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Crvena zvezda vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 82-64
11-12 28-18 22-19 21-15
Position#16
Record9-14
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Position#14
Record12-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game76.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 24· Beogradska arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Valencia
26 Mar 2027
CZV v VAL
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
CZV89
VAL106
30 Jan 2024
CZV82
VAL64
29 Mar 2023
CZV92
VAL73
18 Dec 2020
CZV76
VAL73
23 Jan 2019
CZV81
VAL82
15 Mar 2018
CZV106
VAL90
30 Oct 2014
CZV76
VAL63
27 Jan 2009
CZV73
VAL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
W
85-76
85
76
+9
86avg 81
A02/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
88-72
88
72
+16
86avg 81
H04/01
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
86-96
86
96
-10
72avg 81
A06/01
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
91-100
91
100
-9
82avg 81
A09/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
76-62
76
62
+14
73avg 81
A11/01
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
90-74
90
74
+16
83avg 81
H14/01
ABA League
Baskonia
#9
L
90-91
90
91
-1
82avg 81
H18/01
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#11
W
87-54
87
54
+33
88avg 81
H21/01
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#18
L
80-89
80
89
-9
62avg 81
A25/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#3
W
88-86
88
86
+2
82avg 81
H28/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
16-9
23-22
28-19
24-13
26-16
15-19
23-24
21-23
16-26
28-21
21-26
25-25
20-23
22-22
24-30
23-15
24-16
10-16
19-15
35-18
16-26
22-18
17-12
30-20
22-23
10-26
28-22
26-13
20-19
18-14
23-8
16-18
20-33
18-21
26-17
28-15
27-23
17-18
16-30
166.1Avg total
86.1Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.980.9162.8+1.039%
Season at home (10)82.076.1158.1+5.960%
Season away (13)81.884.5166.4-2.723%
Last 10 (10)86.180.0166.1+6.160%
Last 5 (5)87.078.8165.8+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.674.8150.4+0.840%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.583.7169.2+1.850%
vs Weaker (15)88.174.8162.9+13.380%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
93-88
93
88
+5
90avg 71
H03/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
81-82
81
82
-1
79avg 71
H05/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
79-86
79
86
-7
77avg 71
H07/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
79-84
79
84
-5
73avg 71
H09/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
86-96 OT
86
96
-10
77avg 71
A11/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
88-80
88
80
+8
80avg 71
H14/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
84-72
84
72
+12
79avg 71
H19/01
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
85-75
85
75
+10
70avg 71
A21/01
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
77-62
77
62
+15
71avg 71
A26/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
50avg 71
H28/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
25-27
28-21
22-22
23-22
24-25
22-19
12-16
24-17
16-20
19-24
20-25
21-27
21-21
22-14
15-22
24-16
16-19
15-23
27-24
24-24
18-23
17-21
29-12
21-19
11-21
29-19
23-13
13-20
23-19
22-20
27-16
16-13
29-16
13-19
19-14
7-19
18-22
17-16
21-26
162.3Avg total
81.5Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.976.1153.0+0.852%
Season at home (13)78.976.9155.8+2.062%
Season away (10)74.375.0149.3-0.740%
Last 10 (10)81.580.8162.3+0.750%
Last 5 (5)79.474.4153.8+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.980.0152.9-7.112%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.178.6157.7+0.553%
vs Weaker (7)82.978.1161.0+4.757%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.5+2.5
Crvena zvezdaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A02/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H04/01
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A06/01
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A09/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A11/01
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H14/01
ABA League
Baskonia
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H18/01
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H21/01
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#18
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A25/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#3
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H28/01
ABA League
85.3Avg total
45.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.740.184.8+4.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.437.384.7+10.187%-
Last 30 away (15)42.142.984.9-0.840%-
Last 10 (10)45.340.085.3+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)48.041.689.6+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.637.875.4-0.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)46.342.588.8+3.860%-
vs Weaker (15)46.139.285.3+6.980%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H03/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H05/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H07/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H09/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A11/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H14/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H19/01
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A21/01
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A26/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H28/01
ACB
80.0Avg total
39.2Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.678.9-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.142.182.2-1.931%-
Last 30 away (14)38.436.975.2+1.564%-
Last 10 (10)39.240.880.0-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)36.039.275.2-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.239.977.1-2.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.738.578.3+1.260%-
vs Weaker (7)40.741.782.4-1.029%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.8
57.6%
53.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.8
35.9%
36.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.1
75.2%
77.4%16.1
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.1
52.0%
53.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.3
34.2%
36.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.814.1
79.2%
77.4%14.1
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WLWLWWLLWW
Valencia
LWWWWLLLLW
#16
League position
#14
+7.9
Net rating
+2.4
118.0
Offensive rating
109.9
110.1
Defensive rating
107.5
55.9%
Effective FG%
51.7%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.1%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.9%
3-point %
34.2%
57.4%
Assist %
59.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.0 · 109.9Defence110.1 · 107.5Shooting55.9% · 51.7%3-point %35.9% · 34.2%Ball care15.6% · 16.1%Off. rebounds31.2% · 30.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Crvena zvezda wins
4
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HPartizan88-86
25/01/24AAlba Berlin80-89
21/01/24HFMP Beograd87-54
18/01/24HBaskonia90-91
14/01/24HBorac Mozzart90-74
11/01/24AOlimpia Milano76-62
09/01/24ALyon-Villeurbanne91-100
06/01/24ACedevita Olimpija86-96
04/01/24HPartizan88-72
02/01/24AFenerbahce85-76
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HUnicaja63-83
26/01/24ABaskonia77-62
21/01/24ABasket Zaragoza85-75
19/01/24HOlimpia Milano84-72
14/01/24HBreogan88-80
11/01/24AReal Madrid86-96 OT
09/01/24HZalgiris Kaunas79-84
07/01/24HGran Canaria79-86
05/01/24HPanathinaikos81-82
03/01/24HAnadolu Efes93-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL39%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLWLWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %39%60%23%
Points / game81.982.081.8
Allowed / game80.976.184.5
Point differential+1.0+5.9-2.7
Avg total162.8158.1166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%50%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (7)0% (1)0% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW52%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayWWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %52%62%40%
Points / game76.978.974.3
Allowed / game76.176.975.0
Point differential+0.8+2.0-0.7
Avg total153.0155.8149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%8%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)50% (8)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2320387%89.079.0+10.0
2 Barcelona2315865%82.479.6+2.8
3 Virtus Bologna2315865%81.381.0+0.3
4 Panathinaikos2314961%81.878.6+3.2
5 Fenerbahce2314961%84.081.7+2.3
6 Monaco23131057%81.479.9+1.5
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv23131057%85.886.8-1.0
8 Olympiacos23121152%77.975.3+2.6
9 Valencia23121152%76.976.1+0.8
10 Partizan23121152%83.783.6+0.2
11 Baskonia23121152%81.482.4-1.0
12 Olimpia Milano23101343%77.676.5+1.1
13 Crvena zvezda2391439%81.980.9+1.0
14 Anadolu Efes2391439%84.687.6-3.0
15 Bayern2391439%78.581.6-3.1
16 Zalgiris Kaunas2381535%79.081.3-2.3
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2351822%78.586.0-7.5
18 Alba Berlin2351822%76.084.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda1128222182
Valencia1218191564
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