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Crvena zvezda vs Mega Bemax Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 100-76
20-23 37-10 25-25 18-18
Position#1
Record20-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game68.6
vs
Position#7
Record10-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game84.8
EuropeABA LeagueRound 22
Domestic2018
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Mega Bemax
16 Mar 2019
CZV100
MBE76
16 Feb 2019
CZV92
MBE73
21 Apr 2018
CZV91
MBE64
04 Oct 2017
CZV90
MBE80
06 Jun 2017
CZV85
MBE70
02 May 2017
CZV89
MBE85
09 Oct 2016
CZV96
MBE76
27 May 2016
CZV77
MBE66
30 Apr 2016
CZV93
MBE74
28 Apr 2016
CZV95
MBE88
01 Oct 2015
CZV76
MBE70
06 Jun 2015
CZV109
MBE80
29 Mar 2015
CZV107
MBE83
19 Oct 2014
CZV93
MBE77
08 Jun 2014
CZV81
MBE70
27 May 2014
CZV79
MBE91
09 Feb 2014
CZV81
MBE80
25 Nov 2013
CZV86
MBE78
02 Jun 2013
CZV77
MBE68
29 May 2013
CZV78
MBE61
19 May 2013
CZV84
MBE78
04 Apr 2012
CZV92
MBE91
21 May 2011
CZV103
MBE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Bemax winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Cedevita
#2
L
68-84
68
84
-16
no box
A26/01
ABA League
Limoges
#17
L
71-72
71
72
-1
96avg 112
A29/01
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
89-61
89
61
+28
127avg 112
H02/02
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
W
105-89
105
89
+16
134avg 112
H05/02
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#10
W
90-57
90
57
+33
126avg 112
A09/02
ABA League
KK Dynamic
#6
W
75-70
75
70
+5
no box
H15/02
Korac cup
Mega Bemax
#4
W
92-73
92
73
+19
no box
H16/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#1
L
74-76
74
76
-2
no box
A17/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#4
W
70-68
70
68
+2
95avg 112
H03/03
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
87-69
87
69
+18
no box
A09/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
13-28
12-21
23-14
16-15
19-25
25-8
11-24
24-19
25-10
17-18
23-14
26-27
31-14
24-24
24-24
25-14
25-12
30-19
10-12
13-19
17-20
18-19
27-12
12-16
30-21
18-24
32-12
18-19
15-18
24-18
17-21
16-16
16-18
20-14
18-20
19-15
18-16
35-17
15-21
154.0Avg total
82.1Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.568.6153.1+15.995%
Season at home (10)87.369.2156.5+18.1100%
Season away (11)82.068.1150.1+13.991%
Last 10 (10)82.171.9154.0+10.270%
Last 5 (5)79.671.2150.8+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.083.3160.3-6.30%
vs Similar (5)82.889.0171.8-6.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.869.3155.1+16.590%
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BemaxLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBemax
Date
Competition
Cedevita
#2
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
no box
H05/01
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#13
L
78-91
78
91
-13
110avg 111
A13/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#10
W
82-80
82
80
+2
115avg 111
H19/01
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
86-98
86
98
-12
no box
A26/01
ABA League
Zadar
#11
L
85-97
85
97
-12
no box
H03/02
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
80-72
80
72
+8
114avg 111
H08/02
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#5
W
73-69
73
69
+4
no box
H15/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
73-92
73
92
-19
no box
A16/02
Korac cup
Cibona
#8
L
71-89
71
89
-18
95avg 111
A03/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
70-77
70
77
-7
101avg 111
H11/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-33
21-20
24-12
28-25
20-15
23-20
18-26
17-30
14-21
23-15
16-22
29-22
18-19
22-31
27-21
19-27
19-20
26-30
20-25
20-22
23-18
25-15
16-16
16-23
10-13
16-23
21-22
26-11
16-12
21-30
24-18
12-32
13-22
22-23
20-22
16-22
11-17
18-19
15-19
26-22
167.1Avg total
79.9Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.284.8167.0-2.648%
Season at home (11)82.381.6163.9+0.655%
Season away (10)82.188.2170.3-6.140%
Last 10 (10)79.987.2167.1-7.330%
Last 5 (5)73.479.8153.2-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.689.9169.5-10.39%
vs Similar (12)83.284.0167.2-0.867%
vs Weaker (6)91.274.7165.8+16.583%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -2.7-2.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -2.7-2.7
Crvena zvezdaMega Bemax
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita
#2
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A26/01
ABA League
Limoges
#17
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A29/01
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H02/02
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H05/02
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#10
W
50-26
50
26
+24
A09/02
ABA League
KK Dynamic
#6
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H15/02
Korac cup
Mega Bemax
#4
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H16/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A17/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#4
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H03/03
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A09/03
ABA League
76.1Avg total
39.8Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.736.779.4+6.067%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.434.379.6+11.186%-
Last 30 away (16)40.338.879.1+1.550%-
Last 10 (10)39.836.376.1+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)34.835.670.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.040.378.3-2.333%-
vs Similar (5)43.846.490.2-2.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.733.877.4+9.976%-
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BemaxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita
#2
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H05/01
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A13/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H19/01
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A26/01
ABA League
Zadar
#11
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H03/02
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H08/02
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#5
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H15/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A16/02
Korac cup
Cibona
#8
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A03/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H11/03
ABA League
79.4Avg total
37.8Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.982.8-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.141.180.2-2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)42.942.685.5+0.340%-
Last 10 (10)37.841.679.4-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.038.473.4-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.044.982.9-6.99%-
vs Similar (12)41.442.083.4-0.650%-
vs Weaker (6)48.037.085.0+11.083%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.1
56.9%
51.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.2
36.8%
33.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.013.1
72.8%
72.5%13.1
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Bemaxtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Bemax: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.319.0
46.0%
51.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.4
30.2%
33.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws30.619.6
64.1%
72.5%19.6
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WWLWWWWWLL
Mega Bemax
LLLWWLLWLL
#1
League position
#7
+11.5
Net rating
-8.6
111.9
Offensive rating
100.6
100.4
Defensive rating
109.1
56.2%
Effective FG%
45.7%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
17.7%
Turnover %
16.3%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.47
36.8%
3-point %
30.2%
58.0%
Assist %
68.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 100.6Defence100.4 · 109.1Shooting56.2% · 45.7%3-point %36.8% · 30.2%Ball care17.7% · 16.3%Off. rebounds30.4% · 30.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.47Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Mega Bemax
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Crvena zvezda wins
1
Mega Bemax wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/19AZadar87-69
03/03/19HPartizan70-68
17/02/19APartizan74-76
16/02/19HMega Bemax92-73
15/02/19HKK Dynamic75-70
09/02/19AMornar Bar90-57
05/02/19HUnicaja105-89
02/02/19HPetrol Olimpija89-61
29/01/19ALimoges71-72
26/01/19ACedevita68-84
Mega Bemaxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/19HBuducnost70-77
03/03/19ACibona71-89
16/02/19ACrvena zvezda73-92
15/02/19HBorac Mozzart73-69
08/02/19HKK Krka Novo mesto80-72
03/02/19HZadar85-97
26/01/19APartizan86-98
19/01/19HMornar Bar82-80
13/01/19APetrol Olimpija78-91
05/01/19HCedevita101-107 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW95%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %95%100%91%
Points / game84.587.382.0
Allowed / game68.669.268.1
Point differential+15.9+18.1+13.9
Avg total153.1156.5150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+76%90%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mega Bemax
ABA League 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL48%
HomeLWLWL55%
AwayLLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%55%40%
Points / game82.282.382.1
Allowed / game84.881.688.2
Point differential-2.6+0.6-6.1
Avg total167.0163.9170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (7)100% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %10%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2120195%84.568.6+15.9
2 Cedevita2216673%87.580.4+7.0
3 Buducnost2115671%80.674.0+6.6
4 Partizan2214864%80.975.6+5.3
5 Mega Bemax21101148%82.284.8-2.6
6 FMP Beograd22101245%78.981.2-2.3
7 Cibona2191243%79.181.9-2.7
8 Mornar Bar2281436%80.986.7-5.8
9 Zadar2171433%82.085.7-3.8
10 Igokea2171433%80.985.1-4.2
11 Petrol Olimpija2161529%77.482.0-4.5
12 KK Krka Novo mesto2161529%72.681.8-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda20372518100
Mega Bemax2310251876
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