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Olimpia Milano vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 01 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 75-55
19-13 23-9 22-19 11-14
Position#4
Record5-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#15
Record3-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game84.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 6
European cup2020
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Alba Berlin
14 Jan 2025
MIL100
ABE68
09 Jan 2024
MIL82
ABE76
14 Oct 2022
MIL74
ABE80
18 Jan 2022
MIL84
ABE76
01 Dec 2020
MIL75
ABE55
03 Feb 2016
MIL91
ABE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#16
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H18/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A25/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H01/11
Lega A
Valencia
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
A06/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#11
W
87-56
87
56
+31
H08/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
89-71
89
71
+18
A15/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
79-87
79
87
-8
H18/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
98-92
98
92
+6
H20/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H22/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
A26/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
28-14
24-17
16-24
20-13
18-29
25-14
19-15
19-12
22-32
19-18
22-13
18-24
26-18
17-24
20-20
23-9
21-15
28-13
15-19
20-24
23-20
30-14
16-13
23-18
21-30
16-18
19-21
21-25
31-15
21-24
25-28
21-25
23-14
27-16
15-17
18-20
28-15
13-18
11-17
162.9Avg total
86.3Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.182.2165.4+0.962%
Season at home (4)85.580.5166.0+5.075%
Season away (4)80.884.0164.8-3.250%
Last 10 (10)86.376.6162.9+9.780%
Last 5 (5)87.681.4169.0+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)81.279.8161.0+1.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.771.8159.5+15.992%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
93-88
93
88
+5
A16/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
67-103
67
103
-36
H05/11
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#12
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H08/11
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
A10/11
German Cup
Olympiacos
#12
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A12/11
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#3
W
89-86
89
86
+3
A15/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H18/11
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H20/11
Euroleague
Bonn
#13
W
97-74
97
74
+23
H22/11
BBL
Khimki M.
#18
W
100-80
100
80
+20
H26/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
30-32
21-14
25-23
18-30
18-26
15-23
16-24
22-9
27-13
15-15
15-29
21-27
18-13
24-18
27-24
22-10
13-14
9-27
27-24
33-19
22-19
19-24
15-24
19-21
17-22
14-17
26-15
10-12
12-21
21-18
23-22
25-25
23-13
30-12
19-24
20-24
30-20
27-18
23-18
163.0Avg total
82.8Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.784.1160.8-7.433%
Season at home (6)75.585.7161.2-10.233%
Season away (3)79.081.0160.0-2.033%
Last 10 (10)82.880.2163.0+2.670%
Last 5 (5)85.677.6163.2+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)74.089.4163.4-15.420%
vs Similar (4)77.279.0156.2-1.850%
vs Weaker (21)91.277.4168.6+13.886%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
Olimpia MilanoAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#16
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H18/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A25/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H01/11
Lega A
Valencia
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A06/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#11
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H08/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A15/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H18/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H20/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H22/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A26/11
Euroleague
83.7Avg total
44.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.936.880.8+7.177%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.636.981.6+7.775%-
Last 30 away (14)43.136.779.9+6.479%-
Last 10 (10)44.938.883.7+6.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.287.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)37.536.373.8+1.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.537.082.5+8.679%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A16/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H05/11
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#12
W
49-22
49
22
+27
H08/11
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A10/11
German Cup
Olympiacos
#12
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A12/11
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#3
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A15/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H18/11
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H20/11
Euroleague
Bonn
#13
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H22/11
BBL
Khimki M.
#18
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H26/11
Euroleague
80.6Avg total
41.7Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.040.685.6+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.441.686.1+2.862%-
Last 30 away (14)45.639.485.0+6.157%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.980.6+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.281.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.249.084.2-13.80%-
vs Similar (4)41.838.580.2+3.250%-
vs Weaker (21)47.939.086.9+8.976%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.2
53.7%
52.7%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.29.4
40.5%
38.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.214.3
83.1%
79.3%14.3
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.0
54.3%
52.7%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.2
34.1%
38.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws13.710.8
78.8%
79.3%10.8
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWWLWWLWWW
Alba Berlin
WWLWWLWWLW
#4
League position
#15
+15.4
Net rating
+0.7
118.6
Offensive rating
107.9
103.2
Defensive rating
107.2
56.3%
Effective FG%
53.0%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
13.7%
Turnover %
17.7%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.21
40.5%
3-point %
34.1%
53.3%
Assist %
63.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence118.6 · 107.9Defence103.2 · 107.2Shooting56.3% · 53.0%3-point %40.5% · 34.1%Ball care13.7% · 17.7%Off. rebounds26.2% · 28.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Olimpia Milano wins
1
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
03/02/16Olimpia Milano v Alba Berlin91-78
06/01/16Alba Berlin v Olimpia Milano83-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/20AMaccabi Tel Aviv86-85 OT
22/11/20HVenezia86-72
20/11/20HZalgiris Kaunas98-92
18/11/20HCrvena zvezda79-87
15/11/20ACantu89-71
08/11/20HBrescia87-56
06/11/20AValencia81-86
01/11/20HTrento82-75
25/10/20AFortitudo Bologna82-71
18/10/20HVirtus Roma93-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/20HKhimki M.100-80
22/11/20HBonn97-74
20/11/20HZenit Petersburg66-73
18/11/20HLyon-Villeurbanne76-75
15/11/20AOldenburg89-86
12/11/20AOlympiacos71-75
10/11/20ABonn90-82
08/11/20HFrankfurt79-66
05/11/20HBarcelona67-103
16/10/20ACSKA Moscow93-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game83.185.580.8
Allowed / game82.280.584.0
Point differential+0.9+5.0-3.2
Avg total165.4166.0164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %25%0%50%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game76.775.579.0
Allowed / game84.185.781.0
Point differential-7.4-10.2-2.0
Avg total160.8161.2160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona108280%80.970.5+10.4
2 Zenit Petersburg86275%74.470.8+3.6
3 CSKA Moscow118373%82.280.0+2.2
4 Valencia107370%82.579.7+2.8
5 Bayern117464%80.077.7+2.3
6 Olimpia Milano85362%83.182.2+0.9
7 Anadolu Efes106460%81.277.4+3.8
8 Olympiacos95456%76.675.7+0.9
9 Real Madrid116555%80.778.3+2.5
10 Baskonia105550%80.875.5+5.3
11 Zalgiris Kaunas115645%79.481.2-1.8
12 Crvena zvezda114736%74.276.1-1.9
13 Fenerbahce114736%74.079.3-5.3
14 Panathinaikos93633%79.883.6-3.8
15 Alba Berlin93633%76.784.1-7.4
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%79.379.6-0.4
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne82625%71.877.5-5.8
18 Khimki M.102820%77.787.0-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1923221175
Alba Berlin139191455
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