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Crvena zvezda vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 87-76
20-10 19-31 19-13 29-22
Position#5
Record16-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Position#10
Record10-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game75.1
EuropeABA LeagueRound 21· Beogradska arena
Domestic2024
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Zadar
06 Oct 2025
CZV79
ZAD85
02 Mar 2025
CZV87
ZAD76
11 Feb 2024
CZV93
ZAD54
28 Apr 2023
CZV100
ZAD73
07 Nov 2022
CZV96
ZAD98
13 Feb 2022
CZV91
ZAD69
02 Jan 2021
CZV81
ZAD66
09 Dec 2018
CZV97
ZAD70
12 Feb 2018
CZV97
ZAD67
02 Jan 2017
CZV113
ZAD65
24 Dec 2015
CZV83
ZAD57
19 Jan 2015
CZV93
ZAD66
09 Dec 2013
CZV82
ZAD69
22 Dec 2012
CZV88
ZAD79
29 Oct 2010
CZV76
ZAD89
16 Mar 2010
CZV77
ZAD72
06 Dec 2008
CZV89
ZAD79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Split
#14
W
96-66
96
66
+30
87avg 82
H26/01
ABA League
Partizan
#12
W
73-71
73
71
+2
72avg 82
A31/01
Euroleague
Igokea
#7
W
92-82
92
82
+10
84avg 82
A02/02
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
73-66
73
66
+7
69avg 82
H04/02
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
77-71
77
71
+6
70avg 82
A06/02
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
81avg 82
H10/02
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#7
W
104-70
104
70
+34
113avg 82
H12/02
Korac cup
FMP Beograd
#4
W
84-63
84
63
+21
87avg 82
H14/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
no box
H15/02
Korac cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
80-86
80
86
-6
69avg 82
H27/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
28-17
20-19
23-15
21-18
21-19
13-16
18-18
20-32
28-22
23-10
21-18
19-18
17-13
20-17
17-18
15-13
25-22
19-20
18-16
11-19
25-23
21-21
23-17
30-21
25-23
23-10
26-16
22-16
19-18
22-21
21-8
16-20
24-17
18-20
19-20
22-23
21-21
17-23
20-19
161.1Avg total
85.7Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)89.879.4169.2+10.480%
Season at home (10)93.080.5173.5+12.580%
Season away (10)86.678.3164.9+8.380%
Last 10 (10)85.775.4161.1+10.380%
Last 5 (5)89.279.6168.8+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)89.084.0173.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (13)84.084.2168.2-0.254%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)87.774.7162.5+13.093%
This opponent (Zadar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Igokea
#7
L
89-94
89
94
-5
91avg 75
A19/01
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#11
W
69-66
69
66
+3
61avg 75
A22/01
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#12
W
71-58
71
58
+13
61avg 75
H25/01
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
89-74
89
74
+15
88avg 75
H27/01
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
77-84
77
84
-7
72avg 75
A01/02
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
85avg 75
A03/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
98-71
98
71
+27
98avg 75
H06/02
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
75-100
75
100
-25
72avg 75
A10/02
ABA League
Split
#1
L
70-71
70
71
-1
64avg 75
A12/02
Croatian Cup
Kvarner
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
55avg 75
A28/02
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
26-25
22-24
21-17
20-17
24-27
8-8
17-14
19-15
20-15
16-12
16-16
25-26
26-18
18-17
20-13
19-18
20-24
20-26
18-16
21-21
24-8
26-29
12-16
38-21
30-11
13-22
17-17
16-22
19-29
25-21
15-28
21-21
22-18
15-16
12-16
13-10
18-28
22-19
15-22
156.0Avg total
78.9Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.975.1151.0+0.850%
Season at home (11)73.372.8146.1+0.545%
Season away (9)79.177.9157.0+1.256%
Last 10 (10)78.977.1156.0+1.850%
Last 5 (5)78.879.0157.8-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)71.785.0156.7-13.30%
vs Similar (7)73.069.1142.1+3.957%
vs Weaker (19)77.165.9143.0+11.284%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
Crvena zvezdaZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#14
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H26/01
ABA League
Partizan
#12
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A31/01
Euroleague
Igokea
#7
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A02/02
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H04/02
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A06/02
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H10/02
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#7
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H12/02
Korac cup
FMP Beograd
#4
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H14/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H15/02
Korac cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H27/02
Euroleague
82.4Avg total
43.4Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.939.582.4+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.539.182.6+4.565%-
Last 30 away (13)42.140.082.1+2.162%-
Last 10 (10)43.439.082.4+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.283.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.051.0101.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (13)41.040.581.5+0.546%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.337.580.7+5.880%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#7
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A19/01
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#11
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A22/01
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#12
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H25/01
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H27/01
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A01/02
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A03/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
68-32
68
32
+36
H06/02
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A10/02
ABA League
Split
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A12/02
Croatian Cup
Kvarner
#4
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A28/02
Premijer liga
84.3Avg total
44.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.834.876.6+7.080%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.232.677.8+12.5100%-
Last 30 away (17)39.236.575.8+2.765%-
Last 10 (10)44.140.284.3+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)44.437.882.2+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.042.379.3-5.333%-
vs Similar (7)41.437.679.0+3.986%-
vs Weaker (19)42.532.374.8+10.284%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.2
53.2%
54.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.1
35.7%
35.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws24.419.4
79.5%
75.6%19.4
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.9
52.1%
54.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.6
36.8%
35.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.214.3
74.5%
75.6%14.3
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
LWWWLWWWWW
Zadar
LLLWWLWWWL
#5
League position
#10
+15.1
Net rating
+2.0
115.7
Offensive rating
110.1
100.6
Defensive rating
108.1
53.3%
Effective FG%
53.3%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
15.2%
Turnover %
17.0%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.7%
3-point %
36.8%
71.4%
Assist %
65.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.7 · 110.1Defence100.6 · 108.1Shooting53.3% · 53.3%3-point %35.7% · 36.8%Ball care15.2% · 17.0%Off. rebounds30.9% · 29.7%Free throws0.40 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Crvena zvezda wins
1
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
26/10/24Zadar v Crvena zvezda77-84
11/02/24Crvena zvezda v Zadar93-54
12/11/23Zadar v Crvena zvezda74-81
08/05/23Zadar v Crvena zvezda63-74
28/04/23Crvena zvezda v Zadar100-73
12/02/23Zadar v Crvena zvezda76-95
07/11/22Crvena zvezda v Zadar96-98
13/02/22Crvena zvezda v Zadar91-69
07/11/21Zadar v Crvena zvezda73-83
26/04/21Zadar v Crvena zvezda70-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25HZalgiris Kaunas80-86
15/02/25HPartizan89-83 OT
14/02/25HFMP Beograd84-63
12/02/25HBorac Mozzart104-70
10/02/25HBuducnost89-96 OT
06/02/25AAlba Berlin77-71
04/02/25HLyon-Villeurbanne73-66
02/02/25AIgokea92-82
31/01/25APartizan73-71
26/01/25HSplit96-66
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25AKvarner68-79
12/02/25ASplit70-71
10/02/25APartizan75-100
06/02/25HDinamo Zagreb98-71
03/02/25AGKK Sibenka83-74
01/02/25ABuducnost77-84
27/01/25HCedevita Junior89-74
25/01/25HStudentski Centar71-58
22/01/25ADubrovnik69-66
19/01/25AIgokea89-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL80%
HomeWWLWL80%
AwayWWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game89.893.086.6
Allowed / game79.480.578.3
Point differential+10.4+12.5+8.3
Avg total169.2173.5164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Zadar
ABA League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeLWWWW45%
AwayWWLLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %50%45%56%
Points / game75.973.379.1
Allowed / game75.172.877.9
Point differential+0.8+0.5+1.2
Avg total151.0146.1157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%36%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan2119290%93.173.7+19.4
2 Buducnost2119290%91.175.2+16.0
3 Crvena zvezda2016480%89.879.4+10.4
4 Dubai2116576%87.678.2+9.4
5 Igokea2113862%84.085.8-1.9
6 Cedevita Olimpija2112957%84.080.8+3.2
7 Spartak Subotica21111052%84.482.3+2.1
8 FMP Beograd21111052%79.984.3-4.4
9 Zadar20101050%75.975.1+0.8
10 Mega Basket21101148%82.781.9+0.8
11 Borac Mozzart2081240%77.382.8-5.5
12 Studentski Centar2171433%82.285.3-3.1
13 Split2061430%76.283.3-7.0
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2141719%82.788.8-6.1
15 Cibona2131814%75.188.5-13.4
16 Mornar Bar211205%75.095.6-20.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2019192987
Zadar1031132276
← all games of the day
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