Dakovo vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2024

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 83-85

27-17 12-18 22-22 22-28

Position#12

Record1-1

FormLWLLW

Points / game75.0

Allowed / game82.0

Dakovo

Gorica 🏆

Position#7

Record1-1

FormLLLLW

Points / game82.5

Allowed / game97.5

Prva LigaRound 3· Sportska Dvorana

Other2024-25

Meetings · Dakovo v Gorica

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dakovo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gorica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dakovo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormDakovo

Date

Competition

Graficar

83-108

108

-25

no box

H19/11

Croatian Cup

Rudes

#21

81-69

+12

no box

A28/11

Croatian Cup

Dubrovnik

56-82

-26

no box

A02/12

Croatian Cup

Samobor

70-97

-27

54avg 66

H12/10

Prva Liga

Bosco

#13

80-67

+13

79avg 66

A19/10

Prva Liga

22-28

22-23

21-35

18-22

–

11-15

14-18

10-32

21-17

17-28

13-25

15-29

25-15

22-15

18-20

22-16

18-16

158.6Avg total

74.0Scored

84.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	75.0	82.0	157.0	-7.0	50%
Season at home (1)	70.0	97.0	167.0	-27.0	0%
Season away (1)	80.0	67.0	147.0	+13.0	100%
Last 10 (5)	74.0	84.6	158.6	-10.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	74.0	84.6	158.6	-10.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	63.0	89.5	152.5	-26.5	0%
vs Similar (1)	80.0	67.0	147.0	+13.0	100%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gorica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormGorica

Date

Competition

Stoja

#13

85-77

81avg 77

H09/03

Prva Liga

Samobor

80-85

-5

72avg 77

H16/03

Prva Liga

Omis

#10

82-75

69avg 77

A23/03

Prva Liga

Kvarner

71-75

-4

58avg 77

H28/03

Prva Liga

Podstrana

#14

91-70

+21

97avg 77

A06/04

Prva Liga

Kvarner

70-93

-23

58avg 77

A13/04

Prva Liga

Kvarner

78-92

-14

71avg 77

H16/04

Prva Liga

Jazine

71-113

113

-42

71avg 77

A13/10

Prva Liga

Sencur

#11

78-108

108

-30

no box

H15/10

Slovenian Cup

Marsonia

94-82

+12

95avg 77

H19/10

Prva Liga

26-15

20-25

11-16

28-21

26-16

19-15

19-28

16-26

30-29

16-12

21-20

15-14

16-20

23-22

18-19

14-14

26-12

22-25

23-11

20-22

19-25

11-16

23-22

17-30

16-34

21-19

25-16

16-23

21-27

12-26

20-25

18-35

25-24

17-25

19-35

17-24

20-24

33-23

22-19

19-16

167.0Avg total

80.0Scored

87.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	82.5	97.5	180.0	-15.0	50%
Season at home (1)	94.0	82.0	176.0	+12.0	100%
Season away (1)	71.0	113.0	184.0	-42.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	80.0	87.0	167.0	-7.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	97.6	175.8	-19.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	74.4	87.1	161.6	-12.7	14%
vs Similar (8)	84.1	77.8	161.9	+6.4	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	83.8	73.2	157.0	+10.7	85%

This opponent (Dakovo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

DakovoGorica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	18.0	21.5	39.5	-3.5	25%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	19.5	28.0	47.5	-8.5	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	16.5	15.0	31.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (4)	18.0	21.5	39.5	-3.5	25%	-
Last 5 (4)	18.0	21.5	39.5	-3.5	25%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	14.0	21.5	35.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	22.0	15.0	37.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.0	42.5	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	21.3	43.2	+0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	22.6	45.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	26.8	47.0	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.9	24.6	42.4	-6.7	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.8	19.8	41.5	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	23.7	19.2	42.8	+4.5	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	16.8	21.5	38.2	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	17.5	24.0	41.5	-6.5	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	0%	-
Last 10 (4)	16.8	21.5	38.2	-4.8	0%	-
Last 5 (4)	16.8	21.5	38.2	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	13.5	21.5	35.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	19.4	39.9	+1.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.0	17.7	36.7	+1.3	71%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.2	19.6	42.9	+3.6	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	18.4	19.1	37.5	-0.7	38%	-

DakovoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Graficar

44-51

-7

H19/11

Croatian Cup

Dubrovnik

25-33

-8

A02/12

Croatian Cup

Samobor

30-53

-23

H12/10

Prva Liga

Bosco

#13

40-35

A19/10

Prva Liga

77.8Avg total

34.8Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	34.8	43.0	77.8	-8.2	25%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	37.0	52.0	89.0	-15.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	32.5	34.0	66.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (4)	34.8	43.0	77.8	-8.2	25%	-
Last 5 (4)	34.8	43.0	77.8	-8.2	25%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	27.5	43.0	70.5	-15.5	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	40.0	35.0	75.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Stoja

#13

46-40

H09/03

Prva Liga

Samobor

45-31

+14

H16/03

Prva Liga

Omis

#10

46-41

A23/03

Prva Liga

Kvarner

39-42

-3

H28/03

Prva Liga

Podstrana

#14

48-37

+11

A06/04

Prva Liga

Kvarner

30-41

-11

A13/04

Prva Liga

Kvarner

37-53

-16

H16/04

Prva Liga

Jazine

33-53

-20

A13/10

Prva Liga

Sencur

#11

42-49

-7

H15/10

Slovenian Cup

Marsonia

53-47

H19/10

Prva Liga

85.3Avg total

41.9Scored

43.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	40.4	81.3	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	40.8	83.1	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	39.9	79.3	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	43.4	85.3	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	48.6	87.6	-9.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	36.9	42.3	79.1	-5.4	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	45.0	39.4	84.4	+5.6	88%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	42.1	38.2	80.3	+3.8	54%	-

This opponent (Dakovo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	17.0	28.0	45.0	-11.0	25%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	18.0	32.0	50.0	-14.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	16.0	24.0	40.0	-8.0	50%	-
Last 10 (4)	17.0	28.0	45.0	-11.0	25%	-
Last 5 (4)	17.0	28.0	45.0	-11.0	25%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	12.5	30.5	43.0	-18.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	22.0	16.0	38.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.7	37.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	20.1	39.2	-0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	17.1	36.1	+1.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.1	41.2	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	23.4	45.2	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.1	19.9	38.0	-1.7	43%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.4	18.8	38.1	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	19.9	16.5	36.4	+3.5	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	20.5	17.5	38.0	+3.0	75%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+3.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (2)	19.5	16.5	36.0	+3.0	100%	-
Last 10 (4)	20.5	17.5	38.0	+3.0	75%	-
Last 5 (4)	20.5	17.5	38.0	+3.0	75%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	23.0	16.0	39.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar (1)	18.0	16.0	34.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	18.3	38.9	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	21.3	39.4	-3.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	22.5	40.5	-4.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	25.6	43.0	-8.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.6	22.1	39.7	-4.6	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.5	18.6	37.1	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.8	18.5	40.3	+3.4	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	37.5	45.5	83.0	-8.0	25%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	39.5	50.5	90.0	-11.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	35.5	40.5	76.0	-5.0	50%	-
Last 10 (4)	37.5	45.5	83.0	-8.0	25%	-
Last 5 (4)	37.5	45.5	83.0	-8.0	25%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	35.5	46.5	82.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	40.0	32.0	72.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	38.4	76.9	+0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.8	38.4	78.1	+1.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.0	38.4	75.4	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	43.6	81.7	-5.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	49.0	88.2	-9.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.7	42.0	77.7	-6.3	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.9	37.4	75.2	+0.5	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	41.8	34.9	76.7	+6.8	77%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Dakovotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dakovo: 74.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀66%

🏀🏀🏀24%

🏀

🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 66% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points

🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 9% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game

50%

35%

15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	51.5	24.5	47.6%	52.0%	49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.0	6.0	26.1%	33.7%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	10.0	7.0	70.0%	70.4%	7.0

They take 74.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 78.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀11%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 11% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game

50%

35%

15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.4	21.6	53.5%	52.0%	43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	8.8	32.6%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	11.6	8.5	73.3%	70.4%	8.5

They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	21.5	53.8%	52.0%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.5	10.0	32.8%	33.7%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	13.5	8.0	59.3%	70.4%	8.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.8	22.4	53.6%	52.0%	44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	8.5	33.9%	33.7%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	16.9	11.3	66.9%	70.4%	11.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.4	21.8	55.3%	52.0%	43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.5	32.6%	33.7%	25.4
🏀 Free throws	15.9	11.2	70.4%	70.4%	11.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	21.5	53.8%	52.0%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.5	10.0	32.8%	33.7%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	13.5	8.0	59.3%	70.4%	8.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.7	19.6	49.4%	52.0%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	8.2	32.3%	33.7%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	17.7	12.5	70.9%	70.4%	12.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Dakovo

WLLWL

Gorica

WLLLLWLWLW

#12

League position

-8.7

Net rating

-4.5

92.0

Offensive rating

100.4

100.7

Defensive rating

104.9

45.0%

Effective FG%

51.6%

51.8%

Opp. effective FG%

52.5%

15.4%

Turnover %

19.5%

22.7%

Off. rebound %

26.8%

0.13

Free-throw rate

0.17

26.1%

3-point %

32.6%

72.1%

Assist %

64.8%

40%

Form (last 5/10)

40%

Profile

■ Dakovo ■ Gorica

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Dakovo wins

Gorica wins

No previous meetings.

Dakovolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/10/24	A	Bosco	80-67
12/10/24	H	Samobor	70-97
02/12/18	A	Dubrovnik	56-82
28/11/18	A	Rudes	81-69
19/11/17	H	Graficar	83-108

Goricalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/10/24	H	Marsonia	94-82
15/10/24	H	Sencur	78-108
13/10/24	A	Jazine	71-113
16/04/24	H	Kvarner	78-92
13/04/24	A	Kvarner	70-93
06/04/24	A	Podstrana	91-70
28/03/24	H	Kvarner	71-75
23/03/24	A	Omis	82-75
16/03/24	H	Samobor	80-85
09/03/24	H	Stoja	85-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dakovo

Prva Liga 2024-25

Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Losses (last 5)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LW	50%
Home	L	0%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	50%	0%	100%
Points / game	75.0	70.0	80.0
Allowed / game	82.0	97.0	67.0
Point differential	-7.0	-27.0	+13.0
Avg total	157.0	167.0	147.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	0%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Gorica

Prva Liga 2024-25

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LW	50%
Home	W	100%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	50%	100%	0%
Points / game	82.5	94.0	71.0
Allowed / game	97.5	82.0	113.0
Point differential	-15.0	+12.0	-42.0
Avg total	180.0	176.0	184.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Samobor	2	2	0	100%	90.0	74.5	+15.5
2	Skrljevo	2	2	0	100%	93.0	84.5	+8.5
3	Mladost	2	2	0	100%	82.0	76.5	+5.5
4	Jazine	2	1	1	50%	108.5	92.5	+16.0
5	Omis	2	1	1	50%	69.0	62.0	+7.0
6	Marsonia	2	1	1	50%	94.0	88.5	+5.5
7	Hermes	2	1	1	50%	81.5	79.5	+2.0
8	Kastela	2	1	1	50%	66.5	68.0	-1.5
9	Dakovo	2	1	1	50%	75.0	82.0	-7.0
10	KK Zagreb	2	1	1	50%	47.5	55.0	-7.5
11	Gorica	2	1	1	50%	82.5	97.5	-15.0
12	Sonik Puntamika	3	1	2	33%	64.7	60.3	+4.3
13	Crikvenica	3	0	3	0%	66.7	78.3	-11.7
14	Bosco	2	0	2	0%	75.0	93.0	-18.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Dakovo	27	12	22	22	83
Gorica	17	18	22	28	85

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Dakovo vs Gorica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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