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Darussafaka vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 95-85
22-24 22-28 25-15 26-18
Position#25
Record5-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Position#26
Record5-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game74.2
EuropeChampions League
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darussafaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#15
W
78-74
78
74
+4
no box
H15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
79-97
79
97
-18
no box
H21/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#26
L
75-85
75
85
-10
no box
A25/01
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#13
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
no box
A29/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#4
L
59-80
59
80
-21
44avg 69
H01/02
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
80-83
80
83
-3
no box
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#9
L
87-96
87
96
-9
77avg 69
A15/02
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#12
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
no box
A04/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#9
W
105-104 OT
105
104
+1
no box
H07/03
Champions League
Galatasaray
#8
L
65-71
65
71
-6
no box
A12/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
21-15
12-22
24-15
21-22
20-30
24-26
14-19
14-18
22-16
16-26
23-25
16-19
14-18
18-29
33-15
15-24
10-19
11-16
23-21
24-13
19-20
19-24
18-26
25-23
24-25
18-21
20-27
18-22
23-15
17-23
16-14
17-18
17-28
18-23
34-17
19-4
13-23
16-20
17-24
168.2Avg total
81.0Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.280.1157.3-2.842%
Season at home (6)77.784.0161.7-6.350%
Season away (6)76.876.2153.0+0.733%
Last 10 (10)81.087.2168.2-6.230%
Last 5 (5)85.087.8172.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.986.1160.0-12.211%
vs Similar ◀ (21)81.580.6162.1+0.962%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
75avg 67
A22/01
ACB
Darussafaka
#25
W
85-75
85
75
+10
no box
H25/01
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
51-70
51
70
-19
35avg 67
H28/01
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
72-90
72
90
-18
62avg 67
A31/01
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
64-77
64
77
-13
58avg 67
A04/02
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
66-78
66
78
-12
55avg 67
A07/02
Champions League
Granada
#16
W
90-73
90
73
+17
83avg 67
H11/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
71-94
71
94
-23
57avg 67
A05/03
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
72-74
72
74
-2
63avg 67
H07/03
Champions League
Real Madrid
#3
L
65-86
65
86
-21
54avg 67
A12/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
18-29
26-16
23-25
18-14
16-22
26-16
25-23
13-15
16-20
10-24
12-11
13-20
16-28
18-26
25-16
20-25
15-17
17-28
12-7
17-16
12-17
17-26
20-19
20-18
22-16
22-21
26-18
14-29
23-16
19-26
15-23
19-23
24-12
20-17
9-22
15-11
13-27
13-26
24-22
151.9Avg total
71.4Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.274.2151.4+3.050%
Season at home (5)77.876.0153.8+1.840%
Season away (5)76.672.4149.0+4.260%
Last 10 (10)71.480.5151.9-9.120%
Last 5 (5)72.881.0153.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.581.2150.7-11.69%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.778.1153.8-2.450%
vs Weaker (9)84.475.4159.9+9.067%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
DarussafakaBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#15
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H21/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#26
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A25/01
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#13
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A29/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#4
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H01/02
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#9
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A15/02
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#12
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A04/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#9
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H07/03
Champions League
Galatasaray
#8
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A12/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
76.7Avg total
37.3Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.979.9-2.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.941.879.7-3.938%-
Last 30 away (14)40.139.980.1+0.271%-
Last 10 (10)37.339.476.7-2.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.278.0+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.344.680.9-8.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)40.039.479.4+0.762%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#1
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A22/01
ACB
Darussafaka
#25
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H25/01
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H28/01
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A31/01
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A04/02
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A07/02
Champions League
Granada
#16
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H11/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A05/03
ACB
Tenerife
#4
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H07/03
Champions League
Real Madrid
#3
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A12/03
ACB
72.8Avg total
33.5Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.738.675.3-1.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.537.075.5+1.543%-
Last 30 away (16)35.140.175.2-4.919%-
Last 10 (10)33.539.372.8-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)35.837.072.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.339.073.3-4.718%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.037.972.9-2.930%-
vs Weaker (9)41.639.080.6+2.644%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.0
54.4%
51.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.3
28.4%
35.2%18.9
🏀 Free throws15.912.0
75.5%
74.3%12.0
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 70.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.416.6
45.6%
51.4%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.9
33.3%
35.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.713.8
78.0%
74.3%13.8
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Darussafaka
LWWLLLLLLW
Bilbao
LLLWLLLLWL
#25
League position
#26
-5.8
Net rating
-13.0
103.4
Offensive rating
99.8
109.2
Defensive rating
112.8
50.1%
Effective FG%
47.3%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
20.6%
Turnover %
20.5%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.4%
3-point %
33.3%
59.7%
Assist %
61.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 99.8Defence109.2 · 112.8Shooting50.1% · 47.3%3-point %28.4% · 33.3%Ball care20.6% · 20.5%Off. rebounds31.2% · 32.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Darussafaka   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Darussafaka wins
1
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
25/01/23Bilbao v Darussafaka85-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23AGalatasaray65-71
07/03/23HMurcia105-104 OT
04/03/23APetkim Spor88-85 OT
15/02/23AMurcia87-96
05/02/23HAnadolu Efes80-83
01/02/23HTenerife59-80
29/01/23AMerkezefendi94-97 OT
25/01/23ABilbao75-85
21/01/23HTurk Telekom79-97
15/01/23HGaziantep78-74
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23AReal Madrid65-86
07/03/23HTenerife72-74
05/03/23AGran Canaria71-94
11/02/23HGranada90-73
07/02/23ATenerife66-78
04/02/23AObradoiro CAB64-77
31/01/23AMurcia72-90
28/01/23HJoventut Badalona51-70
25/01/23HDarussafaka85-75
22/01/23ABarcelona78-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darussafaka
Champions League 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW42%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game77.277.776.8
Allowed / game80.184.076.2
Point differential-2.8-6.3+0.7
Avg total157.3161.7153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Bilbao
Champions League 2022
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%40%60%
Points / game77.277.876.6
Allowed / game74.276.072.4
Point differential+3.0+1.8+4.2
Avg total151.4153.8149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn109190%84.573.1+11.4
2 Unicaja1210283%86.572.2+14.3
3 Tenerife108280%82.968.9+14.0
4 Hapoel Jerusalem108280%78.074.0+4.0
5 Manresa107370%82.077.4+4.6
6 Strasbourg107370%84.881.1+3.7
7 Chemnitz32167%89.076.3+12.7
8 FMP Beograd32167%83.376.0+7.3
9 Levice32167%77.772.7+5.0
10 AEK Athens128467%76.274.5+1.7
11 Murcia128467%86.284.8+1.5
12 Benfica117464%79.177.2+1.9
13 Galatasaray106460%83.377.5+5.8
14 Ludwigsburg95456%83.178.7+4.4
15 Dijon137654%79.181.1-2.0
16 Budivelnyk21150%90.574.0+16.5
17 Bilbao105550%77.274.2+3.0
18 Hapoel Holon126650%85.883.4+2.3
19 Voluntari21150%63.564.5-1.0
20 Bamberg21150%85.090.5-5.5
21 Swans Gmunden21150%73.581.5-8.0
22 Den Bosch21150%71.593.5-22.0
23 Rytas136746%81.981.1+0.8
24 Oostende94544%78.079.7-1.7
25 Peristeri94544%79.284.6-5.3
26 Darussafaka125742%77.280.1-2.8
27 Tofas104640%78.275.5+2.7
28 Limoges135838%74.875.4-0.6
29 Bahcesehir Kol.135838%75.279.0-3.8
30 Igokea83538%78.281.2-3.0
31 Bakken Bears83538%75.080.9-5.9
32 Szombathely62433%78.782.3-3.7
33 PAOK93633%73.377.7-4.3
34 Nymburk62433%72.877.8-5.0
35 Sassari62433%78.384.7-6.3
36 Reggiana62433%72.779.8-7.2
37 Bnei Herzliya62433%78.088.2-10.2
38 Karsiyaka82625%81.085.4-4.4
39 Legia61517%72.882.5-9.7
40 VEF Riga61517%68.379.0-10.7
41 Parnu1010%80.082.0-2.0
42 Keravnos1010%65.073.0-8.0
43 Kormend1010%70.079.0-9.0
44 Leicester Riders1010%61.070.0-9.0
45 Breogan1010%64.076.0-12.0
46 Siauliai1010%73.085.0-12.0
47 Opava1010%76.092.0-16.0
48 TFT Skopje1010%77.096.0-19.0
49 Fribourg Olympic1010%70.093.0-23.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%57.081.0-24.0
51 Golden Eagle Ylli1010%67.092.0-25.0
52 Norrkoping1010%51.087.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Darussafaka2222252695
Bilbao2428151885
← all games of the day
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