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Darussafaka vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 80-75
21-29 24-18 18-14 17-14
Position#16
Record2-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game84.8
Darussafaka 🏆
vs
Baskonia
Position#8
Record9-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game80.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 20
European cup2018
Meetings · Darussafaka v Baskonia
25 Jan 2019
DAR80
BAS75
12 Jan 2017
DAR98
BAS89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darussafaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#13
L
84-85
84
85
-1
107avg 101
A21/12
Euroleague
Sakarya BB
#15
W
82-57
82
57
+25
no box
H24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
112avg 101
H27/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
61-91
61
91
-30
no box
A30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#5
L
65-97
65
97
-32
86avg 101
A04/01
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#7
W
94-87
94
87
+7
no box
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
65-80
65
80
-15
88avg 101
H09/01
Euroleague
Buducnost
#15
L
74-75
74
75
-1
98avg 101
A11/01
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#12
L
69-76
69
76
-7
no box
A14/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
68-82
68
82
-14
97avg 101
A18/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-30
25-15
14-24
27-16
22-18
14-12
19-13
27-14
24-12
18-19
18-22
19-22
15-22
15-25
15-23
16-21
16-29
11-25
18-19
20-24
20-25
23-20
22-17
29-25
16-25
18-19
15-16
16-20
14-16
28-20
11-22
21-17
17-12
15-18
20-24
17-22
14-21
11-24
20-21
23-16
154.6Avg total
74.1Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.284.8159.0-10.611%
Season at home (9)75.479.0154.4-3.622%
Season away (10)73.190.0163.1-16.90%
Last 10 (10)74.180.5154.6-6.430%
Last 5 (5)74.080.0154.0-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)72.686.2158.9-13.66%
vs Similar (9)77.676.0153.6+1.644%
vs Weaker (5)84.878.2163.0+6.660%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#5
W
81-64
81
64
+17
108avg 114
A23/12
ACB
Khimki M.
#13
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
A27/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
94avg 114
H30/12
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
L
87-96
87
96
-9
116avg 114
A04/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#8
W
82-66
82
66
+16
112avg 114
A06/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#6
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
no box
A08/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
W
83-66
83
66
+17
114avg 114
H11/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
68-67
68
67
+1
88avg 114
A13/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
80-75
80
75
+5
116avg 114
H18/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
73-82
73
82
-9
94avg 114
H20/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
25-19
24-15
12-18
27-19
16-17
14-22
28-19
12-26
23-21
13-27
26-17
25-27
16-21
24-27
22-21
20-16
18-16
16-18
28-16
22-20
25-23
15-12
18-25
16-23
23-19
16-9
28-15
12-13
15-12
22-21
19-21
16-21
26-28
20-10
18-16
19-15
19-21
23-26
12-20
157.5Avg total
80.0Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.580.9162.5+0.647%
Season at home (8)78.672.9151.5+5.862%
Season away (11)83.686.8170.5-3.236%
Last 10 (10)80.077.5157.5+2.560%
Last 5 (5)78.276.2154.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.887.2167.0-7.420%
vs Similar (9)79.182.4161.6-3.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)82.970.6153.5+12.481%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +2.3+2.3
DarussafakaBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#13
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A21/12
Euroleague
Sakarya BB
#15
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#6
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H27/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#5
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A04/01
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H09/01
Euroleague
Buducnost
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A11/01
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A14/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A18/01
Euroleague
76.1Avg total
35.4Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.579.0-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.939.180.0+1.760%-
Last 30 away (15)36.141.877.9-5.733%-
Last 10 (10)35.440.776.1-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.240.075.2-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.843.179.9-6.331%-
vs Similar (9)40.037.077.0+3.056%-
vs Weaker (5)41.238.279.4+3.080%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#5
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A23/12
ACB
Khimki M.
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A27/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H30/12
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A04/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#8
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A06/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#6
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A08/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H11/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A13/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H18/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H20/01
ACB
78.4Avg total
39.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.038.278.3+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.736.378.0+5.462%-
Last 30 away (17)38.839.778.5-0.941%-
Last 10 (10)39.538.978.4+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.077.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.043.083.0-3.020%-
vs Similar (9)39.642.281.8-2.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.334.574.8+5.869%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.619.9
47.8%
52.7%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.06.2
31.0%
37.0%18.6
🏀 Free throws16.212.1
74.7%
76.7%12.1
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.0
53.7%
52.7%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.7
38.7%
37.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.413.2
75.9%
76.7%13.2
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Darussafaka
LLLLWLLWWL
Baskonia
LWWWLWLLWW
#16
League position
#8
-10.7
Net rating
+3.1
98.2
Offensive rating
109.3
109.0
Defensive rating
106.2
47.4%
Effective FG%
55.4%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
19.0%
Turnover %
18.4%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.0%
3-point %
38.7%
64.4%
Assist %
67.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 109.3Defence109.0 · 106.2Shooting47.4% · 55.4%3-point %31.0% · 38.7%Ball care19.0% · 18.4%Off. rebounds29.9% · 25.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Darussafaka   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Darussafaka wins
2
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
01/11/18Baskonia v Darussafaka82-56
12/01/17Darussafaka v Baskonia98-89
09/12/16Baskonia v Darussafaka73-52
Darussafakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/19AAnadolu Efes68-82
14/01/19ABuyukcekmece69-76
11/01/19ABuducnost74-75
09/01/19HCSKA Moscow65-80
07/01/19HTurk Telekom94-87
04/01/19ABarcelona65-97
30/12/18AFenerbahce61-91
27/12/18HOlympiacos79-75
24/12/18HSakarya BB82-57
21/12/18AKhimki M.84-85
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/19HBarcelona73-82
18/01/19HOlimpia Milano80-75
13/01/19AJoventut Badalona68-67
11/01/19HGran Canaria83-66
08/01/19AOlympiacos87-91 OT
06/01/19AManresa82-66
04/01/19AFenerbahce87-96
30/12/18HReal Madrid74-91
27/12/18AKhimki M.85-77
23/12/18AUnicaja81-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darussafaka
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL11%
HomeLLLWL22%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %11%22%0%
Points / game74.275.473.1
Allowed / game84.879.090.0
Point differential-10.6-3.6-16.9
Avg total159.0154.4163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)20% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW47%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayWWWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %47%62%36%
Points / game81.578.683.6
Allowed / game80.972.986.8
Point differential+0.6+5.8-3.2
Avg total162.5151.5170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%25%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2018290%83.974.5+9.3
2 Real Madrid2016480%86.276.0+10.2
3 CSKA Moscow1914574%86.581.6+4.9
4 Anadolu Efes2013765%85.580.2+5.3
5 Olympiacos2012860%80.277.4+2.8
6 Barcelona1911858%78.577.3+1.2
7 Bayern20101050%79.280.2-1.0
8 Baskonia1991047%81.580.9+0.6
9 Olimpia Milano2091145%86.385.6+0.8
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv2091145%80.380.1+0.2
11 Zalgiris Kaunas2081240%78.580.0-1.4
12 Panathinaikos2081240%77.379.7-2.4
13 Khimki M.2071335%76.879.2-2.3
14 Gran Canaria1961332%78.287.2-9.1
15 Buducnost1951426%74.083.7-9.7
16 Darussafaka1921711%74.284.8-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Darussafaka2124181780
Baskonia2918141475
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