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Kastela vs Marsonia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:45
Final 85-79
28-19 16-19 17-24 24-17
Position#6
Record14-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game74.4
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#9
Record10-14
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game85.9
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 25· Sportska dvorana Sokolana
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kastela v Marsonia
18 Oct 2025
KAST77
MARS72
23 Feb 2025
KAST86
MARS70
27 Mar 2024
KAST85
MARS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marsonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#12
W
92-64
92
64
+28
90avg 74
A24/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
60-65
60
65
-5
51avg 74
A28/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
98-71
98
71
+27
93avg 74
A04/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
84-66
84
66
+18
81avg 74
H10/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
71-72
71
72
-1
60avg 74
H17/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
81-80
81
80
+1
82avg 74
A28/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
61-67
61
67
-6
52avg 74
H03/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
83-79 OT
83
79
+4
no box
A09/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
70-84
70
84
-14
61avg 74
H16/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
84-72
84
72
+12
76avg 74
A23/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-4
27-22
22-15
16-23
16-16
14-15
16-22
14-12
24-24
27-19
26-15
21-13
32-16
14-10
13-22
25-18
17-24
16-16
20-20
18-12
24-16
12-24
19-20
26-20
18-15
13-17
13-21
17-14
26-18
18-21
18-22
11-12
15-30
17-15
20-21
18-18
29-17
18-16
19-17
18-22
150.4Avg total
78.4Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.674.4154.0+5.258%
Season at home (12)76.974.5151.4+2.450%
Season away (12)82.274.3156.6+7.967%
Last 10 (10)78.472.0150.4+6.460%
Last 5 (5)75.876.4152.2-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.378.6146.9-10.314%
vs Similar (9)76.176.1152.2+0.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)84.673.4157.9+11.293%
This opponent (Marsonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
83-79
83
79
+4
84avg 71
H24/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
56-96
56
96
-40
48avg 71
A28/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
84-73
84
73
+11
73avg 71
H03/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
88-97
88
97
-9
78avg 71
A11/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
60-70
60
70
-10
56avg 71
A18/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
89-84
89
84
+5
88avg 71
A02/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
72-99
72
99
-27
58avg 71
H10/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
81-76
81
76
+5
66avg 71
H14/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
109-103 OT
109
103
+6
99avg 71
A19/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
91-75
91
75
+16
85avg 71
H21/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
25-25
17-17
21-19
14-24
19-21
15-26
8-25
23-18
29-13
10-19
22-23
24-31
31-23
16-17
17-26
22-10
17-18
11-20
10-22
31-24
23-25
24-14
11-21
14-32
15-24
19-21
24-22
20-18
19-28
21-17
21-13
15-19
26-30
22-31
30-13
20-11
31-23
18-23
22-18
166.5Avg total
81.3Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.085.9166.9-4.942%
Season at home (12)82.882.8165.6-0.150%
Season away (12)79.288.9168.2-9.733%
Last 10 (10)81.385.2166.5-3.960%
Last 5 (5)88.487.4175.8+1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)79.390.2169.5-10.920%
vs Similar (4)79.277.2156.5+2.075%
vs Weaker (5)87.679.8167.4+7.880%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
KastelaMarsonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#12
W
54-26
54
26
+28
A24/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A28/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A04/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H10/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H17/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A28/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H03/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A09/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H16/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A23/03
Prva Liga
75.9Avg total
40.4Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.577.7+2.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.137.875.9+0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)42.237.379.5+4.947%-
Last 10 (10)40.435.575.9+4.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.875.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.040.372.3-8.30%-
vs Similar (9)39.136.075.1+3.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.937.182.1+7.871%-
This opponent (Marsonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H24/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A28/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H03/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A11/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A18/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A02/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
29-56
29
56
-27
H10/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H14/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A19/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H21/03
Prva Liga
87.3Avg total
43.8Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)41.843.685.4-1.842%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.742.082.7-1.342%-
Last 30 away (12)42.945.288.2-2.342%-
Last 10 (10)43.843.587.3+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.846.889.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.846.586.3-6.727%-
vs Similar (4)42.040.282.2+1.850%-
vs Weaker (5)47.637.885.4+9.880%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.919.8
48.4%
52.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.3
34.8%
32.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws13.19.6
73.3%
71.2%9.6
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.222.6
52.3%
52.9%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.96.8
34.2%
32.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws17.712.3
69.5%
71.2%12.3
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
WLWLWLWWLW
Marsonia
WWWLWLLWLW
#6
League position
#9
+7.2
Net rating
-6.2
102.4
Offensive rating
100.6
95.2
Defensive rating
106.8
49.9%
Effective FG%
52.0%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
17.1%
Turnover %
21.8%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.8%
3-point %
34.2%
64.6%
Assist %
40.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 100.6Defence95.2 · 106.8Shooting49.9% · 52.0%3-point %34.8% · 34.2%Ball care17.1% · 21.8%Off. rebounds28.6% · 30.0%Free throws0.19 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Kastela   ■ Marsonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kastela wins
0
Marsonia wins
DateGameScore
23/12/23Marsonia v Kastela81-87
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24APodstrana84-72
16/03/24HKvarner70-84
09/03/24AOmis83-79 OT
03/03/24HGorica61-67
28/02/24AStoja81-80
17/02/24HSamobor71-72
10/02/24HMladost84-66
04/02/24AHermes98-71
28/01/24AOsijek60-65
24/01/24ACrikvenica92-64
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/24HMladost91-75
19/03/24AHermes109-103 OT
14/03/24HJazine81-76
10/03/24HOsijek72-99
02/03/24ACrikvenica89-84
18/02/24AKK Zagreb60-70
11/02/24ASamobor88-97
03/02/24HPodstrana84-73
28/01/24AKvarner56-96
24/01/24HOmis83-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW58%
HomeLWLLL50%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%50%67%
Points / game79.676.982.2
Allowed / game74.474.574.3
Point differential+5.2+2.4+7.9
Avg total154.0151.4156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Marsonia
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW42%
HomeWWLWW50%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game81.082.879.2
Allowed / game85.982.888.9
Point differential-4.9-0.1-9.7
Avg total166.9165.6168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner2422292%90.772.8+18.0
2 Osijek2421388%87.775.4+12.3
3 Gorica2417771%81.274.8+6.4
4 Samobor2416867%84.982.9+2.0
5 KK Zagreb2415962%79.272.5+6.7
6 Kastela24141058%79.674.4+5.2
7 Jazine25121348%86.785.9+0.8
8 Hermes25111444%89.690.2-0.6
9 Omis24101442%77.080.8-3.9
10 Marsonia24101442%81.085.9-4.9
11 Mladost2481633%79.084.3-5.3
12 Crikvenica2461825%73.684.2-10.5
13 Podstrana2442017%71.385.0-13.7
14 Stoja2432112%78.490.9-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kastela2816172485
Marsonia1919241779
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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