PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alba Berlin vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 71-77
13-15 22-25 20-19 16-18
Position#18
Record4-21
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game91.4
vs
Position#10
Record15-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game80.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 26· Uber Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Crvena zvezda
06 Feb 2025
ABE71
CZV77
25 Jan 2024
ABE89
CZV80
22 Nov 2022
ABE84
CZV88
25 Mar 2022
ABE74
CZV70
08 Apr 2021
ABE81
CZV58
26 Mar 2015
ABE73
CZV68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
73-90
73
90
-17
64avg 77
A09/01
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#16
W
75-61
75
61
+14
63avg 77
A12/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
68-100
68
100
-32
52avg 77
A14/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
79avg 77
A16/01
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
92-65
92
65
+27
93avg 77
H18/01
BBL
Bayern
#7
L
84-99
84
99
-15
74avg 77
H24/01
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
L
92-97
92
97
-5
92avg 77
A27/01
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
93-87
93
87
+6
93avg 77
A30/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#1
L
86-99 OT
86
99
-13
80avg 77
A02/02
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
53-73
53
73
-20
46avg 77
A04/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-16
23-21
26-24
13-29
26-14
15-22
16-12
18-13
19-23
24-24
10-31
15-22
19-23
21-27
22-20
23-15
27-19
17-15
28-15
20-16
27-27
23-25
18-18
16-29
23-22
17-18
35-28
17-29
19-22
27-26
24-15
23-24
17-17
24-21
15-24
24-18
12-25
10-12
15-18
16-18
167.2Avg total
80.5Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.191.4170.5-12.216%
Season at home (12)81.290.6171.8-9.417%
Season away (13)77.292.1169.3-14.815%
Last 10 (10)80.586.7167.2-6.230%
Last 5 (5)81.691.0172.6-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)80.593.4173.9-12.816%
vs Similar (4)82.585.5168.0-3.050%
vs Weaker (7)88.984.6173.4+4.343%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Paris
#9
W
85-69
85
69
+16
81avg 82
H10/01
Euroleague
Dubai
#4
L
92-107
92
107
-15
77avg 82
H12/01
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
91-96
91
96
-5
89avg 82
H15/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
88-82 OT
88
82
+6
86avg 82
H17/01
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#17
W
110-69
110
69
+41
113avg 82
A20/01
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
73-85
73
85
-12
63avg 82
A23/01
Euroleague
Split
#14
W
96-66
96
66
+30
87avg 82
H26/01
ABA League
Partizan
#12
W
73-71
73
71
+2
72avg 82
A31/01
Euroleague
Igokea
#7
W
92-82
92
82
+10
84avg 82
A02/02
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
73-66
73
66
+7
69avg 82
H04/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
24-14
18-13
28-17
24-26
21-24
19-28
28-29
24-21
19-28
18-21
30-26
13-21
23-13
23-26
17-16
26-19
28-18
30-18
26-14
20-21
12-23
27-23
14-18
25-15
28-17
20-19
23-15
21-18
21-19
13-16
18-18
20-32
28-22
23-10
21-18
19-18
17-13
20-17
17-18
166.6Avg total
87.3Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.280.3162.5+1.860%
Season at home (12)85.378.8164.2+6.567%
Season away (13)79.281.7160.9-2.554%
Last 10 (10)87.379.3166.6+8.070%
Last 5 (5)81.474.0155.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)89.084.0173.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (13)84.583.9168.4+0.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.675.8164.4+12.888%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +3.3+3.3
Alba BerlinCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A09/01
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#16
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A12/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A14/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A16/01
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H18/01
BBL
Bayern
#7
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H24/01
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A27/01
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A30/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A02/02
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A04/02
Euroleague
82.0Avg total
40.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.645.285.8-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.846.985.8-8.125%-
Last 30 away (18)41.844.085.8-2.233%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.982.0-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.843.082.8-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)39.647.687.2-8.011%-
vs Similar (4)35.542.277.8-6.850%-
vs Weaker (7)46.340.386.6+6.071%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H10/01
Euroleague
Dubai
#4
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H12/01
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H15/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/01
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#17
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A20/01
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A23/01
Euroleague
Split
#14
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H26/01
ABA League
Partizan
#12
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A31/01
Euroleague
Igokea
#7
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A02/02
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H04/02
Euroleague
83.5Avg total
42.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.283.0+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.038.782.7+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)41.741.783.4-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.783.5+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.681.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.051.0101.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (13)41.641.583.2+0.146%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.438.481.8+4.969%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.121.6
52.6%
54.5%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.0
30.9%
36.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.812.0
75.9%
78.0%12.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.9
53.1%
54.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.8
40.5%
36.2%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.717.3
76.2%
78.0%17.3
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LLWLLWLLWL
Crvena zvezda
WWWWLWWLLW
#18
League position
#10
-9.4
Net rating
+11.6
104.7
Offensive rating
119.5
114.1
Defensive rating
107.9
50.1%
Effective FG%
56.1%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
19.2%
Turnover %
16.1%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.9%
3-point %
40.5%
67.2%
Assist %
64.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 119.5Defence114.1 · 107.9Shooting50.1% · 56.1%3-point %30.9% · 40.5%Ball care19.2% · 16.1%Off. rebounds34.6% · 33.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Alba Berlin wins
3
Crvena zvezda wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/25AZalgiris Kaunas53-73
02/02/25ABayern86-99 OT
30/01/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv93-87
27/01/25AOldenburg92-97
24/01/25HBayern84-99
18/01/25HHeidelberg92-65
16/01/25ALyon-Villeurbanne89-96 OT
14/01/25AOlimpia Milano68-100
12/01/25AFrankfurt75-61
09/01/25AFenerbahce73-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/25HLyon-Villeurbanne73-66
02/02/25AIgokea92-82
31/01/25APartizan73-71
26/01/25HSplit96-66
23/01/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv73-85
20/01/25AMornar Bar110-69
17/01/25HMonaco88-82 OT
15/01/25HFenerbahce91-96
12/01/25HDubai92-107
10/01/25HParis85-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL16%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayLLLWL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %16%17%15%
Points / game79.181.277.2
Allowed / game91.490.692.1
Point differential-12.2-9.4-14.8
Avg total170.5171.8169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %12%8%15%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLWWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %60%67%54%
Points / game82.285.379.2
Allowed / game80.378.881.7
Point differential+1.8+6.5-2.5
Avg total162.5164.2160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)0% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2518772%87.882.1+5.7
2 Fenerbahce2517868%81.879.9+1.9
3 Monaco2516964%87.282.6+4.6
4 Panathinaikos25151060%86.482.8+3.6
5 Crvena zvezda25151060%82.280.3+1.8
6 Bayern25151060%86.587.0-0.6
7 Paris24141058%85.584.9+0.6
8 Barcelona25141156%87.083.9+3.2
9 Partizan25131252%83.279.8+3.4
10 Olimpia Milano25131252%85.485.4+0.0
11 Real Madrid26131350%84.582.5+1.9
12 Anadolu Efes25121348%84.682.3+2.3
13 Zalgiris Kaunas25121348%77.278.0-0.8
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne25111444%80.984.4-3.6
15 Baskonia25101540%81.082.6-1.6
16 Virtus Bologna2571828%80.384.5-4.2
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv2561924%84.490.4-6.0
18 Alba Berlin2542116%79.191.4-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1322201671
Crvena zvezda1525191877
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.