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Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 116-122
19-27 35-25 32-34 30-36
Position#11
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game138.0
Allowed / game118.0
vs
Position#21
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game133.0
Allowed / game120.0
USANBA· Scotiabank Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Milwaukee Bucks
06 Feb 2027
TOR v MIL
upcoming
23 Nov 2026
TOR v MIL
upcoming
04 Nov 2025
TOR128
MIL100
24 Oct 2025
TOR116
MIL122
06 Jan 2025
TOR104
MIL128
15 Nov 2023
TOR112
MIL128
01 Nov 2023
TOR130
MIL111
09 Apr 2023
TOR121
MIL105
04 Jan 2023
TOR101
MIL104
02 Dec 2021
TOR97
MIL93
27 Jan 2021
TOR108
MIL115
03 Apr 2020
TOR v MIL
upcoming
25 Feb 2020
TOR97
MIL108
21 May 2019
TOR v MIL
upcoming
19 May 2019
TOR118
MIL112
31 Jan 2019
TOR92
MIL105
09 Dec 2018
TOR99
MIL104
23 Feb 2018
TOR119
MIL122
01 Jan 2018
TOR131
MIL127
24 Apr 2017
TOR118
MIL93
18 Apr 2017
TOR106
MIL100
15 Apr 2017
TOR83
MIL97
27 Jan 2017
TOR102
MIL86
12 Dec 2016
TOR122
MIL100
11 Dec 2015
TOR90
MIL83
01 Nov 2015
TOR106
MIL87
02 Feb 2015
TOR75
MIL82
21 Nov 2014
TOR124
MIL82
14 Apr 2014
TOR110
MIL100
13 Jan 2014
TOR116
MIL94
13 Jan 2013
TOR96
MIL107
11 Mar 2012
TOR99
MIL105
08 Feb 2012
TOR99
MIL105
30 Mar 2011
TOR98
MIL104
28 Jan 2011
TOR110
MIL116
22 Jan 2010
TOR101
MIL96
25 Mar 2009
TOR115
MIL106
30 Jan 2009
TOR85
MIL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
108-97
108
97
+11
98avg 105
H28/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
127-109
127
109
+18
118avg 105
A30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
118-137
118
137
-19
110avg 105
A02/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
103-112
103
112
-9
90avg 105
H03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
105-117
105
117
-12
96avg 105
H04/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
120-109
120
109
+11
114avg 105
A06/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
126-96
126
96
+30
125avg 105
H09/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
102-124
102
124
-22
82avg 105
A12/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
118-125
118
125
-7
110avg 105
A13/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
138-118
138
118
+20
143avg 105
A22/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-20
17-27
34-25
25-25
32-31
31-18
32-33
32-27
32-39
25-31
22-32
39-35
31-29
19-18
26-36
27-29
28-29
27-36
22-28
28-24
28-23
33-23
21-26
38-37
25-23
28-22
35-23
38-28
25-35
13-31
29-30
35-28
37-32
37-22
21-39
23-32
36-34
29-25
45-28
28-31
230.9Avg total
116.5Scored
114.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)138.0118.0256.0+20.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)138.0118.0256.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)116.5114.4230.9+2.150%
Last 5 (5)120.8114.4235.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)103.8117.4221.2-13.60%
vs Similar (18)112.1114.1226.2-2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)118.0106.6224.6+11.486%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
110-103
110
103
+7
105avg 108
H09/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
136-111
136
111
+25
129avg 108
H11/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
125-119
125
119
+6
117avg 108
A11/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
140-133 OT
140
133
+7
138avg 108
H13/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
98-117
98
117
-19
81avg 108
A19/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
115-123
115
123
-8
109avg 108
A22/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
117-101
117
101
+16
114avg 108
H26/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
103-129
103
129
-26
88avg 108
H28/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
118-119 OT
118
119
-1
112avg 108
A29/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
133-120
133
120
+13
128avg 108
H23/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
22-28
25-34
40-13
21-26
41-28
38-31
36-26
35-36
33-29
30-32
27-22
43-25
28-30
27-37
25-31
25-33
18-34
33-26
22-24
30-40
30-28
27-31
28-24
26-26
21-31
39-18
31-26
24-30
28-33
32-38
19-28
30-13
17-28
28-34
28-28
40-23
32-30
29-37
32-30
237.0Avg total
119.5Scored
117.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)133.0120.0253.0+13.0100%
Season at home (1)133.0120.0253.0+13.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)119.5117.5237.0+2.060%
Last 5 (5)117.2118.4235.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)102.5116.5219.0-14.00%
vs Similar (22)117.8115.6233.4+2.155%
vs Weaker (6)124.2113.7237.8+10.583%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +3.6+3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +3.6+3.6
Toronto RaptorsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H28/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
63-49
63
49
+14
A30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A02/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H04/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A06/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H09/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
38-66
38
66
-28
A12/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
74-54
74
54
+20
A13/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
65-59
65
59
+6
A22/10
NBA
111.3Avg total
56.5Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.755.9110.6-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.556.8111.4-2.346%-
Last 30 away (17)54.855.1109.9-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)56.554.8111.3+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)58.254.0112.2+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)50.863.4114.2-12.60%-
vs Similar (18)55.354.7110.0+0.756%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)55.953.6109.4+2.357%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H09/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H11/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
68-65
68
65
+3
A11/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H13/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
43-67
43
67
-24
A19/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A22/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H26/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
52-63
52
63
-11
H28/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A29/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H23/10
NBA
114.6Avg total
56.7Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.059.0117.0-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.759.2117.9-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)57.258.8116.0-1.647%-
Last 10 (10)56.757.9114.6-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)55.656.4112.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)46.557.5104.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (22)58.060.2118.2-2.336%-
vs Weaker (6)61.855.0116.8+6.8100%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 116.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.331.5
54.0%
54.8%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.913.8
35.5%
35.8%41.4
🏀 Free throws16.612.1
72.9%
78.1%12.1
They take 97.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 119.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.327.1
55.0%
54.8%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.816.0
40.2%
35.8%48.0
🏀 Free throws23.517.3
73.6%
78.1%17.3
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
WLLWWLLLWW
Milwaukee Bucks
WLLWLLWWWW
#11
League position
#21
+2.2
Net rating
+2.2
111.7
Offensive rating
116.9
109.5
Defensive rating
114.8
53.7%
Effective FG%
57.4%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
12.3%
Turnover %
11.6%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
20.5%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.5%
3-point %
40.2%
67.5%
Assist %
61.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 116.9Defence109.5 · 114.8Shooting53.7% · 57.4%3-point %35.5% · 40.2%Ball care12.3% · 11.6%Off. rebounds25.8% · 20.5%Free throws0.17 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Toronto Raptors wins
7
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/25AAtlanta Hawks138-118
13/04/25ASan Antonio Spurs118-125
12/04/25ADallas Mavericks102-124
09/04/25HCharlotte Hornets126-96
06/04/25ABrooklyn Nets120-109
04/04/25HDetroit Pistons105-117
03/04/25HPortland Trail Blazers103-112
02/04/25AChicago Bulls118-137
30/03/25APhiladelphia 76ers127-109
28/03/25HCharlotte Hornets108-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/25HWashington Wizards133-120
29/04/25AIndiana Pacers118-119 OT
28/04/25HIndiana Pacers103-129
26/04/25HIndiana Pacers117-101
22/04/25AIndiana Pacers115-123
19/04/25AIndiana Pacers98-117
13/04/25HDetroit Pistons140-133 OT
11/04/25ADetroit Pistons125-119
11/04/25HNew Orleans Pelicans136-111
09/04/25HMinnesota Timberwolves110-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game138.0-138.0
Allowed / game118.0-118.0
Point differential+20.0-+20.0
Avg total256.0-256.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game133.0133.0-
Allowed / game120.0120.0-
Point differential+13.0+13.0-
Avg total253.0253.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs110100%125.092.0+33.0
2 Utah Jazz110100%129.0108.0+21.0
3 Toronto Raptors110100%138.0118.0+20.0
4 Charlotte Hornets110100%136.0117.0+19.0
5 Milwaukee Bucks110100%133.0120.0+13.0
6 Golden State Warriors220100%128.0120.0+8.0
7 New York Knicks110100%119.0111.0+8.0
8 Memphis Grizzlies110100%128.0122.0+6.0
9 Chicago Bulls110100%115.0111.0+4.0
10 Minnesota Timberwolves110100%118.0114.0+4.0
11 Orlando Magic110100%125.0121.0+4.0
12 Phoenix Suns110100%120.0116.0+4.0
13 Oklahoma City Thunder220100%133.0129.5+3.5
14 Philadelphia 76ers110100%117.0116.0+1.0
15 Boston Celtics1010%116.0117.0-1.0
16 Houston Rockets1010%124.0125.0-1.0
17 Detroit Pistons1010%111.0115.0-4.0
18 Miami Heat1010%121.0125.0-4.0
19 Portland Trail Blazers1010%114.0118.0-4.0
20 Sacramento Kings1010%116.0120.0-4.0
21 Denver Nuggets1010%131.0137.0-6.0
22 Indiana Pacers1010%135.0141.0-6.0
23 New Orleans Pelicans1010%122.0128.0-6.0
24 Cleveland Cavaliers1010%111.0119.0-8.0
25 Los Angeles Lakers1010%109.0119.0-10.0
26 Washington Wizards1010%120.0133.0-13.0
27 Brooklyn Nets1010%117.0136.0-19.0
28 Atlanta Hawks1010%118.0138.0-20.0
29 Los Angeles Clippers1010%108.0129.0-21.0
30 Dallas Mavericks1010%92.0125.0-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors19353230116
Milwaukee Bucks27253436122
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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