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Valencia vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 92-100
21-27 29-24 15-32 27-17
Position#8
Record7-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#15
Record3-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game83.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 12
European cup2020
Meetings · Valencia v Alba Berlin
02 Nov 2023
VAL79
ABE71
27 Oct 2022
VAL87
ABE73
03 Dec 2020
VAL92
ABE100
15 Apr 2019
VAL89
ABE63
09 Apr 2019
VAL89
ABE75
11 Jan 2017
VAL85
ABE80
19 Mar 2014
VAL86
ABE54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
73avg 79
A29/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
71avg 79
H01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
86-81
86
81
+5
79avg 79
H06/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
L
81-99
81
99
-18
71avg 79
H08/11
ACB
Bayern
#5
L
79-90
79
90
-11
73avg 79
A13/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
95-83
95
83
+12
94avg 79
H17/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
82-80
82
80
+2
82avg 79
H20/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
89-95
89
95
-6
84avg 79
H22/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
W
90-86
90
86
+4
90avg 79
A27/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
W
100-90
100
90
+10
105avg 79
A01/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
19-27
23-18
17-22
6-28
19-22
30-20
23-16
24-18
18-26
24-17
20-20
14-24
25-29
21-20
21-26
18-21
21-16
21-25
19-28
22-21
23-20
25-25
25-17
19-17
24-20
15-22
24-21
16-22
22-20
30-18
21-35
16-17
17-26
26-21
31-22
32-22
19-29
19-19
30-20
172.9Avg total
85.5Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.579.7162.2+2.870%
Season at home (5)78.875.6154.4+3.280%
Season away (5)86.283.8170.0+2.460%
Last 10 (10)85.587.4172.9-1.950%
Last 5 (5)91.286.8178.0+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.582.3159.8-4.833%
vs Similar (11)86.581.5167.9+5.064%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)84.078.2162.2+5.883%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
67-103
67
103
-36
51avg 71
H05/11
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#12
W
79-66
79
66
+13
82avg 71
H08/11
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
no box
A10/11
German Cup
Olympiacos
#12
L
71-75
71
75
-4
67avg 71
A12/11
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#3
W
89-86
89
86
+3
83avg 71
A15/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
76-75
76
75
+1
73avg 71
H18/11
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
66-73
66
73
-7
58avg 71
H20/11
Euroleague
Bonn
#13
W
97-74
97
74
+23
98avg 71
H22/11
BBL
Khimki M.
#18
W
100-80
100
80
+20
99avg 71
H26/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
55-75
55
75
-20
43avg 71
A01/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-30
18-26
15-23
16-24
22-9
27-13
15-15
15-29
21-27
18-13
24-18
27-24
22-10
13-14
9-27
27-24
33-19
22-19
19-24
15-24
19-21
17-22
14-17
26-15
10-12
12-21
21-18
23-22
25-25
23-13
30-12
19-24
20-24
30-20
27-18
23-18
13-19
9-23
19-22
14-11
157.9Avg total
79.0Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.583.2157.7-8.730%
Season at home (6)75.585.7161.2-10.233%
Season away (4)73.079.5152.5-6.525%
Last 10 (10)79.078.9157.9+0.160%
Last 5 (5)78.875.4154.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)70.887.0157.8-16.217%
vs Similar (4)77.279.0156.2-1.850%
vs Weaker (20)92.277.7169.9+14.590%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
ValenciaAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A29/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H06/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H08/11
ACB
Bayern
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A13/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H17/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H20/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H22/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A27/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A01/12
ACB
83.2Avg total
39.0Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.079.6-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.338.979.2+1.469%-
Last 30 away (14)38.741.380.0-2.636%-
Last 10 (10)39.044.283.2-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)42.042.884.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.740.573.2-7.817%-
vs Similar (11)39.540.580.0-0.945%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.939.682.5+3.375%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H05/11
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#12
W
49-22
49
22
+27
H08/11
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A10/11
German Cup
Olympiacos
#12
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A12/11
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#3
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A15/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H18/11
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H20/11
Euroleague
Bonn
#13
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H22/11
BBL
Khimki M.
#18
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H26/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A01/12
Euroleague
77.2Avg total
39.2Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.440.885.3+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.441.686.1+2.862%-
Last 30 away (14)44.439.984.4+4.550%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.077.2+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.640.075.6-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)33.047.880.8-14.80%-
vs Similar (4)41.838.580.2+3.250%-
vs Weaker (20)48.439.287.6+9.275%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.5
55.2%
52.7%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.4
40.5%
38.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.616.5
84.2%
79.3%16.5
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.6
52.4%
52.7%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.7
32.8%
38.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws14.211.2
78.9%
79.3%11.2
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWLWWLLWLL
Alba Berlin
LWWLWWLWWL
#8
League position
#15
-2.3
Net rating
+0.3
116.2
Offensive rating
105.4
118.5
Defensive rating
105.2
57.6%
Effective FG%
51.1%
59.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.8%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.22
40.5%
3-point %
32.8%
75.1%
Assist %
63.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 105.4Defence118.5 · 105.2Shooting57.6% · 51.1%3-point %40.5% · 32.8%Ball care17.1% · 17.8%Off. rebounds24.8% · 28.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Valencia   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valencia wins
2
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
15/04/19Valencia v Alba Berlin89-63
12/04/19Alba Berlin v Valencia95-92 OT
09/04/19Valencia v Alba Berlin89-75
08/02/17Alba Berlin v Valencia73-99
11/01/17Valencia v Alba Berlin85-80
25/03/14Alba Berlin v Valencia78-73
19/03/14Valencia v Alba Berlin86-54
18/04/10Alba Berlin v Valencia44-67
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/20ABarcelona100-90
27/11/20AFenerbahce90-86
22/11/20HTenerife89-95
20/11/20HMaccabi Tel Aviv82-80
17/11/20HPanathinaikos95-83
13/11/20ABayern79-90
08/11/20HSan Pablo Burgos81-99
06/11/20HOlimpia Milano86-81
01/11/20HReal Madrid78-86
29/10/20ACSKA Moscow75-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/20AOlimpia Milano55-75
26/11/20HKhimki M.100-80
22/11/20HBonn97-74
20/11/20HZenit Petersburg66-73
18/11/20HLyon-Villeurbanne76-75
15/11/20AOldenburg89-86
12/11/20AOlympiacos71-75
10/11/20ABonn90-82
08/11/20HFrankfurt79-66
05/11/20HBarcelona67-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game82.578.886.2
Allowed / game79.775.683.8
Point differential+2.8+3.2+2.4
Avg total162.2154.4170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL30%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %30%33%25%
Points / game74.575.573.0
Allowed / game83.285.779.5
Point differential-8.7-10.2-6.5
Avg total157.7161.2152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona108280%80.970.5+10.4
2 CSKA Moscow129375%82.078.4+3.6
3 Valencia107370%82.579.7+2.8
4 Zenit Petersburg96367%73.371.0+2.3
5 Bayern117464%80.077.7+2.3
6 Anadolu Efes106460%81.277.4+3.8
7 Olimpia Milano106460%81.779.3+2.4
8 Real Madrid116555%80.778.3+2.5
9 Baskonia105550%80.875.5+5.3
10 Olympiacos105550%75.076.1-1.1
11 Zalgiris Kaunas115645%79.481.2-1.8
12 Fenerbahce125742%73.978.1-4.2
13 Panathinaikos114736%79.284.2-5.0
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv124833%79.479.3+0.1
15 Crvena zvezda124833%74.376.5-2.2
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne93633%74.677.0-2.4
17 Alba Berlin103730%74.583.2-8.7
18 Khimki M.102820%77.787.0-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2129152792
Alba Berlin27243217100
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