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Cruzeiro vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 87-93
26-24 23-20 22-24 16-25
Position#14
Record8-17
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Position#5
Record19-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game72.1
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Dona Salome
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cruzeiro v Brasilia
27 Oct 2026
CRUZ80
BRAS89
19 Feb 2026
CRUZ87
BRAS93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cruzeiro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CruzeiroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCruzeiro
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
L
80-93
80
93
-13
74avg 71
H21/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
79-75
79
75
+4
79avg 71
H23/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
77-85
77
85
-8
70avg 71
A27/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
86-78
86
78
+8
80avg 71
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
83-95
83
95
-12
78avg 71
A10/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
91-98
91
98
-7
no box
A15/01
NBB
Pato
#17
W
89-81
89
81
+8
89avg 71
H19/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
77-80
77
80
-3
66avg 71
A06/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
67-95
67
95
-28
53avg 71
A14/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
70-69
70
69
+1
61avg 71
A16/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
19-21
26-18
14-32
21-17
15-23
23-10
20-25
11-18
24-20
22-21
20-26
19-24
21-12
16-19
30-23
17-23
21-17
27-19
18-36
27-26
22-18
24-22
18-32
27-20
26-19
17-25
19-17
19-25
17-17
16-18
25-20
9-26
19-29
20-24
19-16
15-20
18-14
20-17
17-18
164.8Avg total
79.9Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.385.1163.4-6.832%
Season at home (13)81.185.8166.9-4.838%
Season away (12)75.284.3159.6-9.125%
Last 10 (10)79.984.9164.8-5.040%
Last 5 (5)78.884.6163.4-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.888.8165.6-11.912%
vs Similar (5)75.282.8158.0-7.640%
vs Weaker (4)88.073.5161.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
84-92
84
92
-8
75avg 71
A27/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
71-66
71
66
+5
69avg 71
A29/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
78-60
78
60
+18
72avg 71
A09/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
77-65
77
65
+12
80avg 71
H12/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
96-64
96
64
+32
no box
A16/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
no box
A19/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
64-70
64
70
-6
53avg 71
A21/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
89-64
89
64
+25
84avg 71
H03/02
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
84-61
84
61
+23
88avg 71
H07/02
NBB
Minas
#3
L
91-92
91
92
-1
73avg 71
A17/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
15-27
21-17
27-32
23-10
13-20
24-21
11-15
18-20
29-6
13-17
18-17
7-15
19-12
34-22
17-16
25-23
22-14
21-12
28-15
16-16
14-25
21-18
21-13
17-21
12-18
30-18
5-13
23-19
23-22
15-10
28-13
25-12
16-20
20-16
23-13
20-31
28-26
16-26
27-9
153.2Avg total
81.5Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.972.1154.0+9.770%
Season at home (12)83.868.9152.8+14.992%
Season away (15)80.374.7155.0+5.553%
Last 10 (10)81.571.7153.2+9.860%
Last 5 (5)81.874.0155.8+7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.092.0176.0-8.00%
vs Similar (12)74.274.4148.6-0.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.570.1155.5+15.488%
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +4.9+4.9
CruzeiroBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CruzeiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H21/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H23/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A27/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A15/01
NBB
Pato
#17
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H19/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A06/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
28-55
28
55
-27
A14/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A16/02
NBB
79.9Avg total
38.8Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)37.643.681.2-5.924%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.944.082.9-5.123%-
Last 30 away (12)36.243.179.3-6.825%-
Last 10 (10)38.841.179.9-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.882.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.644.780.3-9.16%-
vs Similar (5)40.243.884.0-3.640%-
vs Weaker (4)42.538.881.2+3.875%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A27/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A29/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A09/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H12/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A16/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A19/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A21/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H03/02
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H07/02
NBB
Minas
#3
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A17/02
NBB
75.9Avg total
38.6Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.237.376.5+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.436.576.9+3.971%-
Last 30 away (16)38.138.076.1+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)38.637.375.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.080.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.043.079.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (12)34.638.973.5-4.325%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.635.878.4+6.882%-
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cruzeirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cruzeiro: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.0
51.1%
52.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.9
31.5%
32.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws21.917.3
79.0%
72.8%17.3
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.315.8
53.9%
52.2%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.3
32.7%
32.5%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.015.5
73.8%
72.8%15.5
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cruzeiro
WLLWLLWLWL
Brasilia
LWWLLWWWWL
#14
League position
#5
-2.5
Net rating
+10.1
97.0
Offensive rating
96.1
99.4
Defensive rating
86.0
49.5%
Effective FG%
51.4%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.4%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.2%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.5%
3-point %
32.7%
68.0%
Assist %
67.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.0 · 96.1Defence99.4 · 86.0Shooting49.5% · 51.4%3-point %31.5% · 32.7%Ball care16.5% · 17.2%Off. rebounds27.5% · 27.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Cruzeiro   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cruzeiro wins
1
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
14/11/25Brasilia v Cruzeiro79-65
Cruzeirolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/26AMogi70-69
14/02/26AFranca67-95
06/02/26ABauru77-80
19/01/26HPato89-81
15/01/26ASao Jose91-98
10/01/26ACorinthians Paulista83-95
29/12/25ACearense86-78
27/12/25AUnifacisa77-85
23/12/25HVasco79-75
21/12/25HFlamengo80-93
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/26AMinas91-92
07/02/26HVasco84-61
03/02/26HUniao Corinthians89-64
21/01/26APinheiros64-70
19/01/26APaulistano81-83 OT
16/01/26AOsasco96-64
12/01/26HCaxias do Sul77-65
09/01/26ARio Claro78-60
29/12/25ABauru71-66
27/12/25AFranca84-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cruzeiro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW32%
HomeLWLWW38%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %32%38%25%
Points / game78.381.175.2
Allowed / game85.185.884.3
Point differential-6.8-4.8-9.1
Avg total163.4166.9159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brasilia
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL70%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWLLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %70%92%53%
Points / game81.983.880.3
Allowed / game72.168.974.7
Point differential+9.7+14.9+5.5
Avg total154.0152.8155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %7%0%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2722581%87.277.1+10.1
2 Pinheiros2621581%86.274.7+11.5
3 Franca2822679%89.475.2+14.1
4 Minas2721678%87.181.4+5.7
5 Brasilia2719870%81.972.1+9.7
6 Corinthians Paulista2719870%83.177.4+5.7
7 Sao Jose27171063%82.379.1+3.2
8 Paulistano26161062%80.776.6+4.1
9 Bauru27151256%78.978.1+0.8
10 Mogi27141352%75.869.9+5.9
11 Unifacisa26131350%80.079.7+0.4
12 Uniao Corinthians26131350%79.081.5-2.5
13 Caxias do Sul26111542%72.277.2-5.1
14 Cruzeiro2581732%78.385.1-6.8
15 Rio Claro2681831%77.387.1-9.8
16 Pato2772026%73.679.3-5.8
17 Cearense2762122%77.086.9-9.8
18 Botafogo2652119%71.783.0-11.2
19 Osasco2542116%75.087.5-12.5
20 Vasco2742315%69.379.4-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cruzeiro2623221687
Brasilia2420242593
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