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Bayern vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 116-70
21-17 33-18 33-15 29-20
Position#12
Record2-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game82.2
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#16
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game82.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 6
European cup2018
Meetings · Bayern v Darussafaka
08 Nov 2018
BAY116
DAR70
23 Mar 2018
BAY83
DAR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#13
W
106-92
106
92
+14
H07/10
German Cup
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
71-90
71
90
-19
H11/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
87-61
87
61
+26
A14/10
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H16/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A18/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
W
102-91
102
91
+11
H21/10
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H25/10
Euroleague
Bremerhaven
#17
W
89-72
89
72
+17
A28/10
BBL
Fenerbahce
#2
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A01/11
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
96-71
96
71
+25
A04/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
32-16
22-27
24-32
19-18
18-26
14-28
20-18
19-9
17-19
27-19
24-14
20-20
20-21
16-17
24-21
17-26
19-18
18-21
19-18
25-22
25-17
29-27
23-25
20-11
23-21
18-20
16-19
15-12
23-29
30-19
21-12
26-28
22-23
17-14
19-23
24-18
33-28
17-18
22-7
166.3Avg total
86.5Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.082.2159.2-5.240%
Season at home (3)76.080.0156.0-4.067%
Season away (2)78.585.5164.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)86.579.8166.3+6.770%
Last 5 (5)89.678.6168.2+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.589.0166.5-11.50%
vs Similar (8)83.478.9162.2+4.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.373.9161.2+13.484%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H24/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#5
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#3
L
93-109
93
109
-16
A11/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A14/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#15
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H16/10
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A18/10
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#10
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#5
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H26/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
56-82
56
82
-26
A01/11
Euroleague
Tofas
#4
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H04/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
20-19
23-20
23-17
12-19
19-12
16-15
15-17
18-25
20-28
31-38
24-18
26-20
16-24
18-9
12-22
14-25
25-10
14-14
18-14
17-19
21-12
10-26
27-22
14-21
24-12
21-25
18-14
18-23
22-24
24-11
7-21
16-16
14-22
11-26
15-18
16-24
22-14
17-25
23-19
151.6Avg total
73.3Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.282.4155.6-9.220%
Season at home (2)71.071.0142.0+0.050%
Season away (3)74.790.0164.7-15.30%
Last 10 (10)73.378.3151.6-5.020%
Last 5 (5)71.478.8150.2-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)73.380.8154.1-7.422%
vs Similar (11)76.074.2150.2+1.855%
vs Weaker (10)81.773.6155.3+8.170%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
BayernDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#13
W
60-33
60
33
+27
H07/10
German Cup
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H11/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A14/10
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H16/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A18/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H21/10
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H25/10
Euroleague
Bremerhaven
#17
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A28/10
BBL
Fenerbahce
#2
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A01/11
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A04/11
BBL
84.4Avg total
44.5Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.237.381.4+6.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.636.682.2+8.969%-
Last 30 away (14)42.638.080.6+4.664%-
Last 10 (10)44.539.984.4+4.650%-
Last 5 (5)47.241.889.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.547.590.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (8)42.436.178.5+6.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.336.981.2+7.474%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H24/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#5
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#3
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A11/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A14/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#15
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H16/10
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A18/10
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#10
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H26/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A01/11
Euroleague
Tofas
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H04/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
75.8Avg total
36.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.337.275.5+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.136.373.4+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)39.538.277.7+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)36.639.275.8-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)36.837.474.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.840.476.2-4.722%-
vs Similar (11)36.637.774.4-1.145%-
vs Weaker (10)42.433.876.2+8.690%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.423.1
57.1%
52.7%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.8
34.5%
37.0%20.3
🏀 Free throws18.214.6
79.9%
76.7%14.6
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.9
51.8%
52.7%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.5
31.8%
37.0%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.513.8
74.6%
76.7%13.8
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLWWWLWWLW
Darussafaka
LLLWLWLLLL
#12
League position
#16
-2.5
Net rating
-9.7
113.8
Offensive rating
106.6
116.3
Defensive rating
116.3
55.4%
Effective FG%
50.2%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
18.8%
Turnover %
16.1%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.5%
3-point %
31.8%
61.3%
Assist %
47.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 106.6Defence116.3 · 116.3Shooting55.4% · 50.2%3-point %34.5% · 31.8%Ball care18.8% · 16.1%Off. rebounds35.2% · 30.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Bayern   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bayern wins
2
Darussafaka wins
DateGameScore
23/03/18Bayern v Darussafaka83-87
20/03/18Darussafaka v Bayern76-74
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/18ACrailsheim Merlins96-71
01/11/18AFenerbahce84-88
28/10/18ABremerhaven89-72
25/10/18HBaskonia77-71
21/10/18HBonn102-91
18/10/18ABarcelona73-83
16/10/18HPanathinaikos80-79
14/10/18ABasketball Braunschweig87-61
11/10/18HAnadolu Efes71-90
07/10/18HGiessen106-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/18HTofas78-82
01/11/18ABaskonia56-82
26/10/18HBarcelona71-79
22/10/18HBahcesehir Kol.77-72
18/10/18ACSKA Moscow75-79
16/10/18HBuducnost71-63
14/10/18AAnadolu Efes72-75
11/10/18AReal Madrid93-109
06/10/18HGaziantep62-63
24/05/18HAnadolu Efes78-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game77.076.078.5
Allowed / game82.280.085.5
Point differential-5.2-4.0-7.0
Avg total159.2156.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Darussafaka
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game73.271.074.7
Allowed / game82.471.090.0
Point differential-9.2+0.0-15.3
Avg total155.6142.0164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%95.278.2+17.0
2 CSKA Moscow550100%87.678.4+9.2
3 Fenerbahce54180%88.681.0+7.6
4 Olimpia Milano54180%85.679.4+6.2
5 Panathinaikos53260%85.081.0+4.0
6 Barcelona53260%79.476.8+2.6
7 Anadolu Efes53260%84.682.4+2.2
8 Olympiacos53260%80.078.8+1.2
9 Baskonia52340%79.878.8+1.0
10 Zalgiris Kaunas52340%82.684.2-1.6
11 Bayern52340%77.082.2-5.2
12 Khimki M.51420%80.483.6-3.2
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv51420%77.281.6-4.4
14 Darussafaka51420%73.282.4-9.2
15 Gran Canaria51420%81.895.6-13.8
16 Buducnost5050%64.878.4-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern21333329116
Darussafaka1718152070
← all games of the day
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