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Kvarner vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-68
10-13 28-18 19-22 22-15
Position#4
Record9-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game81.5
Kvarner 🏆
Croatia
vs
Zadar
Croatia
Position#1
Record19-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game63.8
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 22· Dvorana Mladosti
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kvarner v Zadar
29 Jan 2027
KVAR v ZAD
upcoming
16 May 2026
KVAR72
ZAD96
27 Dec 2025
KVAR79
ZAD69
28 Feb 2025
KVAR79
ZAD68
11 Oct 2016
KVAR72
ZAD77
07 Apr 2016
KVAR86
ZAD67
21 Apr 2015
KVAR86
ZAD85
15 Apr 2014
KVAR79
ZAD91
07 May 2013
KVAR70
ZAD72
06 Dec 2011
KVAR67
ZAD78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kvarner winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KvarnerCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKvarner
Date
Competition
Split
#2
W
78-75
78
75
+3
69avg 78
H16/12
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
78avg 78
H29/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
L
62-89
62
89
-27
58avg 78
A05/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
59-75
59
75
-16
51avg 78
H11/01
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
106-75
106
75
+31
109avg 78
A17/01
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
84-83
84
83
+1
74avg 78
H22/01
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
L
80-88 OT
80
88
-8
68avg 78
A26/01
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
86-89
86
89
-3
81avg 78
H01/02
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
67-89
67
89
-22
58avg 78
A09/02
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
L
61-81
61
81
-20
55avg 78
A22/02
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
23-7
21-22
19-19
19-23
30-21
13-18
21-15
26-20
10-27
16-19
10-23
16-25
16-14
15-25
12-11
22-20
27-22
19-20
38-13
27-26
19-21
16-16
22-20
18-18
21-17
18-18
19-23
18-18
18-32
26-21
24-18
26-15
18-31
7-17
16-26
13-27
20-12
20-16
8-26
158.7Avg total
76.6Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.681.5161.0-1.943%
Season at home (10)83.679.7163.3+3.960%
Season away (11)75.983.1159.0-7.227%
Last 10 (10)76.682.1158.7-5.540%
Last 5 (5)75.686.0161.6-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)76.683.9160.4-7.329%
vs Similar (2)82.088.0170.0-6.00%
vs Weaker (20)83.376.5159.8+6.870%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Split
#2
W
59-54
59
54
+5
56avg 75
H16/01
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
L
89-94
89
94
-5
91avg 75
A19/01
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#11
W
69-66
69
66
+3
61avg 75
A22/01
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#12
W
71-58
71
58
+13
61avg 75
H25/01
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
89-74
89
74
+15
88avg 75
H27/01
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
77-84
77
84
-7
72avg 75
A01/02
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
85avg 75
A03/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
98-71
98
71
+27
98avg 75
H06/02
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
75-100
75
100
-25
72avg 75
A10/02
ABA League
Split
#1
L
70-71
70
71
-1
64avg 75
A12/02
Croatian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
13-18
15-18
10-6
20-28
26-25
22-24
21-17
20-17
24-27
8-8
17-14
19-15
20-15
16-12
16-16
25-26
26-18
18-17
20-13
19-18
20-24
20-26
18-16
21-21
24-8
26-29
12-16
38-21
30-11
13-22
17-17
16-22
19-29
25-21
15-28
21-21
22-18
15-16
12-16
152.6Avg total
78.0Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.363.8142.1+14.590%
Season at home (11)84.664.4149.0+20.3100%
Season away (10)71.463.2134.6+8.280%
Last 10 (10)78.074.6152.6+3.460%
Last 5 (5)80.680.0160.6+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.785.0156.7-13.30%
vs Similar (7)73.069.1142.1+3.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)78.365.9144.2+12.489%
This opponent (Kvarner) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
KvarnerZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KvarnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#2
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H16/12
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H29/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A05/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H11/01
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A17/01
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H22/01
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A26/01
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H01/02
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A09/02
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A22/02
Premijer liga
82.5Avg total
40.2Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.182.6+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.338.983.2+5.469%-
Last 30 away (14)40.641.482.0-0.936%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.382.5-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.483.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)40.641.782.3-1.143%-
vs Similar (2)41.048.589.5-7.50%-
vs Weaker (20)43.438.481.8+5.065%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#2
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H16/01
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A19/01
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#11
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A22/01
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#12
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H25/01
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H27/01
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A01/02
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A03/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
68-32
68
32
+36
H06/02
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A10/02
ABA League
Split
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A12/02
Croatian Cup
83.8Avg total
44.4Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.135.177.2+7.080%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.933.678.4+11.393%-
Last 30 away (16)39.836.476.2+3.369%-
Last 10 (10)44.439.483.8+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)46.038.684.6+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.042.379.3-5.333%-
vs Similar (7)41.437.679.0+3.986%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.032.775.7+10.384%-
This opponent (Kvarner) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kvarnertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kvarner: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.2
56.1%
53.5%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.2
33.2%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws12.78.0
63.0%
73.3%8.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.8
55.0%
53.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.5
34.6%
34.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.114.1
73.8%
73.3%14.1
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kvarner
LLLLWWLLWW
Zadar
LLWWLWWWLW
#4
League position
#1
-6.9
Net rating
+4.8
99.5
Offensive rating
110.0
106.4
Defensive rating
105.2
53.4%
Effective FG%
53.7%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
19.9%
Turnover %
17.5%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.2%
3-point %
34.6%
59.9%
Assist %
66.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 110.0Defence106.4 · 105.2Shooting53.4% · 53.7%3-point %33.2% · 34.6%Ball care19.9% · 17.5%Off. rebounds22.7% · 30.0%Free throws0.20 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Kvarner   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kvarner wins
8
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
08/12/24Zadar v Kvarner77-63
18/01/17Zadar v Kvarner101-64
11/10/16Kvarner v Zadar72-77
27/04/16Zadar v Kvarner81-66
07/04/16Kvarner v Zadar86-67
20/05/15Zadar v Kvarner89-60
21/04/15Kvarner v Zadar86-85
13/05/14Zadar v Kvarner93-71
15/04/14Kvarner v Zadar79-91
07/05/13Kvarner v Zadar70-72
Kvarnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25AAlkar61-81
09/02/25ACibona67-89
01/02/25HDinamo Zagreb86-89
26/01/25AOsijek80-88 OT
22/01/25HGKK Sibenka84-83
17/01/25ADubrava106-75
11/01/25HCedevita Junior59-75
05/01/25AZabok62-89
29/12/24HDubrovnik83-77
16/12/24HSplit78-75
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25ASplit70-71
10/02/25APartizan75-100
06/02/25HDinamo Zagreb98-71
03/02/25AGKK Sibenka83-74
01/02/25ABuducnost77-84
27/01/25HCedevita Junior89-74
25/01/25HStudentski Centar71-58
22/01/25ADubrovnik69-66
19/01/25AIgokea89-94
16/01/25HSplit59-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kvarner
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%60%27%
Points / game79.683.675.9
Allowed / game81.579.783.1
Point differential-1.9+3.9-7.2
Avg total161.0163.3159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%30%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %14%10%18%
Zadar
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game78.384.671.4
Allowed / game63.864.463.2
Point differential+14.5+20.3+8.2
Avg total142.1149.0134.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%91%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar2119290%78.363.8+14.5
2 Cedevita Junior2217577%84.276.0+8.2
3 Split2116576%86.972.9+14.0
4 Cibona2214864%83.777.8+5.9
5 Dinamo Zagreb20101050%85.085.0+0.1
6 Kvarner2191243%79.681.5-1.9
7 Dubrava2291341%78.283.3-5.1
8 Alkar2181338%70.275.8-5.5
9 Zabok2181338%79.885.7-5.9
10 Osijek2171433%75.583.2-7.7
11 GKK Sibenka2171433%74.382.3-8.0
12 Dubrovnik2131814%73.882.8-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kvarner1028192279
Zadar1318221568
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