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Dallas Mavericks vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 139-129
32-32 32-34 39-25 36-38
Position#24
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game99.5
Allowed / game121.0
vs
Position#11
Record1-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game127.0
Allowed / game120.0
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Toronto Raptors
02 Feb 2027
DAL v TOR
upcoming
26 Oct 2025
DAL139
TOR129
11 Apr 2025
DAL124
TOR102
08 Nov 2023
DAL116
TOR127
04 Nov 2022
DAL111
TOR110
19 Jan 2022
DAL102
TOR98
14 May 2021
DAL114
TOR110
16 Nov 2019
DAL110
TOR102
27 Jan 2019
DAL120
TOR123
26 Dec 2017
DAL98
TOR93
25 Mar 2017
DAL86
TOR94
03 Nov 2015
DAL91
TOR102
24 Feb 2015
DAL99
TOR92
20 Dec 2013
DAL108
TOR109
07 Nov 2012
DAL109
TOR104
30 Dec 2011
DAL99
TOR86
28 Dec 2010
DAL76
TOR84
07 Nov 2009
DAL129
TOR101
01 Mar 2009
DAL109
TOR98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
120-118
120
118
+2
118avg 105
H03/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
91-114
91
114
-23
80avg 105
A05/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
104-135
104
135
-31
84avg 105
A06/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
97-112
97
112
-15
98avg 105
H09/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
124-102
124
102
+22
131avg 105
H12/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
97-132
97
132
-35
82avg 105
A13/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
120-106
120
106
+14
118avg 105
A17/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
106-120
106
120
-14
95avg 105
A19/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
92-125
92
125
-33
77avg 105
H23/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
107-117
107
117
-10
98avg 105
H25/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-34
35-38
34-24
19-22
16-29
19-29
25-23
31-33
21-33
31-28
30-44
22-30
30-26
27-34
19-23
21-29
35-25
31-13
30-29
28-35
28-38
26-29
21-37
22-28
27-29
44-19
28-33
21-25
24-39
25-27
29-30
28-24
29-28
22-32
21-33
20-32
35-28
17-30
26-33
29-26
223.9Avg total
105.8Scored
118.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)99.5121.0220.5-21.50%
Season at home (2)99.5121.0220.5-21.50%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)105.8118.1223.9-12.330%
Last 5 (5)104.4120.0224.4-15.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)101.2126.1227.4-24.90%
vs Similar (16)114.0119.1233.1-5.144%
vs Weaker (6)112.5110.0222.5+2.550%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
127-109
127
109
+18
118avg 104
A30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
118-137
118
137
-19
110avg 104
A02/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
103-112
103
112
-9
90avg 104
H03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
105-117
105
117
-12
96avg 104
H04/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
120-109
120
109
+11
114avg 104
A06/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
126-96
126
96
+30
125avg 104
H09/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
102-124
102
124
-22
82avg 104
A12/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
118-125
118
125
-7
110avg 104
A13/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
138-118
138
118
+20
143avg 104
A22/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
116-122
116
122
-6
107avg 104
H24/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-31
31-18
32-33
32-27
32-39
25-31
22-32
39-35
31-29
19-18
26-36
27-29
28-29
27-36
22-28
28-24
28-23
33-23
21-26
38-37
25-23
28-22
35-23
38-28
25-35
13-31
29-30
35-28
37-32
37-22
21-39
23-32
36-34
29-25
45-28
28-31
19-27
35-25
32-34
30-36
234.2Avg total
117.3Scored
116.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)127.0120.0247.0+7.050%
Season at home (1)116.0122.0238.0-6.00%
Season away (1)138.0118.0256.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)117.3116.9234.2+0.440%
Last 5 (5)120.0117.0237.0+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)103.8117.4221.2-13.60%
vs Similar (17)112.4114.8227.2-2.447%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)117.8108.5226.2+9.275%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
Dallas MavericksToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H03/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
35-58
35
58
-23
A05/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A06/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H09/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
66-38
66
38
+28
H12/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A13/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
71-48
71
48
+23
A17/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
49-66
49
66
-17
A19/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H23/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H25/10
NBA
114.2Avg total
55.4Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.959.2115.2-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.957.6115.5+0.250%-
Last 30 away (16)54.260.6114.9-6.419%-
Last 10 (10)55.458.8114.2-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)55.459.8115.2-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)51.461.5112.9-10.112%-
vs Similar (16)57.259.7116.9-2.425%-
vs Weaker (6)58.555.0113.5+3.583%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
63-49
63
49
+14
A30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A02/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H04/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A06/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H09/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
38-66
38
66
-28
A12/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
74-54
74
54
+20
A13/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
65-59
65
59
+6
A22/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H24/10
NBA
112.3Avg total
57.0Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.855.9110.7-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.556.5111.0-2.050%-
Last 30 away (16)55.155.3110.4-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)57.055.3112.3+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)56.855.2112.0+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)50.863.4114.2-12.60%-
vs Similar (17)55.654.8110.5+0.859%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)55.653.4109.0+2.262%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 105.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.828.6
53.2%
54.8%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.0
34.6%
35.8%30.0
🏀 Free throws24.218.4
76.0%
78.1%18.4
They take 82.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 117.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.031.8
53.9%
54.8%63.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.213.5
36.3%
35.8%40.5
🏀 Free throws18.313.2
72.1%
78.1%13.2
They take 96.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LLLWLWLLLW
Toronto Raptors
LWLLWWLLLW
#24
League position
#11
-12.4
Net rating
+0.6
104.5
Offensive rating
112.1
116.9
Defensive rating
111.6
52.7%
Effective FG%
54.1%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
16.0%
Turnover %
13.1%
20.8%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.19
34.6%
3-point %
36.3%
63.5%
Assist %
66.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 112.1Defence116.9 · 111.6Shooting52.7% · 54.1%3-point %34.6% · 36.3%Ball care16.0% · 13.1%Off. rebounds20.8% · 25.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25HWashington Wizards107-117
23/10/25HSan Antonio Spurs92-125
19/04/25AMemphis Grizzlies106-120
17/04/25ASacramento Kings120-106
13/04/25AMemphis Grizzlies97-132
12/04/25HToronto Raptors124-102
09/04/25HLos Angeles Lakers97-112
06/04/25ALos Angeles Clippers104-135
05/04/25ALos Angeles Clippers91-114
03/04/25HAtlanta Hawks120-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/25HMilwaukee Bucks116-122
22/10/25AAtlanta Hawks138-118
13/04/25ASan Antonio Spurs118-125
12/04/25ADallas Mavericks102-124
09/04/25HCharlotte Hornets126-96
06/04/25ABrooklyn Nets120-109
04/04/25HDetroit Pistons105-117
03/04/25HPortland Trail Blazers103-112
02/04/25AChicago Bulls118-137
30/03/25APhiladelphia 76ers127-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game99.599.5-
Allowed / game121.0121.0-
Point differential-21.5-21.5-
Avg total220.5220.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game127.0116.0138.0
Allowed / game120.0122.0118.0
Point differential+7.0-6.0+20.0
Avg total247.0238.0256.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs330100%121.0105.0+16.0
2 Chicago Bulls220100%112.5104.5+8.0
3 Oklahoma City Thunder330100%127.7119.7+8.0
4 Philadelphia 76ers220100%121.0118.5+2.5
5 Charlotte Hornets32167%132.0118.3+13.7
6 Miami Heat32167%127.3115.3+12.0
7 Milwaukee Bucks32167%122.7118.0+4.7
8 New York Knicks32167%110.3107.0+3.3
9 Detroit Pistons32167%115.0113.0+2.0
10 Cleveland Cavaliers32167%120.0118.7+1.3
11 Memphis Grizzlies32167%123.3123.7-0.3
12 Golden State Warriors32167%125.0126.3-1.3
13 Minnesota Timberwolves32167%114.0117.3-3.3
14 Utah Jazz21150%116.5106.5+10.0
15 Denver Nuggets21150%132.0124.0+8.0
16 Portland Trail Blazers21150%126.5118.5+8.0
17 Toronto Raptors21150%127.0120.0+7.0
18 Los Angeles Lakers21150%118.5114.5+4.0
19 Los Angeles Clippers21150%118.5115.5+3.0
20 Sacramento Kings21150%110.5112.0-1.5
21 Orlando Magic31233%110.0114.0-4.0
22 Washington Wizards31233%116.7126.3-9.7
23 Atlanta Hawks31233%109.7120.7-11.0
24 Phoenix Suns31233%111.0126.0-15.0
25 Houston Rockets2020%117.5120.0-2.5
26 New Orleans Pelicans2020%119.0124.0-5.0
27 Boston Celtics3030%108.0113.7-5.7
28 Indiana Pacers3030%116.0127.7-11.7
29 Brooklyn Nets3030%116.0128.3-12.3
30 Dallas Mavericks2020%99.5121.0-21.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks32323936139
Toronto Raptors32342538129
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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