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Cedevita vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 91-95
22-13 11-25 28-30 30-27
Position#3
Record10-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#1
Record14-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game66.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 15
Domestic2016
Meetings · Cedevita v Crvena zvezda
26 Jan 2019
CED84
CZV68
22 Sep 2018
CED68
CZV79
22 Oct 2017
CED79
CZV74
13 Apr 2017
CED61
CZV77
25 Dec 2016
CED91
CZV95
08 Apr 2016
CED83
CZV62
22 Mar 2016
CED65
CZV73
11 Oct 2015
CED74
CZV72
30 Apr 2015
CED79
CZV89
29 Apr 2015
CED72
CZV62
24 Nov 2014
CED87
CZV88
16 Feb 2014
CED68
CZV64
14 Oct 2012
CED68
CZV66
08 Feb 2012
CED96
CZV91
09 Mar 2011
CED98
CZV95
07 Nov 2009
CED88
CZV74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cedevita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CedevitaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karpos
#11
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A26/11
ABA League
Jolly Sibenik
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A28/11
Premijer liga
MZT Skopje
#20
W
95-61
95
61
+34
H30/11
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
102-87
102
87
+15
H03/12
ABA League
Zabok
#10
W
112-81
112
81
+31
H06/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H09/12
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#9
W
96-89
96
89
+7
A11/12
ABA League
Nizhny Novgorod
#16
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A14/12
Eurocup
Buducnost
#4
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A18/12
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H20/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-25
22-20
20-21
27-23
9-29
19-17
29-21
21-17
26-17
18-21
27-9
24-14
31-23
28-16
12-27
31-21
30-20
28-21
26-21
28-19
19-23
27-15
20-12
24-21
24-19
26-17
19-26
27-27
24-12
18-19
24-20
18-31
16-24
31-26
19-19
20-15
17-23
17-18
25-26
18-8
170.4Avg total
90.1Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)89.179.6168.7+9.671%
Season at home (7)93.675.1168.7+18.471%
Season away (7)84.784.0168.7+0.771%
Last 10 (10)90.180.3170.4+9.880%
Last 5 (5)86.680.2166.8+6.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)86.595.5182.0-9.050%
vs Similar (2)91.585.5177.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker (26)89.376.3165.6+13.081%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
79-100
79
100
-21
A24/11
Euroleague
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
85-67
85
67
+18
A28/11
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H02/12
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#9
W
93-62
93
62
+31
H05/12
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#3
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A08/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
W
77-54
77
54
+23
A11/12
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H15/12
Euroleague
MZT Skopje
#13
W
93-73
93
73
+20
A17/12
ABA League
Olympiacos
#4
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A20/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H22/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
19-26
24-27
15-26
28-24
15-17
25-15
17-11
16-24
28-18
22-24
13-22
25-16
24-14
25-16
19-16
18-20
13-21
19-27
22-19
23-18
21-10
16-18
17-8
19-14
23-10
23-18
18-16
21-16
22-19
30-15
20-23
18-22
16-23
9-11
22-17
20-19
23-16
19-16
20-19
154.0Avg total
80.8Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.566.0151.5+19.5100%
Season at home (7)87.168.4155.6+18.7100%
Season away (7)83.963.6147.4+20.3100%
Last 10 (10)80.873.2154.0+7.660%
Last 5 (5)80.065.6145.6+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.070.0152.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (9)71.378.2149.6-6.922%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)82.667.0149.6+15.690%
This opponent (Cedevita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
CedevitaCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CedevitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karpos
#11
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A26/11
ABA League
Jolly Sibenik
#5
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A28/11
Premijer liga
MZT Skopje
#20
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H30/11
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
59-39
59
39
+20
H03/12
ABA League
Zabok
#10
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H06/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H09/12
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#9
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A11/12
ABA League
Nizhny Novgorod
#16
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A14/12
Eurocup
Buducnost
#4
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A18/12
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H20/12
Premijer liga
84.7Avg total
44.2Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.640.485.0+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.940.386.2+5.662%-
Last 30 away (14)43.140.683.7+2.650%-
Last 10 (10)44.240.584.7+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.283.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)40.051.091.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (2)48.050.598.5-2.50%-
vs Weaker (26)44.738.883.5+5.865%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A24/11
Euroleague
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A28/11
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H02/12
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#9
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H05/12
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A08/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A11/12
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H15/12
Euroleague
MZT Skopje
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A17/12
ABA League
Olympiacos
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A20/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H22/12
Euroleague
78.1Avg total
41.3Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.634.875.4+5.873%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.732.574.1+9.287%-
Last 30 away (15)39.537.176.7+2.460%-
Last 10 (10)41.336.878.1+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.233.474.6+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.035.078.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (9)36.038.774.7-2.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.533.075.6+9.585%-
This opponent (Cedevita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cedevitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.9
55.3%
51.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.610.0
42.4%
34.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws23.918.4
77.0%
73.3%18.4
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.1
52.1%
51.9%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.37.3
34.3%
34.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.515.5
75.6%
73.3%15.5
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cedevita
WWWWWWWWLL
Crvena zvezda
WLWWWLWLWL
#3
League position
#1
+10.9
Net rating
+9.7
115.8
Offensive rating
106.9
104.9
Defensive rating
97.3
58.5%
Effective FG%
51.9%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
19.3%
Turnover %
14.6%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.33
42.4%
3-point %
34.3%
66.3%
Assist %
65.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 106.9Defence104.9 · 97.3Shooting58.5% · 51.9%3-point %42.4% · 34.3%Ball care19.3% · 14.6%Off. rebounds31.6% · 22.7%Free throws0.39 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Cedevita   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cedevita wins
6
Crvena zvezda wins
Cedevitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/16HZadar77-75
18/12/16ABuducnost86-84
14/12/16ANizhny Novgorod84-82
11/12/16AFMP Beograd96-89
09/12/16HCibona90-71
06/12/16HZabok112-81
03/12/16HPetrol Olimpija102-87
30/11/16HMZT Skopje95-61
28/11/16AJolly Sibenik78-84
26/11/16AKarpos81-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/16HReal Madrid82-70
20/12/16AOlympiacos65-73
17/12/16AMZT Skopje93-73
15/12/16HMaccabi Tel Aviv83-58
11/12/16ABuducnost77-54
08/12/16AFenerbahce72-87
05/12/16HFMP Beograd93-62
02/12/16HZalgiris Kaunas79-88
28/11/16APetrol Olimpija85-67
24/11/16AAnadolu Efes79-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cedevita
ABA League 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%71%71%
Points / game89.193.684.7
Allowed / game79.675.184.0
Point differential+9.6+18.4+0.7
Avg total168.7168.7168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.587.183.9
Allowed / game66.068.463.6
Point differential+19.5+18.7+20.3
Avg total151.5155.6147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+93%86%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda14140100%85.566.0+19.5
2 Partizan1512380%80.373.7+6.7
3 Cedevita1410471%89.179.6+9.6
4 Cibona1410471%83.978.4+5.6
5 Buducnost1410471%82.777.2+5.5
6 Igokea158753%75.076.5-1.5
7 Petrol Olimpija146843%81.082.2-1.2
8 Zadar145936%79.788.1-8.4
9 KK Krka Novo mesto145936%72.681.5-8.9
10 Mega Bemax1551033%80.383.7-3.4
11 Mornar Bar1441029%77.179.6-2.5
12 FMP Beograd1541127%74.479.8-5.4
13 Karpos1541127%74.280.3-6.1
14 MZT Skopje1541127%76.184.2-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cedevita2211283091
Crvena zvezda1325302795
← all games of the day
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