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Kastela vs Kvarner Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 70-84
15-30 17-15 20-21 18-18
Position#6
Record13-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game74.1
Kastela
Croatia
vs
Kvarner 🏆
Croatia
Position#1
Record20-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game72.8
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 23· Sportska dvorana Sokolana
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kastela v Kvarner
16 Mar 2024
KAST70
KVAR84
18 Mar 2023
KAST76
KVAR62
21 Jan 2023
KAST80
KVAR75
08 Jan 2022
KAST86
KVAR76
12 Dec 2020
KAST64
KVAR55
17 Oct 2015
KAST81
KVAR91
29 Nov 2014
KAST88
KVAR97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kvarner winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#3
W
71-66
71
66
+5
76avg 75
H13/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
76-80
76
80
-4
69avg 75
H20/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
92-64
92
64
+28
90avg 75
A24/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
60-65
60
65
-5
51avg 75
A28/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
98-71
98
71
+27
93avg 75
A04/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
84-66
84
66
+18
81avg 75
H10/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
71-72
71
72
-1
60avg 75
H17/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
81-80
81
80
+1
82avg 75
A28/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
61-67
61
67
-6
52avg 75
H03/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
83-79 OT
83
79
+4
no box
A09/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
18-21
11-15
23-15
18-23
15-16
25-23
18-18
27-4
27-22
22-15
16-23
16-16
14-15
16-22
14-12
24-24
27-19
26-15
21-13
32-16
14-10
13-22
25-18
17-24
16-16
20-20
18-12
24-16
12-24
19-20
26-20
18-15
13-17
13-21
17-14
26-18
18-21
18-22
11-12
148.7Avg total
77.7Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.874.1153.9+5.759%
Season at home (11)77.573.6151.2+3.955%
Season away (11)82.174.5156.6+7.564%
Last 10 (10)77.771.0148.7+6.760%
Last 5 (5)76.072.8148.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)67.076.4143.4-9.414%
vs Similar (9)76.176.1152.2+0.033%
vs Weaker (14)85.173.1158.1+12.093%
This opponent (Kvarner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KvarnerCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKvarner
Date
Competition
Samobor
#5
W
86-82
86
82
+4
83avg 86
A21/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
89-56
89
56
+33
86avg 86
A24/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
96-56
96
56
+40
92avg 86
H28/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
85-69
85
69
+16
85avg 86
A04/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
92-70
92
70
+22
82avg 86
H10/02
Prva Liga
Cibona
#2
L
67-82
67
82
-15
62avg 86
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Crikvenica
#12
W
92-76
92
76
+16
86avg 86
A18/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
72-78
72
78
-6
54avg 86
H24/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
102-69
102
69
+33
111avg 86
A03/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
80-73
80
73
+7
79avg 86
H09/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
14-22
25-20
25-19
18-16
14-9
27-15
30-16
24-14
21-19
26-15
25-8
19-25
20-14
24-12
22-18
22-15
14-18
34-21
22-16
20-19
11-16
11-27
25-20
21-18
32-18
12-16
27-24
30-11
15-23
14-24
13-20
36-23
22-14
19-20
25-12
20-19
23-9
19-25
18-20
157.2Avg total
86.1Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)90.372.8163.1+17.591%
Season at home (11)89.670.3159.9+19.491%
Season away (11)90.975.4166.3+15.591%
Last 10 (10)86.171.1157.2+15.080%
Last 5 (5)82.675.6158.2+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.579.5151.0-8.025%
vs Similar (1)87.082.0169.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)89.272.2161.4+17.088%
This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +5.9+5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +5.9+5.9
KastelaKvarner
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H13/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H20/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
54-26
54
26
+28
A24/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A28/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A04/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H10/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H17/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A28/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H03/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A09/03
Prva Liga
74.7Avg total
39.5Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.137.177.2+2.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.136.976.0+2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)41.137.378.4+3.740%-
Last 10 (10)39.535.274.7+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.035.473.4+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.738.770.4-7.00%-
vs Similar (9)39.136.075.1+3.133%-
vs Weaker (14)44.937.181.9+7.871%-
This opponent (Kvarner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KvarnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samobor
#5
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A21/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A24/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H28/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A04/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H10/02
Prva Liga
Cibona
#2
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Crikvenica
#12
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A18/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H24/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A03/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H09/03
Prva Liga
76.1Avg total
41.8Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.936.680.5+7.370%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.534.978.5+8.676%-
Last 30 away (13)44.538.883.2+5.762%-
Last 10 (10)41.834.376.1+7.570%-
Last 5 (5)46.034.080.0+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.036.871.8-1.825%-
vs Similar (1)45.035.080.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.236.181.4+9.179%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.619.5
48.0%
52.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.0
34.7%
32.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws14.611.5
78.8%
71.2%11.5
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kvarnertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kvarner: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.1
54.5%
52.9%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.3
36.1%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.412.8
73.6%
71.2%12.8
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
WLWLWWLWLW
Kvarner
WWLWLWWWWW
#6
League position
#1
+8.7
Net rating
+20.4
103.7
Offensive rating
115.1
95.0
Defensive rating
94.7
49.6%
Effective FG%
54.4%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
17.5%
Turnover %
13.8%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.7%
3-point %
36.1%
64.6%
Assist %
68.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 115.1Defence95.0 · 94.7Shooting49.6% · 54.4%3-point %34.7% · 36.1%Ball care17.5% · 13.8%Off. rebounds30.1% · 28.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Kastela   ■ Kvarner
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Kastela wins
5
Kvarner wins
DateGameScore
09/12/23Kvarner v Kastela73-59
22/04/23Kvarner v Kastela87-82
18/03/23Kastela v Kvarner76-62
21/01/23Kastela v Kvarner80-75
22/10/22Kvarner v Kastela80-77 OT
08/01/22Kastela v Kvarner86-76
09/10/21Kvarner v Kastela83-85 OT
13/03/21Kvarner v Kastela79-68
12/12/20Kastela v Kvarner64-55
23/01/16Kvarner v Kastela97-69
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24AOmis83-79 OT
03/03/24HGorica61-67
28/02/24AStoja81-80
17/02/24HSamobor71-72
10/02/24HMladost84-66
04/02/24AHermes98-71
28/01/24AOsijek60-65
24/01/24ACrikvenica92-64
20/01/24HJazine76-80
13/01/24HKK Zagreb71-66
Kvarnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HMladost80-73
03/03/24AHermes102-69
24/02/24HOsijek72-78
18/02/24ACrikvenica92-76
14/02/24HCibona67-82
10/02/24HJazine92-70
04/02/24AKK Zagreb85-69
28/01/24HMarsonia96-56
24/01/24APodstrana89-56
21/01/24ASamobor86-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW59%
HomeWLWLL55%
AwayWLWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%55%64%
Points / game79.877.582.1
Allowed / game74.173.674.5
Point differential+5.7+3.9+7.5
Avg total153.9151.2156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%27%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Kvarner
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW91%
HomeWWWLW91%
AwayWWWWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %91%91%91%
Points / game90.389.690.9
Allowed / game72.870.375.4
Point differential+17.5+19.4+15.5
Avg total163.1159.9166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%73%73%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Osijek2321291%87.574.5+13.0
2 Kvarner2220291%90.372.8+17.5
3 Gorica2216673%81.374.4+6.9
4 Samobor2214864%84.983.2+1.6
5 KK Zagreb2314961%79.172.7+6.4
6 Kastela2213959%79.874.1+5.7
7 Jazine23111248%86.385.0+1.3
8 Hermes22101245%89.690.0-0.4
9 Omis2291341%76.581.0-4.5
10 Marsonia2281436%79.385.6-6.3
11 Mladost2271532%78.884.4-5.6
12 Crikvenica2361726%73.484.1-10.7
13 Podstrana2241818%71.084.9-13.9
14 Stoja2231914%78.790.3-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kastela1517201870
Kvarner3015211884
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