PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Crvena zvezda vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 72-87
25-15 19-24 17-21 11-27
Position#11
Record11-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Position#17
Record6-18
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game85.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 25
European cup2022
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Alba Berlin
07 Nov 2024
CZV92
ABE71
14 Dec 2023
CZV85
ABE71
24 Feb 2023
CZV72
ABE87
22 Oct 2021
CZV63
ABE78
15 Dec 2020
CZV84
ABE90
29 Jan 2015
CZV86
ABE69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Partizan
#6
L
78-79
78
79
-1
76avg 76
H27/01
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#5
W
99-84
99
84
+15
97avg 76
A29/01
ABA League
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
72-84
72
84
-12
65avg 76
A31/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
68-74
68
74
-6
no box
A02/02
Euroleague
Igokea
#7
W
104-71
104
71
+33
112avg 76
H05/02
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
89-86
89
86
+3
83avg 76
A09/02
Euroleague
Zadar
#9
W
95-76
95
76
+19
97avg 76
A12/02
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#8
W
89-64
89
64
+25
no box
H16/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#3
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
A17/02
Korac cup
Mega Basket
#2
W
96-79
96
79
+17
no box
H18/02
Korac cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
19-25
17-12
24-22
24-19
30-23
24-24
21-18
14-30
21-18
16-22
21-14
18-22
14-23
17-14
19-15
27-11
34-19
20-11
23-30
18-18
26-16
25-21
20-31
22-18
25-13
26-25
22-20
17-19
18-12
29-17
25-16
15-21
19-23
25-14
24-17
22-23
29-21
27-21
18-14
164.5Avg total
87.3Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)75.678.1153.7-2.546%
Season at home (11)76.675.2151.8+1.555%
Season away (13)74.880.5155.3-5.838%
Last 10 (10)87.377.2164.5+10.170%
Last 5 (5)90.476.0166.4+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.088.0169.0-7.033%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.273.8151.0+3.464%
vs Weaker (15)88.272.1160.3+16.193%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#11
W
79-76
79
76
+3
78avg 84
A23/01
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
88-94
88
94
-6
no box
H26/01
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
100-77
100
77
+23
98avg 84
H28/01
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
84-102
84
102
-18
81avg 84
H01/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
86-101
86
101
-15
84avg 84
A03/02
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
94-86
94
86
+8
101avg 84
A05/02
BBL
Olympiacos
#1
L
60-93
60
93
-33
45avg 84
H08/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H11/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
91-85
91
85
+6
95avg 84
A14/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A18/02
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
22-24
20-14
18-17
25-24
22-26
21-17
20-27
16-25
32-12
27-26
25-14
24-22
12-29
18-22
30-29
27-31
20-26
14-24
25-20
18-14
22-20
26-22
28-30
13-28
22-17
10-28
15-20
32-22
21-20
21-21
15-18
16-16
27-24
23-19
25-26
17-21
21-19
13-20
26-23
172.6Avg total
84.8Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.685.8166.4-5.125%
Season at home (13)81.885.5167.2-3.731%
Season away (11)79.386.1165.4-6.818%
Last 10 (10)84.887.8172.6-3.050%
Last 5 (5)82.285.6167.8-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.589.5167.9-11.015%
vs Similar ◀ (5)83.680.0163.6+3.660%
vs Weaker (12)94.080.2174.2+13.892%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
Crvena zvezdaAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H27/01
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#5
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A29/01
ABA League
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A31/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A02/02
Euroleague
Igokea
#7
W
61-30
61
30
+31
H05/02
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A09/02
Euroleague
Zadar
#9
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A12/02
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#8
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H16/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A17/02
Korac cup
Mega Basket
#2
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H18/02
Korac cup
82.4Avg total
43.0Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.938.380.2+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.838.882.5+5.069%-
Last 30 away (14)39.937.877.6+2.164%-
Last 10 (10)43.039.482.4+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.236.879.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.342.080.3-3.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.539.178.5+0.455%-
vs Weaker (15)44.937.582.4+7.587%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#11
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A23/01
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H26/01
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H28/01
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H01/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A03/02
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A05/02
BBL
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H08/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#5
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H11/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A14/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A18/02
German Cup
86.9Avg total
42.8Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.043.286.3-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.543.386.7+0.260%-
Last 30 away (15)42.643.285.8-0.633%-
Last 10 (10)42.844.186.9-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.282.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.846.186.9-5.231%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)42.443.285.6-0.820%-
vs Weaker (12)45.740.285.8+5.575%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.1
56.2%
53.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.9
39.6%
36.2%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.915.6
78.4%
78.5%15.6
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.9
58.5%
53.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.8
34.5%
36.2%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.114.5
75.9%
78.5%14.5
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WWWWWWLLWL
Alba Berlin
LWWLWLLWLW
#11
League position
#17
+9.1
Net rating
-5.0
120.5
Offensive rating
113.5
111.4
Defensive rating
118.5
57.5%
Effective FG%
55.4%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
17.4%
Turnover %
19.7%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.6%
3-point %
34.5%
68.6%
Assist %
71.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence120.5 · 113.5Defence111.4 · 118.5Shooting57.5% · 55.4%3-point %39.6% · 34.5%Ball care17.4% · 19.7%Off. rebounds34.3% · 35.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Crvena zvezda wins
5
Alba Berlin wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23HMega Basket96-79
17/02/23APartizan83-75
16/02/23HBorac Mozzart89-64
12/02/23AZadar95-76
09/02/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv89-86
05/02/23HIgokea104-71
02/02/23AOlimpia Milano68-74
31/01/23AVirtus Bologna72-84
29/01/23AFMP Beograd99-84
27/01/23HPartizan78-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23ABayern77-83
14/02/23ACrailsheim Merlins91-85
11/02/23HOldenburg89-81
08/02/23HOlympiacos60-93
05/02/23AHeidelberg94-86
03/02/23AFenerbahce86-101
01/02/23HMonaco84-102
28/01/23HCrailsheim Merlins100-77
26/01/23HValencia88-94
23/01/23AWurzburg79-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW46%
HomeLLLWL55%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %46%55%38%
Points / game75.676.674.8
Allowed / game78.175.280.5
Point differential-2.5+1.5-5.8
Avg total153.7151.8155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)43% (7)83% (6)
Overtime %8%9%8%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWLLLL31%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %25%31%18%
Points / game80.681.879.3
Allowed / game85.885.586.1
Point differential-5.1-3.7-6.8
Avg total166.4167.2165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%23%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %8%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2417771%85.375.5+9.9
2 Real Madrid2417771%84.577.1+7.4
3 Barcelona2416867%80.877.6+3.2
4 Fenerbahce2415962%84.481.3+3.1
5 Monaco2415962%83.782.8+0.9
6 Baskonia24131154%85.483.4+2.0
7 Valencia24131154%82.983.8-0.9
8 Partizan25131252%84.683.2+1.5
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv25131252%82.882.9-0.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas25131252%75.678.0-2.4
11 Anadolu Efes23111248%82.379.2+3.0
12 Crvena zvezda24111346%75.678.1-2.5
13 Virtus Bologna24111346%77.880.3-2.5
14 Olimpia Milano2491538%71.977.2-5.3
15 Bayern2591636%76.679.1-2.5
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne2481633%74.780.2-5.5
17 Panathinaikos2581732%79.483.1-3.7
18 Alba Berlin2461825%80.685.8-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2519171172
Alba Berlin1524212787
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.