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Crvena zvezda vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 103-67
31-14 34-8 17-21 21-24
Position#9
Record4-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#19
Record3-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game80.2
EuropeEurocupRound 9
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#6
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A27/10
ABA League
Galatasaray
#20
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H30/10
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H03/11
ABA League
Ulm
#10
L
80-95
80
95
-15
A07/11
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
83-60
83
60
+23
A10/11
ABA League
Monaco
#8
L
75-91
75
91
-16
H14/11
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#10
W
104-71
104
71
+33
H17/11
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A20/11
Eurocup
Partizan
#4
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A24/11
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
97-70
97
70
+27
H09/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-12
20-20
15-17
21-23
26-13
18-13
25-21
18-10
22-14
28-20
22-18
22-27
17-21
16-29
24-23
23-22
22-23
21-13
22-13
18-11
29-29
16-15
17-32
13-15
23-16
27-16
25-27
29-12
20-25
27-21
15-25
18-20
15-22
23-19
20-10
19-20
22-16
23-17
34-20
18-17
161.5Avg total
85.8Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.877.2155.0+0.550%
Season at home (4)83.875.0158.8+8.875%
Season away (4)71.879.5151.2-7.825%
Last 10 (10)85.875.7161.5+10.170%
Last 5 (5)86.678.8165.4+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)80.278.4158.6+1.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.871.4158.2+15.495%
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#9
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H27/10
Lega A
Ulm
#10
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A30/10
Eurocup
Pesaro
#15
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H04/11
Lega A
Monaco
#8
W
86-80
86
80
+6
A07/11
Eurocup
Trento
#6
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A10/11
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H14/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#5
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A18/11
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H21/11
Eurocup
Torino
#13
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H25/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A09/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
19-21
15-21
20-22
29-24
16-16
18-27
19-16
17-27
33-17
15-19
19-18
19-26
20-24
21-16
26-14
22-19
17-19
19-18
17-20
19-16
19-24
9-22
26-17
20-14
12-21
16-27
17-10
26-18
22-22
18-5
22-20
28-22
22-13
17-23
16-18
15-19
20-16
20-22
15-16
154.2Avg total
78.0Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.180.2159.4-1.138%
Season at home (4)74.571.2145.8+3.250%
Season away (4)83.889.2173.0-5.525%
Last 10 (10)78.076.2154.2+1.840%
Last 5 (5)75.873.0148.8+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.582.8161.2-4.331%
vs Similar (12)75.473.8149.2+1.750%
vs Weaker (4)84.284.8169.0-0.550%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.6+2.6
Crvena zvezdaBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A27/10
ABA League
Galatasaray
#20
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H30/10
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H03/11
ABA League
Ulm
#10
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A07/11
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A10/11
ABA League
Monaco
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/11
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#10
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H17/11
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A20/11
Eurocup
Partizan
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A24/11
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H09/12
ABA League
81.4Avg total
44.0Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.936.481.3+8.583%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.236.682.8+9.694%-
Last 30 away (14)43.436.279.6+7.171%-
Last 10 (10)44.037.481.4+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)45.039.284.2+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)40.238.979.1+1.475%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.935.282.0+11.790%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#9
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H27/10
Lega A
Ulm
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A30/10
Eurocup
Pesaro
#15
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H04/11
Lega A
Monaco
#8
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A07/11
Eurocup
Trento
#6
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A10/11
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H14/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#5
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A18/11
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H21/11
Eurocup
Torino
#13
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H25/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A09/12
Lega A
80.6Avg total
41.5Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.179.1-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.239.380.5+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)37.240.877.9-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)41.539.180.6+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.077.6+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.843.283.1-3.446%-
vs Similar (12)37.237.274.4+0.150%-
vs Weaker (4)44.239.884.0+4.550%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.5
56.6%
51.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.410.0
39.4%
36.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.213.7
71.4%
74.9%13.7
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.2
49.6%
51.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.4
34.6%
36.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.413.7
70.6%
74.9%13.7
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WWLWLWLWWW
Brescia
LWWLLLWWLL
#9
League position
#19
+13.6
Net rating
+2.4
114.4
Offensive rating
103.0
100.8
Defensive rating
100.6
57.6%
Effective FG%
50.5%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
18.8%
Turnover %
17.3%
36.5%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.4%
3-point %
34.6%
65.9%
Assist %
60.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 103.0Defence100.8 · 100.6Shooting57.6% · 50.5%3-point %39.4% · 34.6%Ball care18.8% · 17.3%Off. rebounds36.5% · 31.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Crvena zvezda wins
1
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
24/10/18Brescia v Crvena zvezda69-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/18HZadar97-70
24/11/18APartizan77-71
20/11/18AMoraBanc Andorra80-91
17/11/18HMornar Bar104-71
14/11/18HMonaco75-91
10/11/18APetrol Olimpija83-60
07/11/18AUlm80-95
03/11/18HCedevita94-79
30/10/18HGalatasaray87-57
27/10/18AFMP Beograd81-72
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/18APistoia70-73
25/11/18HTorino83-76
21/11/18HGalatasaray88-65
18/11/18ABrindisi65-72
14/11/18HMoraBanc Andorra73-79
10/11/18ATrento75-76
07/11/18AMonaco86-80
04/11/18HPesaro84-81
30/10/18AUlm82-83
27/10/18HAvellino74-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game77.883.871.8
Allowed / game77.275.079.5
Point differential+0.5+8.8-7.8
Avg total155.0158.8151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brescia
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW38%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game79.174.583.8
Allowed / game80.271.289.2
Point differential-1.1+3.2-5.5
Avg total159.4145.8173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan98189%87.177.4+9.7
2 Lokomotiv Kuban98189%85.676.0+9.6
3 Unicaja97278%91.181.1+10.0
4 Valencia97278%83.475.1+8.3
5 Alba Berlin97278%90.683.6+7.0
6 Monaco86275%80.074.9+5.1
7 Lyon-Villeurbanne96367%78.673.1+5.4
8 Frankfurt85362%78.577.1+1.4
9 Cedevita95456%84.681.7+2.9
10 MoraBanc Andorra95456%87.084.9+2.1
11 Crvena zvezda84450%77.877.2+0.5
12 Zenit Petersburg94544%86.284.7+1.6
13 Rytas94544%79.279.9-0.7
14 Ulm94544%83.684.6-1.0
15 Turk Telekom94544%77.181.3-4.2
16 Brescia83538%79.180.2-1.1
17 Galatasaray83538%78.984.6-5.8
18 Partizan93633%74.377.7-3.3
19 Tofas93633%90.393.9-3.6
20 Limoges93633%79.484.3-4.9
21 Trento93633%75.082.8-7.8
22 Mornar Bar82625%77.893.4-15.6
23 Gdynia91811%74.285.2-11.0
24 Torino9090%83.689.9-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda31341721103
Brescia148212467
← all games of the day
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