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Mornar Bar vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 31 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 59-71
17-10 15-21 11-22 16-18
Position#8
Record2-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game73.3
vs
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game66.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 7
Domestic2016
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda
20 Jan 2025
MBA69
CZV110
03 Mar 2024
MBA66
CZV102
20 Apr 2023
MBA65
CZV87
24 Oct 2021
MBA69
CZV77
24 Jan 2021
MBA78
CZV86
09 Feb 2019
MBA57
CZV90
25 Mar 2018
MBA88
CZV84
17 Dec 2017
MBA74
CZV82
31 Oct 2016
MBA59
CZV71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#29
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A27/09
Champions League
Igokea
#29
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H29/09
Champions League
Partizan
#2
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H01/10
ABA League
Cibona
#7
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A04/10
ABA League
Karpos
#11
W
83-59
83
59
+24
H07/10
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A09/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#9
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H14/10
ABA League
Oostende
#35
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H19/10
Champions League
Buducnost
#4
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A22/10
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
57-103
57
103
-46
A26/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
17-20
21-13
11-18
20-17
16-6
21-18
26-19
18-10
10-17
15-15
14-16
16-28
21-20
28-23
24-20
24-10
18-22
14-19
27-8
15-20
24-21
13-27
20-13
16-22
28-15
21-16
17-13
23-19
9-22
23-20
19-11
20-23
22-27
9-18
17-17
7-29
22-22
18-21
10-31
148.0Avg total
73.4Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.273.3148.5+1.833%
Season at home (3)74.061.0135.0+13.067%
Season away (3)76.385.7162.0-9.30%
Last 10 (10)73.474.6148.0-1.240%
Last 5 (5)70.681.4152.0-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)68.277.0145.2-8.838%
vs Similar (9)78.978.7157.6+0.222%
vs Weaker (13)80.570.0150.5+10.577%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#13
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H30/09
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
W
88-64
88
64
+24
H03/10
ABA League
Zadar
#12
W
103-66
103
66
+37
A06/10
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#6
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H09/10
ABA League
Darussafaka
#9
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H13/10
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
67-56
67
56
+11
A17/10
ABA League
Galatasaray
#12
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A21/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#5
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H23/10
ABA League
Barcelona
#11
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H26/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A28/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
22-10
20-16
22-23
15-7
23-25
28-12
22-20
23-23
26-12
24-11
30-20
32-14
24-17
21-24
19-21
24-17
20-13
8-16
18-27
19-17
23-15
11-11
14-13
17-30
30-17
22-20
16-16
21-12
19-17
7-20
21-17
9-16
31-15
20-17
16-17
14-23
11-23
16-15
18-9
149.1Avg total
80.3Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.566.2151.7+19.3100%
Season at home (4)85.868.8154.5+17.0100%
Season away (2)85.061.0146.0+24.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.368.8149.1+11.580%
Last 5 (5)71.068.0139.0+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.779.7153.3-6.00%
vs Similar (5)65.674.2139.8-8.620%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)83.767.5151.2+16.395%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.3+1.3
Mornar BarCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#29
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/09
Champions League
Igokea
#29
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H29/09
Champions League
Partizan
#2
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H01/10
ABA League
Cibona
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A04/10
ABA League
Karpos
#11
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H07/10
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A09/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H14/10
ABA League
Oostende
#35
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H19/10
Champions League
Buducnost
#4
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A22/10
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A26/10
Champions League
75.6Avg total
36.6Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.778.7-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.036.375.3+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)39.143.182.2-4.120%-
Last 10 (10)36.639.075.6-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.244.081.2-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.442.276.6-7.912%-
vs Similar (9)38.040.378.3-2.333%-
vs Weaker (13)42.637.780.3+4.969%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#13
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H30/09
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H03/10
ABA League
Zadar
#12
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A06/10
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#6
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H09/10
ABA League
Darussafaka
#9
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H13/10
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A17/10
ABA League
Galatasaray
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A21/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#5
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H23/10
ABA League
Barcelona
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H26/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A28/10
Euroleague
77.3Avg total
43.0Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.336.277.5+5.170%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.132.274.3+9.981%-
Last 30 away (14)40.440.781.1-0.457%-
Last 10 (10)43.034.377.3+8.780%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.075.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.041.382.3-0.333%-
vs Similar (5)34.838.873.6-4.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.834.977.7+8.082%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.5
49.2%
51.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.37.8
36.7%
34.3%23.5
🏀 Free throws16.311.7
71.4%
73.3%11.7
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.621.9
58.2%
51.9%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.37.6
35.7%
34.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.613.3
71.5%
73.3%13.3
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LLWWLWLLWL
Crvena zvezda
LWWWWLWWWW
#8
League position
#1
+2.4
Net rating
+17.4
96.8
Offensive rating
111.2
94.4
Defensive rating
93.8
51.2%
Effective FG%
56.5%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
21.0%
Turnover %
15.6%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.7%
3-point %
35.7%
54.9%
Assist %
69.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 111.2Defence94.4 · 93.8Shooting51.2% · 56.5%3-point %36.7% · 35.7%Ball care21.0% · 15.6%Off. rebounds25.5% · 23.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mornar Bar wins
0
Crvena zvezda wins
No previous meetings.
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/16ATenerife57-103
22/10/16ABuducnost68-85
19/10/16HOostende74-72
14/10/16HFMP Beograd82-66
09/10/16APetrol Olimpija72-81
07/10/16HKarpos83-59
04/10/16ACibona89-91
01/10/16HPartizan57-58
29/09/16HIgokea83-60
27/09/16AIgokea69-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/16APanathinaikos59-70
26/10/16HBarcelona76-65
23/10/16HIgokea68-66
21/10/16AGalatasaray85-83
17/10/16AKK Krka Novo mesto67-56
13/10/16HDarussafaka70-73
09/10/16HMega Bemax96-76
06/10/16AZadar103-66
03/10/16HCedevita88-64
30/09/16HMZT Skopje91-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2016
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game75.274.076.3
Allowed / game73.361.085.7
Point differential+1.8+13.0-9.3
Avg total148.5135.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.585.885.0
Allowed / game66.268.861.0
Point differential+19.3+17.0+24.0
Avg total151.7154.5146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%75%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda660100%85.566.2+19.3
2 Buducnost770100%86.174.7+11.4
3 Cibona76186%87.177.3+9.9
4 Partizan76186%76.368.9+7.4
5 Cedevita74357%83.975.0+8.9
6 KK Krka Novo mesto63350%70.575.5-5.0
7 Igokea73443%75.177.6-2.4
8 Zadar73443%76.490.7-14.3
9 Mornar Bar62433%75.273.3+1.8
10 FMP Beograd72529%72.976.9-4.0
11 Mega Bemax72529%83.187.3-4.1
12 Petrol Olimpija51420%79.081.2-2.2
13 MZT Skopje71614%69.783.4-13.7
14 Karpos6060%71.584.7-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar1715111659
Crvena zvezda1021221871
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