/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H16/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H21/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H23/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A27/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A15/01
NBB
83.0Avg total
39.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)37.743.881.4-6.124%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.844.482.2-6.717%-
Last 30 away (9)37.642.980.4-5.333%-
Last 10 (10)39.943.183.0-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.679.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.444.981.3-8.58%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)37.045.082.0-8.025%-
vs Weaker (4)42.538.881.2+3.875%-
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A22/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H06/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A09/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H15/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H18/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H20/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A23/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H29/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H09/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H12/01
NBB
76.9Avg total
36.0Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.741.778.4-5.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.639.476.1-2.836%-
Last 30 away (16)36.843.780.5-6.925%-
Last 10 (10)36.040.976.9-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.842.279.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)35.541.877.3-6.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.640.179.7-0.656%-
vs Weaker (1)35.054.089.0-19.00%-
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cruzeirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cruzeiro: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.3
49.6%
52.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.4
37.0%
32.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws22.617.8
78.8%
72.8%17.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.416.0
47.9%
52.2%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.0
32.7%
32.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.913.1
69.3%
72.8%13.1
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cruzeiro
LLWLWLWLLL
Pato
LLLLWLLWWL
#14
League position
#17
-2.1
Net rating
-7.6
106.2
Offensive rating
95.3
108.2
Defensive rating
102.9
52.0%
Effective FG%
48.4%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
17.1%
Turnover %
20.0%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.0%
3-point %
32.7%
69.3%
Assist %
60.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 95.3Defence108.2 · 102.9Shooting52.0% · 48.4%3-point %37.0% · 32.7%Ball care17.1% · 20.0%Off. rebounds25.4% · 28.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Cruzeiro   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cruzeiro wins
0
Pato wins
DateGameScore
29/10/25Pato v Cruzeiro69-71
Cruzeirolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26ASao Jose91-98
10/01/26ACorinthians Paulista83-95
29/12/25ACearense86-78
27/12/25AUnifacisa77-85
23/12/25HVasco79-75
21/12/25HFlamengo80-93
16/12/25HBotafogo89-65
03/12/25AUniao Corinthians76-87
01/12/25ACaxias do Sul63-78
23/11/25HPinheiros89-102
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/26HUniao Corinthians72-80
09/01/26HCaxias do Sul85-91 OT
29/12/25HPinheiros67-94
23/12/25ABrasilia69-84
20/12/25HOsasco82-67
18/12/25HFranca71-93
15/12/25HBauru61-69
09/12/25ARio Claro109-101 OT
06/12/25HPaulistano67-59
22/11/25ASao Jose71-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cruzeiro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL29%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %29%33%22%
Points / game78.880.476.6
Allowed / game85.986.285.3
Point differential-7.1-5.8-8.8
Avg total164.6166.7161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL24%
HomeLWLLL27%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %24%27%20%
Points / game72.772.173.4
Allowed / game81.477.885.4
Point differential-8.7-5.7-12.0
Avg total154.1149.9158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %10%9%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2219386%89.376.0+13.3
2 Franca2218482%88.574.7+13.9
3 Pinheiros2218482%88.075.7+12.3
4 Minas2218482%87.079.1+7.9
5 Brasilia2317674%81.872.2+9.6
6 Corinthians Paulista2315865%83.177.8+5.3
7 Sao Jose2214864%82.578.9+3.6
8 Paulistano2213959%80.676.6+4.0
9 Mogi2011955%76.869.3+7.5
10 Unifacisa22121055%81.680.5+1.2
11 Uniao Corinthians21111052%79.581.2-1.7
12 Bauru23121152%76.376.9-0.5
13 Caxias do Sul22101245%72.577.0-4.5
14 Cruzeiro2161529%78.885.9-7.1
15 Pato2151624%72.781.4-8.7
16 Cearense2251723%78.087.9-9.9
17 Rio Claro2141719%75.588.3-12.9
18 Osasco2241818%75.187.7-12.5
19 Botafogo2131814%71.483.5-12.0
20 Vasco2231914%69.279.7-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cruzeiro2726171989
Pato2019251781
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