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Crvena zvezda vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 84-90 (OT)
16-15 21-19 20-14 19-28 8-14
Position#17
Record4-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game76.8
vs
Position#15
Record5-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game82.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14
European cup2020
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Alba Berlin
07 Nov 2024
CZV92
ABE71
14 Dec 2023
CZV85
ABE71
24 Feb 2023
CZV72
ABE87
22 Oct 2021
CZV63
ABE78
15 Dec 2020
CZV84
ABE90
29 Jan 2015
CZV86
ABE69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#7
L
67-73
67
73
-6
57avg 74
H13/11
Euroleague
Split
#11
W
78-76
78
76
+2
70avg 74
H15/11
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
87-79
87
79
+8
84avg 74
A18/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
65-76
65
76
-11
56avg 74
A20/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#7
W
86-85
86
85
+1
80avg 74
A23/11
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
64-75
64
75
-11
56avg 74
H26/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
76-81
76
81
-5
64avg 74
A03/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#2
L
65-67
65
67
-2
56avg 74
H06/12
ABA League
Olympiacos
#12
L
79-81
79
81
-2
67avg 74
H10/12
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#8
W
111-75
111
75
+36
118avg 74
A12/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
16-15
11-23
14-14
18-24
20-18
22-17
18-17
18-23
30-21
18-16
21-19
6-19
16-20
22-22
21-15
22-19
28-21
24-25
12-20
14-16
22-24
14-27
14-8
20-23
18-18
17-15
21-25
20-17
19-27
16-12
10-11
30-16
15-21
16-25
18-19
30-19
31-19
28-25
22-12
154.6Avg total
77.8Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)74.776.8151.5-2.231%
Season at home (6)75.876.8152.7-1.033%
Season away (7)73.776.9150.6-3.129%
Last 10 (10)77.876.8154.6+1.040%
Last 5 (5)79.075.8154.8+3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.277.1151.3-2.930%
vs Similar ◀ (6)82.379.5161.8+2.867%
vs Weaker (13)82.567.4149.8+15.185%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
76-75
76
75
+1
73avg 74
H18/11
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
66-73
66
73
-7
58avg 74
H20/11
Euroleague
Bonn
#13
W
97-74
97
74
+23
98avg 74
H22/11
BBL
Khimki M.
#18
W
100-80
100
80
+20
99avg 74
H26/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
55-75
55
75
-20
43avg 74
A01/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
100-92
100
92
+8
104avg 74
A03/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#10
W
71-69
71
69
+2
69avg 74
A06/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 74
A08/12
BBL
Fenerbahce
#9
W
89-63
89
63
+26
90avg 74
H10/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#8
W
82-70
82
70
+12
no box
H13/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
17-22
14-17
26-15
10-12
12-21
21-18
23-22
25-25
23-13
30-12
19-24
20-24
30-20
27-18
23-18
13-19
9-23
19-22
14-11
27-21
24-29
32-15
17-27
21-15
22-20
19-21
9-13
14-15
20-16
18-24
19-23
23-16
21-11
26-14
19-22
22-20
19-11
17-24
24-15
155.6Avg total
80.7Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.882.2160.1-4.442%
Season at home (7)77.482.4159.9-5.043%
Season away (5)78.482.0160.4-3.640%
Last 10 (10)80.774.9155.6+5.870%
Last 5 (5)82.674.4157.0+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.087.7162.7-12.729%
vs Similar ◀ (6)78.276.2154.3+2.050%
vs Weaker (17)88.074.7162.7+13.394%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
Crvena zvezdaAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H13/11
Euroleague
Split
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H15/11
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A18/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A20/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A23/11
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H26/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A03/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H06/12
ABA League
Olympiacos
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H10/12
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#8
W
61-38
61
38
+23
A12/12
ABA League
82.0Avg total
41.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.238.980.1+2.348%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.639.179.8+1.550%-
Last 30 away (15)41.738.780.5+3.047%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.182.0+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.083.8+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.638.374.9-1.740%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.840.579.3-1.750%-
vs Weaker (12)46.238.184.3+8.258%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H18/11
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H20/11
Euroleague
Bonn
#13
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H22/11
BBL
Khimki M.
#18
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H26/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A01/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A03/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#10
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A06/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A08/12
BBL
Fenerbahce
#9
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H10/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H13/12
BBL
76.5Avg total
39.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.038.881.8+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.539.682.1+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)43.538.081.5+5.567%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.476.5+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.634.877.4+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.648.183.7-12.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.835.376.2+5.567%-
vs Weaker (17)46.836.282.9+10.682%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.216.9
48.0%
52.7%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.1
37.3%
38.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.515.7
80.5%
79.3%15.7
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.9
55.4%
52.7%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.4
33.1%
38.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws13.410.1
75.4%
79.3%10.1
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WLLLLWLWWL
Alba Berlin
WWLWWLWWLW
#17
League position
#15
+1.4
Net rating
+8.7
111.0
Offensive rating
109.1
109.6
Defensive rating
100.4
51.3%
Effective FG%
53.0%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
17.8%
Turnover %
19.4%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.20
37.3%
3-point %
33.1%
58.8%
Assist %
72.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 109.1Defence109.6 · 100.4Shooting51.3% · 53.0%3-point %37.3% · 33.1%Ball care17.8% · 19.4%Off. rebounds34.6% · 34.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Crvena zvezda wins
1
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
26/03/15Alba Berlin v Crvena zvezda73-68
29/01/15Crvena zvezda v Alba Berlin86-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/20AFMP Beograd111-75
10/12/20HOlympiacos79-81
06/12/20HBuducnost65-67
03/12/20AMaccabi Tel Aviv76-81
26/11/20HAnadolu Efes64-75
23/11/20APartizan86-85
20/11/20ABarcelona65-76
18/11/20AOlimpia Milano87-79
15/11/20HSplit78-76
13/11/20HReal Madrid67-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/20HBamberg82-70
10/12/20HFenerbahce89-63
08/12/20ALudwigsburg71-78
06/12/20ABayreuth71-69
03/12/20AValencia100-92
01/12/20AOlimpia Milano55-75
26/11/20HKhimki M.100-80
22/11/20HBonn97-74
20/11/20HZenit Petersburg66-73
18/11/20HLyon-Villeurbanne76-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL31%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%33%29%
Points / game74.775.873.7
Allowed / game76.876.876.9
Point differential-2.2-1.0-3.1
Avg total151.5152.7150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW42%
HomeLWLWW43%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %42%43%40%
Points / game77.877.478.4
Allowed / game82.282.482.0
Point differential-4.4-5.0-3.6
Avg total160.1159.9160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1411379%84.378.1+6.2
2 Barcelona1310377%81.371.8+9.5
3 Bayern139469%79.776.5+3.2
4 Zenit Petersburg117464%74.371.8+2.5
5 Real Madrid138562%81.478.2+3.2
6 Olimpia Milano138562%82.280.3+1.9
7 Valencia138562%81.981.2+0.7
8 Olympiacos127558%77.277.3-0.1
9 Baskonia126650%79.073.4+5.6
10 Anadolu Efes147750%77.378.2-0.9
11 Zalgiris Kaunas136746%78.279.6-1.5
12 Alba Berlin125742%77.882.2-4.4
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv135838%78.578.1+0.4
14 Fenerbahce145936%72.978.9-6.0
15 Panathinaikos124833%78.383.9-5.6
16 Crvena zvezda134931%74.776.8-2.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne123925%73.877.7-3.9
18 Khimki M.1321115%79.588.3-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Crvena zvezda16212019884
Alba Berlin151914281490
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