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Marsonia vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 64-88
11-18 9-21 23-24 21-25
Position#6
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
Position#3
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game70.8
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 5· Sports Hall Viju
Other2024-25
Meetings · Marsonia v Kastela
01 Feb 2026
MARS59
KAST84
10 Nov 2024
MARS64
KAST88
23 Dec 2023
MARS81
KAST87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marsonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
L
72-99
72
99
-27
58avg 74
H10/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
81-76
81
76
+5
66avg 74
H14/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
109-103 OT
109
103
+6
99avg 74
A19/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
91-75
91
75
+16
85avg 74
H21/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
79-85
79
85
-6
76avg 74
A27/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
87-90
87
90
-3
81avg 74
H07/04
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
106-83
106
83
+23
93avg 74
H12/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
82-94
82
94
-12
66avg 74
A19/10
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
75-61
75
61
+14
71avg 74
H27/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
92-97
92
97
-5
86avg 74
A03/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-32
15-24
19-21
24-22
20-18
19-28
21-17
21-13
15-19
26-30
22-31
30-13
20-11
31-23
18-23
22-18
19-28
19-16
24-17
17-24
23-17
30-21
17-29
17-23
32-16
22-26
20-17
32-24
24-20
23-33
19-22
16-19
7-20
29-16
17-12
22-13
25-24
14-26
20-21
33-26
173.7Avg total
87.4Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.883.8172.5+5.050%
Season at home (2)90.572.0162.5+18.5100%
Season away (2)87.095.5182.5-8.50%
Last 10 (10)87.486.3173.7+1.150%
Last 5 (5)88.485.0173.4+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)79.788.7168.4-8.922%
vs Similar (5)79.880.6160.4-0.860%
vs Weaker (7)90.181.7171.9+8.471%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Gorica
#4
L
61-67
61
67
-6
52avg 72
H03/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
83-79 OT
83
79
+4
no box
A09/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
70-84
70
84
-14
61avg 72
H16/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
84-72
84
72
+12
76avg 72
A23/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
85-79
85
79
+6
88avg 72
H27/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
65-81
65
81
-16
56avg 72
A06/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
65-72
65
72
-7
62avg 72
A12/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
68-64
68
64
+4
63avg 72
H20/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
76-82
76
82
-6
68avg 72
A27/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
75-65
75
65
+10
76avg 72
H02/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
13-17
13-21
17-14
26-18
18-21
18-22
11-12
15-30
17-15
20-21
18-18
29-17
18-16
19-17
18-22
28-19
16-19
17-24
24-17
24-17
17-22
9-29
15-13
9-16
13-17
21-20
22-19
13-11
12-14
24-14
19-25
5-17
26-23
26-18
19-24
18-17
18-20
20-15
19-13
147.7Avg total
73.2Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.070.8141.8+0.250%
Season at home (2)71.564.5136.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)70.577.0147.5-6.50%
Last 10 (10)73.274.5147.7-1.350%
Last 5 (5)69.872.8142.6-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.875.2141.0-9.50%
vs Similar (9)72.774.3147.0-1.722%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)83.974.1158.0+9.988%
This opponent (Marsonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
MarsoniaKastela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
L
29-56
29
56
-27
H10/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H14/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A19/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H21/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A27/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H07/04
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H12/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A19/10
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H27/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A03/11
Prva Liga
87.5Avg total
42.7Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.343.786.0-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.141.383.4+0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)42.646.088.6-3.433%-
Last 10 (10)42.744.887.5-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)45.843.889.6+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.445.985.4-6.522%-
vs Similar (5)43.042.885.8+0.240%-
vs Weaker (7)49.338.487.7+10.986%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorica
#4
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H03/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A09/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H16/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A23/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H27/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A06/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A12/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H20/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A27/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H02/11
Prva Liga
71.4Avg total
35.3Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.537.077.5+3.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.337.176.3+2.247%-
Last 30 away (15)41.736.978.6+4.953%-
Last 10 (10)35.336.171.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)31.034.865.8-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.540.875.2-6.20%-
vs Similar (9)37.935.373.2+2.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.336.980.2+6.465%-
This opponent (Marsonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.022.1
52.6%
52.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.0
36.4%
33.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.110.9
67.7%
70.4%10.9
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.4
50.3%
52.0%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.4
31.6%
33.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws15.010.7
71.3%
70.4%10.7
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Marsonia
LWLWLLWWWL
Kastela
WLWLLWWLWL
#6
League position
#3
+1.0
Net rating
-2.0
105.9
Offensive rating
97.2
104.9
Defensive rating
99.2
53.4%
Effective FG%
49.1%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
20.4%
Turnover %
18.8%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.4%
3-point %
31.6%
47.0%
Assist %
76.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 97.2Defence104.9 · 99.2Shooting53.4% · 49.1%3-point %36.4% · 31.6%Ball care20.4% · 18.8%Off. rebounds32.5% · 24.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Marsonia   ■ Kastela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Marsonia wins
2
Kastela wins
DateGameScore
27/03/24Kastela v Marsonia85-79
23/12/23Marsonia v Kastela81-87
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/24AJazine92-97
27/10/24HSkrljevo75-61
19/10/24AGorica82-94
12/10/24HBosco106-83
07/04/24HStoja87-90
27/03/24AKastela79-85
21/03/24HMladost91-75
19/03/24AHermes109-103 OT
14/03/24HJazine81-76
10/03/24HOsijek72-99
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/24HSonik Puntamika75-65
27/10/24AJazine76-82
20/10/24HCrikvenica68-64
12/10/24ASkrljevo65-72
06/04/24AKK Zagreb65-81
27/03/24HMarsonia85-79
23/03/24APodstrana84-72
16/03/24HKvarner70-84
09/03/24AOmis83-79 OT
03/03/24HGorica61-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marsonia
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game88.890.587.0
Allowed / game83.872.095.5
Point differential+5.0+18.5-8.5
Avg total172.5162.5182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kastela
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game71.071.570.5
Allowed / game70.864.577.0
Point differential+0.2+7.0-6.5
Avg total141.8136.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor550100%91.081.0+10.0
2 Skrljevo54180%89.077.0+12.0
3 Jazine54180%99.288.6+10.6
4 Mladost54180%83.478.2+5.2
5 Gorica54180%89.491.0-1.6
6 Marsonia42250%88.883.8+5.0
7 Kastela42250%71.070.8+0.2
8 Sonik Puntamika52340%66.662.4+4.2
9 Omis52340%68.268.0+0.2
10 KK Zagreb52340%72.275.4-3.2
11 Hermes52340%81.686.2-4.6
12 Dakovo51420%78.892.2-13.4
13 Crikvenica5050%69.079.6-10.6
14 Bosco5050%77.090.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Marsonia119232164
Kastela1821242588
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