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Crvena zvezda vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-73
20-22 25-14 12-21 19-16
Position#17
Record4-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game77.8
Crvena zvezda 🏆
vs
Valencia
Position#8
Record9-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game81.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15
European cup2020
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Valencia
26 Mar 2027
CZV v VAL
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
CZV89
VAL106
30 Jan 2024
CZV82
VAL64
29 Mar 2023
CZV92
VAL73
18 Dec 2020
CZV76
VAL73
23 Jan 2019
CZV81
VAL82
15 Mar 2018
CZV106
VAL90
30 Oct 2014
CZV76
VAL63
27 Jan 2009
CZV73
VAL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Split
#11
W
78-76
78
76
+2
70avg 74
H15/11
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
87-79
87
79
+8
84avg 74
A18/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
65-76
65
76
-11
56avg 74
A20/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#7
W
86-85
86
85
+1
80avg 74
A23/11
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
64-75
64
75
-11
56avg 74
H26/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
76-81
76
81
-5
64avg 74
A03/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#2
L
65-67
65
67
-2
56avg 74
H06/12
ABA League
Olympiacos
#12
L
79-81
79
81
-2
67avg 74
H10/12
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#8
W
111-75
111
75
+36
118avg 74
A12/12
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#15
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
no box
H15/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
20-18
22-17
18-17
18-23
30-21
18-16
21-19
6-19
16-20
22-22
21-15
22-19
28-21
24-25
12-20
14-16
22-24
14-27
14-8
20-23
18-18
17-15
21-25
20-17
19-27
16-12
10-11
30-16
15-21
16-25
18-19
30-19
31-19
28-25
22-12
16-15
21-19
20-14
19-28
158.0Avg total
79.5Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.477.8153.1-2.429%
Season at home (7)77.078.7155.7-1.729%
Season away (7)73.776.9150.6-3.129%
Last 10 (10)79.578.5158.0+1.040%
Last 5 (5)83.078.8161.8+4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.277.1151.3-2.930%
vs Similar (7)82.681.0163.6+1.657%
vs Weaker (12)82.467.0149.4+15.483%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
82-80
82
80
+2
82avg 78
H20/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
89-95
89
95
-6
84avg 78
H22/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
W
90-86
90
86
+4
90avg 78
A27/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
W
100-90
100
90
+10
105avg 78
A01/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#15
L
92-100
92
100
-8
84avg 78
H03/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
68-61
68
61
+7
64avg 78
A05/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
72-85
72
85
-13
64avg 78
H08/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
77avg 78
H10/12
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 78
A13/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
W
96-85
96
85
+11
no box
A16/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
24-20
15-22
24-21
16-22
22-20
30-18
21-35
16-17
17-26
26-21
31-22
32-22
19-29
19-19
30-20
21-27
29-24
15-32
27-17
21-16
9-15
22-6
16-24
12-16
27-17
21-32
12-20
19-23
21-15
14-22
22-14
15-27
19-13
21-21
31-20
25-16
27-23
24-26
20-20
168.8Avg total
85.1Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.981.5164.4+1.464%
Season at home (8)79.279.6158.9-0.462%
Season away (6)87.884.0171.8+3.867%
Last 10 (10)85.183.7168.8+1.470%
Last 5 (5)79.677.2156.8+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.282.7159.8-5.533%
vs Similar (11)85.085.1170.1-0.155%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.678.9161.5+3.775%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
Crvena zvezdaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H15/11
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A18/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A20/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A23/11
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H26/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A03/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H06/12
ABA League
Olympiacos
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H10/12
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#8
W
61-38
61
38
+23
A12/12
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#15
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H15/12
Euroleague
81.3Avg total
41.4Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.238.779.9+2.452%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.638.779.3+1.957%-
Last 30 away (15)41.738.780.5+3.047%-
Last 10 (10)41.439.981.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.038.882.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.638.374.9-1.740%-
vs Similar (7)38.639.678.1-1.057%-
vs Weaker (11)47.037.984.9+9.164%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H20/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H22/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A27/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A01/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#15
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H03/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A05/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H08/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/12
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A13/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A16/12
Euroleague
81.5Avg total
41.0Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.240.679.8-1.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.740.980.7-1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)38.740.379.0-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)41.040.581.5+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.275.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.341.776.0-7.333%-
vs Similar (11)40.141.581.5-1.445%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.739.680.2+1.158%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.216.9
48.0%
52.7%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.1
37.3%
38.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.515.7
80.5%
79.3%15.7
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.3
55.8%
52.7%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.810.2
41.1%
38.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.714.9
84.2%
79.3%14.9
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
LWLLLLWLWW
Valencia
WWWLWLWWLW
#17
League position
#8
+1.4
Net rating
+2.0
111.0
Offensive rating
118.1
109.6
Defensive rating
116.1
51.3%
Effective FG%
58.2%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
17.8%
Turnover %
17.9%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.3%
3-point %
41.1%
58.8%
Assist %
69.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 118.1Defence109.6 · 116.1Shooting51.3% · 58.2%3-point %37.3% · 41.1%Ball care17.8% · 17.9%Off. rebounds34.6% · 30.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Crvena zvezda wins
4
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
23/01/19Crvena zvezda v Valencia81-82
16/01/19Valencia v Crvena zvezda92-76
15/03/18Crvena zvezda v Valencia106-90
15/12/17Valencia v Crvena zvezda82-86
05/12/14Valencia v Crvena zvezda68-77
30/10/14Crvena zvezda v Valencia76-63
03/03/09Valencia v Crvena zvezda82-80
27/01/09Crvena zvezda v Valencia73-85
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/20HAlba Berlin84-90 OT
12/12/20AFMP Beograd111-75
10/12/20HOlympiacos79-81
06/12/20HBuducnost65-67
03/12/20AMaccabi Tel Aviv76-81
26/11/20HAnadolu Efes64-75
23/11/20APartizan86-85
20/11/20ABarcelona65-76
18/11/20AOlimpia Milano87-79
15/11/20HSplit78-76
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/20AOlympiacos96-85
13/12/20AEstudiantes86-81
10/12/20HAnadolu Efes76-74
08/12/20HZenit Petersburg72-85
05/12/20AFuenlabrada68-61
03/12/20HAlba Berlin92-100
01/12/20ABarcelona100-90
27/11/20AFenerbahce90-86
22/11/20HTenerife89-95
20/11/20HMaccabi Tel Aviv82-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeWLLLL29%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%29%29%
Points / game75.477.073.7
Allowed / game77.878.776.9
Point differential-2.4-1.7-3.1
Avg total153.1155.7150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%29%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW64%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %64%62%67%
Points / game82.979.287.8
Allowed / game81.579.684.0
Point differential+1.4-0.4+3.8
Avg total164.4158.9171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%12%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)80% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1512380%84.277.2+7.0
2 Barcelona1411379%81.772.0+9.7
3 Real Madrid149564%82.579.3+3.2
4 Bayern149564%79.476.6+2.7
5 Olimpia Milano149564%81.579.5+2.0
6 Valencia149564%82.981.5+1.4
7 Zenit Petersburg138562%73.972.9+1.0
8 Olympiacos137654%77.878.8-0.9
9 Zalgiris Kaunas158753%80.578.0+2.5
10 Anadolu Efes157847%76.777.8-1.1
11 Baskonia136746%78.574.8+3.7
12 Alba Berlin146843%78.183.1-5.0
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv145936%78.678.5+0.1
14 Panathinaikos145936%80.483.8-3.4
15 Fenerbahce1551033%72.280.3-8.1
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne134931%74.577.9-3.4
17 Crvena zvezda1441029%75.477.8-2.4
18 Khimki M.1421214%79.188.2-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2025121976
Valencia2214211673
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