Mt Gambier vs Dandenong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Sep 2017

Tip-off: 10:15

Final 92-85

26-23 15-19 28-11 23-32

Position#1

Record23-3

FormWLWWW

Points / game92.3

Allowed / game79.2

Mt Gambier 🏆

Dandenong

Position#2

Record19-8

FormWLWWW

Points / game85.0

Allowed / game81.2

SEABLSEABL - Final

Other2017

Meetings · Mt Gambier v Dandenong

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Dandenong winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt Gambier Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nunawading

92-81

+11

H07/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

113-69

113

+44

A15/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

94-63

+31

A16/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

103-82

103

+21

H21/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

99-89

+10

H28/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

110-83

110

+27

A30/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

80-88

-8

A04/08

SEABL

Kilsyth

92-73

+19

A05/08

SEABL

Nunawading

92-81

+11

H11/08

SEABL

Nunawading

79-76

H25/08

SEABL

23-19

24-18

20-21

25-23

32-20

23-12

29-21

29-16

19-19

24-16

27-11

24-17

22-22

25-23

27-20

29-17

20-24

25-25

27-20

27-26

30-18

26-23

27-16

22-33

20-20

18-16

20-19

26-19

25-22

22-12

19-20

27-22

22-20

23-19

20-20

14-15

24-17

20-25

21-19

173.9Avg total

95.4Scored

78.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	92.3	79.2	171.5	+13.2	88%
Season at home (14)	94.1	78.9	173.0	+15.3	100%
Season away (12)	90.2	79.6	169.8	+10.7	75%
Last 10 (10)	95.4	78.5	173.9	+16.9	90%
Last 5 (5)	90.6	80.2	170.8	+10.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	83.2	78.6	161.8	+4.6	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	92.2	77.5	169.7	+14.6	92%

This opponent (Dandenong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Dandenong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hobart Chargers

74-67

H07/07

SEABL

Nunawading

87-75

+12

H15/07

SEABL

Ballarat

87-100

100

-13

A16/07

SEABL

Frankston

#12

90-85

H22/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

89-79

+10

A29/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

81-58

+23

A30/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

97-108

108

-11

H05/08

SEABL

NW Tasmania

92-91

H12/08

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

105-98

105

A18/08

SEABL

Ballarat

102-94 OT

102

A26/08

SEABL

20-10

20-24

12-25

22-8

19-23

24-20

17-17

27-15

23-25

19-20

23-30

22-25

26-24

14-18

17-28

33-15

20-19

27-23

16-22

26-15

12-13

30-15

15-16

24-14

20-27

28-20

17-18

32-43

26-26

26-27

16-17

24-21

26-25

30-27

25-21

24-25

26-25

15-12

11-25

33-23

175.9Avg total

90.4Scored

85.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	85.0	81.2	166.2	+3.7	70%
Season at home (13)	85.9	79.2	165.2	+6.7	77%
Season away (14)	84.1	83.1	167.1	+1.0	64%
Last 10 (10)	90.4	85.5	175.9	+4.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	95.4	89.8	185.2	+5.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	86.2	89.0	175.2	-2.8	60%
vs Similar (10)	86.2	89.0	175.2	-2.8	50%
vs Weaker (15)	84.0	73.5	157.5	+10.5	87%

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Mt GambierDandenong

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.8	20.5	45.3	+4.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.9	19.4	45.2	+6.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.6	21.7	45.3	+1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	21.9	45.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	23.0	46.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	21.8	23.0	44.8	-1.2	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	25.4	20.0	45.4	+5.4	68%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.0	42.1	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	21.9	42.9	-1.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	19.9	41.1	+1.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.7	43.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.2	45.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	60%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.5	21.9	43.4	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.1	20.1	41.2	+1.1	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	18.1	40.1	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.4	18.1	41.5	+5.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	18.2	38.5	+2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	19.1	43.3	+5.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	19.4	43.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.3	18.2	40.5	+4.2	72%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.0	41.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	19.8	41.7	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	20.4	40.9	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	20.6	43.9	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	20.2	46.0	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	21.2	23.2	44.4	-2.0	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.8	19.9	41.7	+1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.0	19.1	40.1	+1.9	60%	-

Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nunawading

47-37

+10

H07/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

55-32

+23

A15/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

43-35

A16/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

47-45

H21/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

45-49

-4

H28/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

57-44

+13

A30/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

42-53

-11

A04/08

SEABL

Kilsyth

51-41

+10

A05/08

SEABL

Nunawading

49-42

H11/08

SEABL

Nunawading

38-32

H25/08

SEABL

88.4Avg total

47.4Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.8	38.6	85.4	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	49.3	37.4	86.8	+11.9	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.9	39.9	83.8	+3.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.4	41.0	88.4	+6.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	42.4	89.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	42.0	41.0	83.0	+1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	47.7	38.1	85.8	+9.6	88%	-

This opponent (Dandenong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hobart Chargers

40-34

H07/07

SEABL

Nunawading

43-43

H15/07

SEABL

Ballarat

42-45

-3

A16/07

SEABL

Frankston

#12

40-42

-2

H22/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

47-42

A29/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

42-28

+14

A30/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

48-47

H05/08

SEABL

NW Tasmania

52-53

-1

H12/08

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

56-52

A18/08

SEABL

Ballarat

41-37

A26/08

SEABL

87.4Avg total

45.1Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	41.0	83.4	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.9	41.7	84.6	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.8	40.3	82.1	+1.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	42.3	87.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	43.4	91.2	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	41.2	45.2	86.4	-4.0	60%	-
vs Similar (10)	43.3	41.8	85.1	+1.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	42.1	39.1	81.3	+3.0	67%	-

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	20.1	42.5	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	20.3	41.7	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.5	19.9	43.4	+3.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	18.8	42.7	+5.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	20.2	17.2	37.4	+3.0	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.8	20.7	43.5	+2.1	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.1	39.8	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	19.1	39.2	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	21.2	40.4	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	21.9	38.8	-5.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.4	36.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	22.0	23.6	45.6	-1.6	60%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.4	21.8	39.2	-4.4	0%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.5	17.7	38.2	+2.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.0	40.5	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	19.2	42.1	+3.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	18.7	42.8	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.6	18.7	40.3	+3.0	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	19.8	42.3	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	18.9	41.8	+4.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	20.9	42.9	+1.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.7	20.4	47.1	+6.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.4	25.2	52.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	23.0	20.2	43.2	+2.8	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	23.8	24.5	48.3	-0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.4	16.6	38.0	+4.8	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	39.1	83.0	+4.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.2	39.6	83.8	+4.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.5	38.6	82.1	+4.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.0	37.5	85.5	+10.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	37.8	81.0	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	41.2	37.6	78.8	+3.6	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	44.4	39.4	83.8	+5.0	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	39.9	82.1	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.1	37.9	81.1	+5.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.1	42.1	83.2	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	42.3	85.9	+1.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	44.6	88.8	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	45.0	43.8	88.8	+1.2	60%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.2	46.3	87.5	-5.1	30%	-
vs Weaker (15)	41.9	34.3	76.2	+7.5	93%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mt Gambier wins

Dandenong wins

Date	Game	Score
18/06/17	Dandenong v Mt Gambier	91-77
21/04/17	Mt Gambier v Dandenong	86-79
23/04/16	Dandenong v Mt Gambier	80-93
03/07/15	Mt Gambier v Dandenong	98-90 OT
02/05/15	Dandenong v Mt Gambier	93-88

Mt Gambierlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/08/17	H	Nunawading	79-76
11/08/17	H	Nunawading	92-81
05/08/17	A	Kilsyth	92-73
04/08/17	A	Hobart Chargers	80-88
30/07/17	A	Melbourne Tigers	110-83
28/07/17	H	Hobart Chargers	99-89
21/07/17	H	Albury	103-82
16/07/17	A	BA CoE	94-63
15/07/17	A	Canberra	113-69
07/07/17	H	Nunawading	92-81

Dandenonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/08/17	A	Ballarat	102-94 OT
18/08/17	A	Hobart Chargers	105-98
12/08/17	H	NW Tasmania	92-91
05/08/17	H	NW Tasmania	97-108
30/07/17	A	BA CoE	81-58
29/07/17	A	Canberra	89-79
22/07/17	H	Frankston	90-85
16/07/17	A	Ballarat	87-100
15/07/17	H	Nunawading	87-75
07/07/17	H	Hobart Chargers	74-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier

SEABL 2017

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	88%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWLW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	14	12
Win %	88%	100%	75%
Points / game	92.3	94.1	90.2
Allowed / game	79.2	78.9	79.6
Point differential	+13.2	+15.3	+10.7
Avg total	171.5	173.0	169.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	69%	86%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Dandenong

SEABL 2017

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	70%
Home	WWWLW	77%
Away	LWWWW	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	70%	77%	64%
Points / game	85.0	85.9	84.1
Allowed / game	81.2	79.2	83.1
Point differential	+3.7	+6.7	+1.0
Avg total	166.2	165.2	167.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	46%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	75% (4)	-
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	26	23	3	88%	92.3	79.2	+13.2
2	Dandenong	27	19	8	70%	85.0	81.2	+3.7
3	Nunawading	27	18	9	67%	88.4	81.4	+7.0
4	Geelong	26	17	9	65%	87.3	82.1	+5.2
5	Ballarat	26	17	9	65%	88.5	84.4	+4.1
6	Hobart Chargers	26	16	10	62%	93.4	82.3	+11.1
7	NW Tasmania	25	13	12	52%	83.9	84.0	-0.1
8	Bendigo	24	11	13	46%	87.0	87.7	-0.8
9	Kilsyth	24	11	13	46%	79.6	81.2	-1.6
10	Southern Sabres	25	11	14	44%	83.2	84.2	-1.0
11	Albury	24	9	15	38%	91.0	94.6	-3.6
12	Frankston	24	7	17	29%	81.1	87.9	-6.8
13	Melbourne Tigers	24	7	17	29%	76.5	88.8	-12.2
14	Canberra	24	3	21	12%	79.1	91.9	-12.8
15	BA CoE	16	2	14	12%	74.8	89.0	-14.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mt Gambier	26	15	28	23	92
Dandenong	23	19	11	32	85

← all games of the day

Mt Gambier vs Dandenong Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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