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Crvena zvezda vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 85-71
25-22 26-20 20-11 14-18
Position#16
Record4-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#18
Record2-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game86.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14· Beogradska arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Alba Berlin
07 Nov 2024
CZV92
ABE71
14 Dec 2023
CZV85
ABE71
24 Feb 2023
CZV72
ABE87
22 Oct 2021
CZV63
ABE78
15 Dec 2020
CZV84
ABE90
29 Jan 2015
CZV86
ABE69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
W
87-56
87
56
+31
86avg 81
H14/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
83-88
83
88
-5
69avg 81
A16/11
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#13
W
95-75
95
75
+20
101avg 81
H20/11
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
71-93
71
93
-22
62avg 81
H24/11
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
90-67
90
67
+23
92avg 81
A27/11
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
97-83
97
83
+14
94avg 81
H01/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#12
W
84-56
84
56
+28
81avg 81
H03/12
ABA League
Valencia
#14
L
81-85
81
85
-4
85avg 81
A06/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
L
85-87
85
87
-2
79avg 81
A08/12
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#4
W
98-88
98
88
+10
94avg 81
A11/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
20-10
15-14
27-16
23-20
21-25
9-19
30-24
29-17
23-22
26-21
17-15
19-20
20-18
17-25
15-30
26-13
15-12
21-17
28-25
22-21
21-28
29-21
25-13
21-16
25-13
15-14
23-13
19-25
21-31
25-16
16-13
18-26
25-26
19-15
23-20
22-27
26-13
20-30
30-18
164.9Avg total
87.1Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.281.0163.2+1.231%
Season at home (6)83.275.8159.0+7.367%
Season away (7)81.385.4166.7-4.10%
Last 10 (10)87.177.8164.9+9.360%
Last 5 (5)89.079.8168.8+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.072.0157.0+13.050%
vs Similar (16)80.883.7164.5-2.925%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)89.272.0161.2+17.2100%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
92-64
92
64
+28
92avg 80
H12/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
68-73
68
73
-5
57avg 80
H15/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
L
74-89
74
89
-15
68avg 80
A17/11
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
75-108
75
108
-33
66avg 80
H19/11
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
L
75-99
75
99
-24
60avg 80
A23/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
79-87
79
87
-8
74avg 80
A26/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
81-102
81
102
-21
72avg 80
A30/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
64-62
64
62
+2
46avg 80
H05/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
89-97
89
97
-8
83avg 80
H07/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#6
W
85-70
85
70
+15
84avg 80
A09/12
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
20-15
24-13
26-20
13-28
22-15
20-10
13-20
20-18
20-25
15-22
19-24
19-22
18-35
21-25
17-26
17-27
16-17
18-23
24-32
21-19
13-28
29-21
16-19
14-29
28-29
24-23
15-21
13-20
12-8
14-17
25-17
15-22
25-15
25-27
24-33
29-9
16-27
20-16
20-18
163.3Avg total
78.2Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.786.6163.3-9.915%
Season at home (6)79.584.0163.5-4.533%
Season away (7)74.388.9163.1-14.60%
Last 10 (10)78.285.1163.3-6.930%
Last 5 (5)79.683.6163.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.786.6163.3-9.915%
vs Similar (2)93.090.0183.0+3.050%
vs Weaker (15)88.680.4169.0+8.267%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -3.1-3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -3.1-3.1
Crvena zvezdaAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H14/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A16/11
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#13
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H20/11
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H24/11
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A27/11
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H01/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#12
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H03/12
ABA League
Valencia
#14
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A06/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A08/12
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A11/12
ABA League
84.0Avg total
44.1Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.481.5+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.934.878.7+9.275%-
Last 30 away (18)40.842.683.3-1.844%-
Last 10 (10)44.139.984.0+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.045.289.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.535.580.0+9.050%-
vs Similar (16)38.643.982.5-5.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)46.234.280.3+12.0100%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H12/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H15/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A17/11
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H19/11
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A23/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A26/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A30/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H05/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H07/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A09/12
German Cup
79.7Avg total
37.3Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.043.186.1-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.642.185.7+1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)42.643.986.5-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)37.342.479.7-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.241.278.4-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.943.881.7-5.815%-
vs Similar (2)53.046.599.5+6.5100%-
vs Weaker (15)46.142.188.2+4.167%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.321.2
61.8%
53.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.0
34.5%
36.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.214.1
77.5%
77.4%14.1
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.4
53.3%
53.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.5
29.8%
36.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.813.9
78.1%
77.4%13.9
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WLLWWWLWLW
Alba Berlin
WLWLLLLLLW
#16
League position
#18
+13.3
Net rating
-9.2
118.6
Offensive rating
102.4
105.3
Defensive rating
111.6
57.2%
Effective FG%
49.8%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
17.2%
Turnover %
22.1%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.5%
3-point %
29.8%
68.3%
Assist %
57.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence118.6 · 102.4Defence105.3 · 111.6Shooting57.2% · 49.8%3-point %34.5% · 29.8%Ball care17.2% · 22.1%Off. rebounds34.7% · 35.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Crvena zvezda wins
6
Alba Berlin wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/23AMega Basket98-88
08/12/23ABaskonia85-87
06/12/23AValencia81-85
03/12/23HCibona84-56
01/12/23HAnadolu Efes97-83
27/11/23AKK Krka Novo mesto90-67
24/11/23HOlimpia Milano71-93
20/11/23HMornar Bar95-75
16/11/23AOlympiacos83-88
14/11/23HFenerbahce87-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23ASyntainics MBC85-70
07/12/23HAnadolu Efes89-97
05/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas64-62
30/11/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv81-102
26/11/23ALudwigsburg79-87
23/11/23AReal Madrid75-99
19/11/23HSyntainics MBC75-108
17/11/23APartizan74-89
15/11/23HLyon-Villeurbanne68-73
12/11/23HBasketball Braunschweig92-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL31%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%67%0%
Points / game82.283.281.3
Allowed / game81.075.885.4
Point differential+1.2+7.3-4.1
Avg total163.2159.0166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (6)-0% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL15%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %15%33%0%
Points / game76.779.574.3
Allowed / game86.684.088.9
Point differential-9.9-4.5-14.6
Avg total163.3163.5163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1312192%89.275.8+13.4
2 Barcelona1310377%83.877.6+6.2
3 Virtus Bologna139469%84.181.8+2.2
4 Monaco138562%79.778.4+1.3
5 Baskonia138562%83.182.2+0.8
6 Olympiacos137654%78.075.8+2.2
7 Partizan137654%87.285.5+1.7
8 Valencia137654%75.175.5-0.5
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv137654%85.887.6-1.8
10 Anadolu Efes137654%81.586.4-4.8
11 Panathinaikos136746%81.480.5+0.8
12 Fenerbahce136746%80.881.8-1.0
13 Bayern136746%79.280.8-1.7
14 Zalgiris Kaunas135838%78.680.3-1.7
15 Crvena zvezda134931%82.281.0+1.2
16 Olimpia Milano134931%78.978.6+0.3
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1321115%80.289.0-8.8
18 Alba Berlin1321115%76.786.6-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2526201485
Alba Berlin2220111871
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