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Mornar Bar vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 57-90
14-25 12-25 19-30 12-10
Position#10
Record7-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game87.4
Mornar Bar
vs
Crvena zvezda 🏆
Position#1
Record17-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game69.3
EuropeABA LeagueRound 19
Domestic2018
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda
20 Jan 2025
MBA69
CZV110
03 Mar 2024
MBA66
CZV102
20 Apr 2023
MBA65
CZV87
24 Oct 2021
MBA69
CZV77
24 Jan 2021
MBA78
CZV86
09 Feb 2019
MBA57
CZV90
25 Mar 2018
MBA88
CZV84
17 Dec 2017
MBA74
CZV82
31 Oct 2016
MBA59
CZV71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#16
L
83-87
83
87
-4
no box
H12/12
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
L
102-103
102
103
-1
129avg 109
H15/12
ABA League
Rytas
#11
L
67-71
67
71
-4
99avg 109
A19/12
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
80-75
80
75
+5
111avg 109
H23/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
86-77
86
77
+9
109avg 109
H29/12
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
100avg 109
A05/01
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H13/01
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#7
L
80-82
80
82
-2
115avg 109
A19/01
ABA League
Cibona
#8
W
91-78
91
78
+13
122avg 109
H28/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
71-102
71
102
-31
92avg 109
A04/02
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
16-21
15-18
26-23
27-25
26-19
33-34
16-25
15-17
22-14
17-20
13-20
18-16
20-22
25-22
17-15
21-20
25-15
12-28
28-14
14-18
15-20
24-17
20-20
22-25
25-14
25-22
17-20
21-14
15-23
22-16
22-29
24-19
26-19
21-18
20-22
15-22
17-26
15-28
24-26
165.3Avg total
82.2Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.687.4170.9-3.839%
Season at home (9)90.888.2179.0+2.656%
Season away (9)76.386.6162.9-10.222%
Last 10 (10)82.283.1165.3-0.940%
Last 5 (5)80.883.6164.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)80.192.6172.7-12.619%
vs Similar (13)82.381.5163.8+0.854%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
96-66
96
66
+30
129avg 111
A04/01
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
98avg 111
A08/01
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
W
79-77
79
77
+2
100avg 111
A12/01
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
76-92
76
92
-16
99avg 111
A16/01
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
79-62
79
62
+17
109avg 111
H19/01
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
81-82
81
82
-1
102avg 111
H23/01
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
L
68-84
68
84
-16
no box
A26/01
ABA League
Limoges
#17
L
71-72
71
72
-1
96avg 111
A29/01
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
89-61
89
61
+28
127avg 111
H02/02
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
W
105-89
105
89
+16
134avg 111
H05/02
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
30-18
17-23
27-12
13-26
24-25
18-14
19-14
20-18
21-25
18-19
20-15
23-21
14-21
20-25
19-25
18-9
22-12
16-23
23-18
17-21
27-21
14-22
23-18
20-21
13-28
12-21
23-14
16-15
19-25
25-8
11-24
24-19
25-10
17-18
23-14
26-27
31-14
24-24
24-24
158.2Avg total
81.8Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.969.3154.2+15.694%
Season at home (9)89.269.3158.6+19.9100%
Season away (9)80.669.2149.8+11.389%
Last 10 (10)81.876.4158.2+5.450%
Last 5 (5)82.877.6160.4+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.587.0165.5-8.50%
vs Similar (6)83.287.3170.5-4.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)84.969.4154.3+15.586%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
Mornar BarCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#16
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H12/12
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H15/12
ABA League
Rytas
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A19/12
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H23/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H29/12
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A05/01
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H13/01
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A19/01
ABA League
Cibona
#8
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H28/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A04/02
ABA League
80.4Avg total
41.0Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.843.884.7-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.943.987.9+0.044%-
Last 30 away (14)37.343.781.0-6.429%-
Last 10 (10)41.039.480.4+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.078.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.947.388.2-6.431%-
vs Similar (13)40.539.379.8+1.246%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
52-31
52
31
+21
A04/01
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A08/01
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A12/01
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A16/01
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
40-21
40
21
+19
H19/01
ABA League
Valencia
#1
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H23/01
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A26/01
ABA League
Limoges
#17
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A29/01
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H02/02
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H05/02
Eurocup
81.4Avg total
42.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.236.880.9+7.473%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.833.781.5+14.1100%-
Last 30 away (15)40.539.980.4+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.981.4+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.283.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.542.082.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (6)43.844.288.0-0.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.634.378.9+10.377%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.2
52.0%
51.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.1
33.0%
33.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.615.9
67.4%
72.5%15.9
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.519.7
55.5%
51.6%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.5
38.8%
33.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.012.9
75.9%
72.5%12.9
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LWLWLWWLLL
Crvena zvezda
WWLLLWLWLW
#10
League position
#1
-0.6
Net rating
+7.2
105.9
Offensive rating
112.2
106.6
Defensive rating
105.0
50.9%
Effective FG%
56.6%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.8%
Turnover %
17.6%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.0%
3-point %
38.8%
56.2%
Assist %
59.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 112.2Defence106.6 · 105.0Shooting50.9% · 56.6%3-point %33.0% · 38.8%Ball care16.8% · 17.6%Off. rebounds31.1% · 29.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mornar Bar wins
7
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
17/11/18Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar104-71
02/04/18Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar88-69
25/03/18Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda88-84
18/03/18Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar91-63
17/12/17Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda74-82
01/10/17Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar88-77
30/01/17Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar82-71
31/10/16Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda59-71
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/19ABuducnost71-102
28/01/19HCibona91-78
19/01/19AMega Bemax80-82
13/01/19HZadar89-81
05/01/19APartizan73-75
29/12/18HKK Krka Novo mesto86-77
23/12/18HPetrol Olimpija80-75
19/12/18ARytas67-71
15/12/18HCedevita102-103
12/12/18HFrankfurt83-87
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/19HUnicaja105-89
02/02/19HPetrol Olimpija89-61
29/01/19ALimoges71-72
26/01/19ACedevita68-84
23/01/19HValencia81-82
19/01/19HFMP Beograd79-62
16/01/19AValencia76-92
12/01/19AIgokea79-77
08/01/19AUnicaja74-79
04/01/19AKK Krka Novo mesto96-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL39%
HomeLWWWW56%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%56%22%
Points / game83.690.876.3
Allowed / game87.488.286.6
Point differential-3.8+2.6-10.2
Avg total170.9179.0162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)40% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %94%100%89%
Points / game84.989.280.6
Allowed / game69.369.369.2
Point differential+15.6+19.9+11.3
Avg total154.2158.6149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%100%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1817194%84.969.3+15.6
2 Buducnost1813572%81.874.4+7.4
3 Cedevita1813572%87.480.7+6.8
4 Partizan1812667%83.177.6+5.6
5 Mega Bemax1910953%83.484.9-1.5
6 FMP Beograd1881044%80.382.5-2.2
7 Mornar Bar1871139%83.687.4-3.8
8 Cibona1871139%76.882.3-5.5
9 Zadar1861233%82.785.9-3.3
10 Igokea1861233%82.887.1-4.3
11 Petrol Olimpija1851328%77.882.8-4.9
12 KK Krka Novo mesto1951426%72.281.4-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar1412191257
Crvena zvezda2525301090
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