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Crvena zvezda vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 92-73
20-21 26-20 23-21 23-11
Position#11
Record13-17
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#13
Record14-16
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game85.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 31
European cup2022
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Valencia
26 Mar 2027
CZV v VAL
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
CZV89
VAL106
30 Jan 2024
CZV82
VAL64
29 Mar 2023
CZV92
VAL73
18 Dec 2020
CZV76
VAL73
23 Jan 2019
CZV81
VAL82
15 Mar 2018
CZV106
VAL90
30 Oct 2014
CZV76
VAL63
27 Jan 2009
CZV73
VAL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#2
W
96-79
96
79
+17
no box
H18/02
Korac cup
Alba Berlin
#17
L
72-87
72
87
-15
56avg 76
H24/02
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
L
80-87
80
87
-7
no box
A02/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#11
L
81-85
81
85
-4
74avg 76
A05/03
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
94-75
94
75
+19
94avg 76
H08/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#15
L
66-75
66
75
-9
57avg 76
A10/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#1
L
81-92
81
92
-11
no box
A13/03
ABA League
Barcelona
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
73avg 76
A17/03
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#8
W
90-70
90
70
+20
84avg 76
H19/03
ABA League
Baskonia
#8
W
74-63
74
63
+11
65avg 76
H23/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
29-21
27-21
18-14
25-15
19-24
17-21
11-27
23-19
15-22
18-11
24-35
24-22
16-17
27-22
14-24
20-25
29-20
19-22
26-8
17-9
25-20
13-23
11-23
24-13
24-21
18-29
15-29
15-18
21-22
21-17
22-28
29-26
17-11
24-19
20-14
21-26
18-12
18-11
17-14
161.1Avg total
81.3Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.078.2154.2-2.243%
Season at home (14)77.475.1152.5+2.257%
Season away (16)74.880.9155.7-6.131%
Last 10 (10)81.379.8161.1+1.540%
Last 5 (5)78.077.0155.0+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.587.2167.8-6.825%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.177.7155.8+0.442%
vs Weaker (13)87.273.2160.5+14.085%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
85-92
85
92
-7
75avg 76
H24/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
75-114
75
114
-39
55avg 76
A03/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
71avg 76
H05/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
84-88
84
88
-4
72avg 76
H07/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
91-95
91
95
-4
81avg 76
A09/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
79-75
79
75
+4
74avg 76
A12/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
82-80
82
80
+2
73avg 76
H16/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
80-72
80
72
+8
72avg 76
H19/03
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
79-90
79
90
-11
69avg 76
A24/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
75-86
75
86
-11
63avg 76
A26/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
20-20
13-30
27-27
24-27
24-30
16-24
11-33
19-24
16-20
22-8
20-20
21-17
21-22
13-26
29-23
20-24
20-25
25-22
26-24
26-19
20-13
9-20
24-23
22-21
21-21
18-18
21-20
20-18
18-16
24-18
18-20
22-22
19-26
23-23
15-19
22-24
14-14
19-20
20-28
167.1Avg total
80.7Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)82.885.7168.5-2.847%
Season at home (16)82.681.6164.1+1.050%
Season away (14)83.190.4173.5-7.243%
Last 10 (10)80.786.4167.1-5.740%
Last 5 (5)79.080.6159.6-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)82.887.7170.5-4.938%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.983.5167.5+0.455%
vs Weaker (5)92.881.2174.0+11.6100%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -2.6-2.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -2.6-2.6
Crvena zvezdaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#2
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H18/02
Korac cup
Alba Berlin
#17
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H24/02
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A02/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A05/03
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H08/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#15
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A10/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#1
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A13/03
ABA League
Barcelona
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A17/03
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H19/03
ABA League
Baskonia
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H23/03
Euroleague
81.9Avg total
43.3Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.480.5+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.439.484.8+6.077%-
Last 30 away (17)39.637.677.2+1.959%-
Last 10 (10)43.338.681.9+4.780%-
Last 5 (5)42.235.677.8+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.841.579.2-3.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.038.880.8+3.267%-
vs Weaker (13)44.137.681.7+6.585%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H24/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A03/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H05/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H07/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A09/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A12/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H16/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H19/03
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A24/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A26/03
ACB
83.2Avg total
41.4Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.083.0+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.038.779.7+2.373%-
Last 30 away (15)42.943.386.2-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.883.2-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.838.879.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.541.883.4-0.354%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.941.584.4+1.555%-
vs Weaker (5)42.637.880.4+4.880%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.3
51.5%
53.5%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.3
36.1%
36.2%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.414.9
76.8%
78.5%14.9
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.2
51.0%
53.5%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.4
34.9%
36.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.514.1
80.6%
78.5%14.1
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WWLLLWLLLW
Valencia
LLWWWLLWLL
#11
League position
#13
+2.1
Net rating
-8.3
113.0
Offensive rating
106.9
110.9
Defensive rating
115.2
52.7%
Effective FG%
51.7%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
60.4%
14.9%
Turnover %
16.2%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.1%
3-point %
34.9%
69.6%
Assist %
59.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 106.9Defence110.9 · 115.2Shooting52.7% · 51.7%3-point %36.1% · 34.9%Ball care14.9% · 16.2%Off. rebounds28.6% · 24.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Crvena zvezda wins
4
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/23HBaskonia74-63
19/03/23HStudentski Centar90-70
17/03/23ABarcelona79-85
13/03/23APartizan81-92
10/03/23APanathinaikos66-75
08/03/23HAnadolu Efes94-75
05/03/23ACibona81-85
02/03/23ABayern80-87
24/02/23HAlba Berlin72-87
18/02/23HMega Basket96-79
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/23ABasket Zaragoza75-86
24/03/23AMonaco79-90
19/03/23HGranada80-72
16/03/23HFenerbahce82-80
12/03/23ABasquet Girona79-75
09/03/23AReal Madrid91-95
07/03/23HOlimpia Milano84-88
05/03/23HTenerife77-72
03/03/23ABaskonia75-114
24/02/23HOlympiacos85-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeWLLWW57%
AwayLWLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %43%57%31%
Points / game76.077.474.8
Allowed / game78.275.180.9
Point differential-2.2+2.2-6.1
Avg total154.2152.5155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)43% (7)83% (6)
Overtime %7%7%6%
Valencia
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL47%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %47%50%43%
Points / game82.882.683.1
Allowed / game85.781.690.4
Point differential-2.8+1.0-7.2
Avg total168.5164.1173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (17)44% (9)62% (8)
Overtime %7%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos3021970%84.376.2+8.2
2 Real Madrid3021970%85.278.5+6.7
3 Barcelona31211068%81.277.3+3.9
4 Monaco31201165%83.681.4+2.2
5 Fenerbahce30181260%84.280.6+3.6
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv31181358%83.581.4+2.1
7 Partizan31171455%84.582.5+2.1
8 Baskonia31161552%85.883.9+1.9
9 Zalgiris Kaunas31161552%75.677.6-1.9
10 Anadolu Efes31151648%82.781.4+1.3
11 Valencia30141647%82.885.7-2.8
12 Olimpia Milano31141745%74.577.1-2.6
13 Crvena zvezda30131743%76.078.2-2.2
14 Virtus Bologna31131842%78.482.7-4.4
15 Panathinaikos31112035%79.382.6-3.3
16 Bayern31112035%76.780.4-3.7
17 Alba Berlin3192229%80.485.2-4.8
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne3082227%74.780.7-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2026232392
Valencia2120211173
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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