Danilovgrad vs Podgorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 52-100

13-31 15-22 9-28 15-19

Position#12

Record6-11

FormLLLWW

Points / game83.6

Allowed / game94.2

Danilovgrad

Podgorica 🏆

Position#3

Record13-4

FormLWWLW

Points / game88.7

Allowed / game73.8

Prva A LigaRound 19

Other2023-24

Meetings · Danilovgrad v Podgorica

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Danilovgrad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Podgorica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Danilovgrad Montenegro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormDanilovgrad

Date

Competition

Primorje

89-108

108

-19

no box

A24/01

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

84-68

+16

no box

H27/01

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

#13

96-110

110

-14

no box

A06/02

Prva A Liga

Podgorica

84-102

102

-18

no box

A08/02

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

82-113

113

-31

no box

H11/02

Prva A Liga

Studentski Centar

94-123

123

-29

no box

H26/02

Prva A Liga

Tivat

94-104

104

-10

no box

H02/03

Prva A Liga

Ibar Rozaje

84-101

101

-17

no box

A10/03

Prva A Liga

Decic

#11

84-79

no box

H16/03

Prva A Liga

Milenijum

#10

79-69

+10

no box

A27/03

Prva A Liga

28-27

22-32

22-25

17-24

26-17

25-13

15-18

18-20

23-29

25-33

27-23

21-25

30-21

15-29

24-25

15-27

25-26

26-25

16-36

15-26

18-29

26-32

21-25

29-37

28-25

20-27

23-26

21-28

22-25

26-29

15-19

17-21

20-13

21-14

26-31

26-19

16-14

17-19

20-17

184.7Avg total

87.0Scored

97.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	83.6	94.2	177.8	-10.6	35%
Season at home (9)	83.6	90.2	173.8	-6.7	56%
Season away (8)	83.6	98.6	182.2	-15.0	12%
Last 10 (10)	87.0	97.7	184.7	-10.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	87.0	95.2	182.2	-8.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	78.4	94.2	172.6	-15.9	25%
vs Similar (1)	96.0	110.0	206.0	-14.0	0%
vs Weaker (1)	78.0	76.0	154.0	+2.0	100%

This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Podgorica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPodgorica

Date

Competition

Mornar Bar

94-92

no box

H13/02

Montenegrin Cup

Buducnost

75-94

-19

no box

A14/02

Montenegrin Cup

Primorje

100-91

100

no box

H01/03

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

71-72

-1

no box

A06/03

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

#13

92-67

+25

no box

H09/03

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

82-87

-5

no box

A14/03

Prva A Liga

Cedevita Junior

#13

85-79

86avg 70

A19/03

ABA League 2

Pelister

#11

86-81

82avg 70

H21/03

ABA League 2

Helios Domzale

75-76

-1

70avg 70

A23/03

ABA League 2

Tivat

81-69

+12

no box

H27/03

Prva A Liga

19-18

30-15

15-21

30-38

20-23

19-28

16-29

20-14

26-23

23-20

33-33

18-15

12-24

20-18

22-15

17-15

22-15

21-25

27-15

22-12

22-24

25-17

16-32

19-14

21-26

22-17

20-16

22-20

19-21

17-20

22-25

28-15

22-21

23-19

18-19

12-17

26-12

17-16

20-21

18-20

164.9Avg total

84.1Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	88.7	73.8	162.5	+14.9	76%
Season at home (9)	94.9	72.2	167.1	+22.7	100%
Season away (8)	81.8	75.6	157.4	+6.1	50%
Last 10 (10)	84.1	80.8	164.9	+3.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	78.4	160.2	+3.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	74.5	80.5	155.0	-6.0	50%
vs Similar (3)	75.7	77.0	152.7	-1.3	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	87.5	74.7	162.2	+12.9	77%

This opponent (Danilovgrad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

DanilovgradPodgorica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	23.1	42.1	-4.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	19.9	39.1	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	26.3	45.1	-7.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	24.2	48.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	24.4	46.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	18.9	23.5	42.4	-4.6	32%	-
vs Similar (1)	23.0	29.0	52.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	6.0	24.0	+12.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.8	42.4	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	20.2	42.6	+2.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	21.5	42.2	-0.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.2	22.0	45.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.6	20.5	42.2	+1.1	59%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.7	41.8	-1.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	21.3	41.5	-1.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	22.1	42.0	-2.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	24.3	46.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.2	43.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	19.7	21.2	40.9	-1.5	29%	-
vs Similar (1)	25.0	33.0	58.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	25.0	50.0	+0.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	18.1	40.1	+3.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.7	16.1	38.8	+6.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	20.4	41.5	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.5	41.2	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	17.8	38.6	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.2	21.5	39.8	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.7	16.7	33.3	+0.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.0	17.8	40.8	+5.2	64%	-

DanilovgradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Primorje

50-59

-9

A24/01

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

51-30

+21

H27/01

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

#13

48-62

-14

A06/02

Prva A Liga

Podgorica

45-50

-5

A08/02

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

51-51

H11/02

Prva A Liga

Studentski Centar

44-61

-17

H26/02

Prva A Liga

Tivat

48-52

-4

H02/03

Prva A Liga

Ibar Rozaje

43-53

-10

A10/03

Prva A Liga

Decic

#11

37-34

H16/03

Prva A Liga

Milenijum

#10

42-33

A27/03

Prva A Liga

94.4Avg total

45.9Scored

48.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	44.8	83.9	-5.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.4	41.3	80.7	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	48.4	87.1	-9.7	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.9	48.5	94.4	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	46.6	89.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	38.6	44.7	83.3	-6.1	25%	-
vs Similar (1)	48.0	62.0	110.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	43.0	31.0	74.0	+12.0	100%	-

This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mornar Bar

49-33

+16

H13/02

Montenegrin Cup

Buducnost

39-51

-12

A14/02

Montenegrin Cup

Primorje

49-43

H01/03

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

32-42

-10

A06/03

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

#13

43-40

H09/03

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

47-41

A14/03

Prva A Liga

Cedevita Junior

#13

43-43

A19/03

ABA League 2

Pelister

#11

36-41

-5

H21/03

ABA League 2

Helios Domzale

45-40

A23/03

ABA League 2

Tivat

43-28

+15

H27/03

Prva A Liga

82.8Avg total

42.6Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	38.9	82.5	+4.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.0	36.4	81.4	+8.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.9	41.9	83.7	+0.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	40.2	82.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	38.6	81.4	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	41.5	43.5	85.0	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	36.3	39.0	75.3	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	44.6	38.4	83.0	+6.3	64%	-

This opponent (Danilovgrad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	24.3	44.9	-3.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	22.3	43.3	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	26.2	46.5	-5.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	24.0	45.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.6	44.2	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	20.4	24.1	44.6	-3.7	25%	-
vs Similar (1)	27.0	23.0	50.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	29.0	48.0	-10.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.1	39.8	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	19.3	40.9	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	20.9	38.5	-3.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	22.6	43.5	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.6	41.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.2	22.2	38.5	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	18.3	17.0	35.3	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.7	20.0	40.8	+0.7	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	25.1	44.4	-5.8	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	24.9	45.8	-4.1	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	25.2	42.9	-7.5	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	25.2	45.1	-5.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	26.0	48.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	19.4	25.4	44.8	-6.0	18%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	25.0	46.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	16.0	32.0	+0.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	17.3	38.9	+4.3	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.6	19.4	43.1	+4.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	14.8	34.1	+4.5	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.2	37.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.8	14.8	31.5	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.2	16.3	38.5	+5.9	91%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	49.3	89.2	-9.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.8	47.3	89.1	-5.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.0	51.4	89.4	-13.4	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	49.2	90.3	-8.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	48.6	92.8	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	39.8	49.5	89.3	-9.8	25%	-
vs Similar (1)	48.0	48.0	96.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	45.0	80.0	-10.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	37.3	78.6	+4.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.2	38.8	83.9	+6.4	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.9	35.7	72.6	+1.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	40.6	82.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	39.8	78.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	33.0	37.0	70.0	-4.0	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	39.3	38.0	77.3	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	42.9	36.3	79.2	+6.6	82%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Danilovgradtheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podgorica: 76.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game

53%

30%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.3	21.0	53.4%	58.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.2	6.6	29.7%	31.5%	19.8
🏀 Free throws	20.8	14.9	71.6%	69.7%	14.9

They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.2	17.6	54.7%	58.8%	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.8	9.0	30.2%	31.5%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	19.4	14.1	72.7%	69.7%	14.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.4	21.5	54.7%	58.8%	43.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.8	6.8	29.7%	31.5%	20.3
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.6	73.9%	69.7%	14.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.3	17.7	53.1%	58.8%	35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	9.2	32.1%	31.5%	27.7
🏀 Free throws	18.5	13.6	73.4%	69.7%	13.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Danilovgrad wins

Podgorica wins

Date	Game	Score
08/02/24	Podgorica v Danilovgrad	102-84
11/02/23	Podgorica v Danilovgrad	107-75
05/11/22	Danilovgrad v Podgorica	65-94
17/04/22	Danilovgrad v Podgorica	75-64
13/01/22	Podgorica v Danilovgrad	99-77
12/03/21	Podgorica v Danilovgrad	84-64
31/10/20	Danilovgrad v Podgorica	64-86

Danilovgradlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/03/24	A	Milenijum	79-69
16/03/24	H	Decic	84-79
10/03/24	A	Ibar Rozaje	84-101
02/03/24	H	Tivat	94-104
26/02/24	H	Studentski Centar	94-123
11/02/24	H	Sutjeska	82-113
08/02/24	A	Podgorica	84-102
06/02/24	A	Jedinstvo	96-110
27/01/24	H	Lovcen Cetinje	84-68
24/01/24	A	Primorje	89-108

Podgoricalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/03/24	H	Tivat	81-69
23/03/24	A	Helios Domzale	75-76
21/03/24	H	Pelister	86-81
19/03/24	A	Cedevita Junior	85-79
14/03/24	A	Sutjeska	82-87
09/03/24	H	Jedinstvo	92-67
06/03/24	A	Lovcen Cetinje	71-72
01/03/24	H	Primorje	100-91
14/02/24	A	Buducnost	75-94
13/02/24	H	Mornar Bar	94-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Danilovgrad

Prva A Liga 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	35%
Home	WLLLW	56%
Away	LLLLW	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	35%	56%	12%
Points / game	83.6	83.6	83.6
Allowed / game	94.2	90.2	98.6
Point differential	-10.6	-6.7	-15.0
Avg total	177.8	173.8	182.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	22%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (3)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Podgorica

Prva A Liga 2023-24

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	76%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	76%	100%	50%
Points / game	88.7	94.9	81.8
Allowed / game	73.8	72.2	75.6
Point differential	+14.9	+22.7	+6.1
Avg total	162.5	167.1	157.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	67%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	-	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sutjeska	17	15	2	88%	91.4	75.9	+15.5
2	Podgorica	17	13	4	76%	88.7	73.8	+14.9
3	Tivat	17	13	4	76%	85.2	76.5	+8.7
4	Primorje	16	12	4	75%	86.3	77.0	+9.3
5	Studentski Centar	17	11	6	65%	84.9	75.3	+9.6
6	Lovcen Cetinje	16	8	8	50%	75.4	75.4	+0.1
7	Milenijum	17	8	9	47%	83.9	84.1	-0.2
8	Kotor	16	6	10	38%	71.4	78.9	-7.5
9	Danilovgrad	17	6	11	35%	83.6	94.2	-10.6
10	Jedinstvo	16	5	11	31%	81.8	87.6	-5.8
11	Decic	18	5	13	28%	82.6	87.9	-5.3
12	Ibar Rozaje	17	4	13	24%	72.4	84.8	-12.4
13	Pljevlja	17	3	14	18%	74.3	90.5	-16.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Danilovgrad	13	15	9	15	52
Podgorica	31	22	28	19	100

← all games of the day

Danilovgrad vs Podgorica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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