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Real Madrid vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 86-65
11-15 27-13 26-13 22-24
Position#3
Record18-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game75.7
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
vs
Bilbao
Spain
Position#12
Record9-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game79.6
SpainACBRound 22
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Real Madrid v Bilbao
18 Oct 2026
MAD119
BIL84
16 Nov 2025
MAD82
BIL70
30 Mar 2025
MAD88
BIL70
21 Jan 2024
MAD95
BIL80
12 Mar 2023
MAD86
BIL65
07 Nov 2021
MAD95
BIL61
20 May 2021
MAD70
BIL59
13 Feb 2020
MAD93
BIL83
28 Jan 2018
MAD95
BIL65
26 Mar 2017
MAD104
BIL76
10 Apr 2016
MAD102
BIL80
26 Apr 2015
MAD78
BIL52
03 Nov 2013
MAD92
BIL75
04 Oct 2013
MAD100
BIL61
11 Nov 2012
MAD98
BIL84
05 Feb 2012
MAD90
BIL93
01 Feb 2012
MAD89
BIL73
29 May 2011
MAD66
BIL71
27 May 2011
MAD78
BIL67
05 Feb 2011
MAD76
BIL72
14 Feb 2010
MAD80
BIL87
16 Nov 2008
MAD84
BIL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
W
95-91
95
91
+4
95avg 81
A03/02
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
88-77
88
77
+11
82avg 81
H05/02
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
88-80
88
80
+8
80avg 81
A12/02
ACB
Valencia
#5
W
86-85
86
85
+1
no box
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#1
L
82-93
82
93
-11
no box
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
96-69
96
69
+27
100avg 81
H23/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
75-71
75
71
+4
70avg 81
A03/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 81
A05/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
81-85
81
85
-4
82avg 81
H07/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
95-91
95
91
+4
98avg 81
H09/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
26-26
20-25
25-20
28-20
22-16
20-23
18-18
20-20
20-12
31-23
17-25
21-13
20-21
22-24
23-27
19-17
20-22
20-27
23-27
22-24
31-14
23-14
20-17
20-10
27-22
16-22
12-17
24-14
20-16
22-27
18-21
22-17
21-23
22-22
16-23
24-20
25-20
22-25
24-26
169.0Avg total
87.0Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)87.875.7163.5+12.186%
Season at home (10)91.775.7167.4+16.090%
Season away (11)84.375.6159.9+8.682%
Last 10 (10)87.082.0169.0+5.080%
Last 5 (5)86.278.8165.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.093.0175.0-11.00%
vs Similar (8)82.879.0161.8+3.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.275.8163.1+11.490%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#15
L
59-84
59
84
-25
45avg 68
A14/01
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
75avg 68
A22/01
ACB
Darussafaka
#25
W
85-75
85
75
+10
no box
H25/01
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
51-70
51
70
-19
35avg 68
H28/01
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
72-90
72
90
-18
62avg 68
A31/01
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
64-77
64
77
-13
58avg 68
A04/02
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
66-78
66
78
-12
55avg 68
A07/02
Champions League
Granada
#16
W
90-73
90
73
+17
83avg 68
H11/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
71-94
71
94
-23
57avg 68
A05/03
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
72-74
72
74
-2
63avg 68
H07/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
14-15
14-25
17-22
11-18
18-29
26-16
23-25
18-14
16-22
26-16
25-23
13-15
16-20
10-24
12-11
13-20
16-28
18-26
25-16
20-25
15-17
17-28
12-7
17-16
12-17
17-26
20-19
20-18
22-16
22-21
26-18
14-29
23-16
19-26
15-23
19-23
24-12
20-17
9-22
151.1Avg total
70.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.779.6156.3-2.943%
Season at home (10)80.875.9156.7+4.960%
Season away (11)73.082.9155.9-9.927%
Last 10 (10)70.880.3151.1-9.520%
Last 5 (5)72.679.2151.8-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)70.080.7150.7-10.710%
vs Similar (11)76.577.4153.9-0.855%
vs Weaker (9)84.475.4159.9+9.067%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
Real MadridBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A03/02
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H05/02
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A12/02
ACB
Valencia
#5
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H23/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A03/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A05/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H07/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H09/03
Euroleague
82.3Avg total
45.6Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.336.679.9+6.780%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.836.681.4+8.288%-
Last 30 away (14)41.636.678.2+4.971%-
Last 10 (10)45.636.782.3+8.990%-
Last 5 (5)47.236.083.2+11.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.039.078.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (8)41.139.680.8+1.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.535.580.0+9.090%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#15
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A14/01
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A22/01
ACB
Darussafaka
#25
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H25/01
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H28/01
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A31/01
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A04/02
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A07/02
Champions League
Granada
#16
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H11/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A05/03
ACB
Tenerife
#4
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H07/03
Champions League
72.7Avg total
33.5Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.338.776.0-1.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.137.176.2+1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)35.640.275.8-4.620%-
Last 10 (10)33.539.272.7-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)37.237.875.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.939.174.0-4.220%-
vs Similar (11)36.138.074.1-1.936%-
vs Weaker (9)41.639.080.6+2.644%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.023.2
61.1%
52.1%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.98.1
37.0%
34.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.016.4
78.1%
73.9%16.4
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 70.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.115.9
45.3%
52.1%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.2
32.9%
34.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.813.7
77.0%
73.9%13.7
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLWWWLWWWW
Bilbao
LLWLLLLWLL
#3
League position
#12
+13.6
Net rating
-13.6
118.6
Offensive rating
99.3
105.0
Defensive rating
112.9
59.0%
Effective FG%
47.0%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
17.8%
Turnover %
20.5%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.0%
3-point %
32.9%
56.5%
Assist %
60.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence118.6 · 99.3Defence105.0 · 112.9Shooting59.0% · 47.0%3-point %37.0% · 32.9%Ball care17.8% · 20.5%Off. rebounds30.9% · 32.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
27/12/22Bilbao v Real Madrid80-85
13/04/22Bilbao v Real Madrid79-67
07/11/21Real Madrid v Bilbao95-61
20/05/21Real Madrid v Bilbao70-59
04/11/20Bilbao v Real Madrid83-85
13/02/20Real Madrid v Bilbao93-83
28/01/18Real Madrid v Bilbao95-65
05/10/17Bilbao v Real Madrid80-87
26/03/17Real Madrid v Bilbao104-76
11/12/16Bilbao v Real Madrid77-85
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/23HValencia95-91
07/03/23HBaskonia81-85
05/03/23AObradoiro CAB84-78
03/03/23ALyon-Villeurbanne75-71
23/02/23HZalgiris Kaunas96-69
18/02/23HUnicaja82-93
16/02/23HValencia86-85
12/02/23AMurcia88-80
05/02/23HTenerife88-77
03/02/23AMonaco95-91
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/23HTenerife72-74
05/03/23AGran Canaria71-94
11/02/23HGranada90-73
07/02/23ATenerife66-78
04/02/23AObradoiro CAB64-77
31/01/23AMurcia72-90
28/01/23HJoventut Badalona51-70
25/01/23HDarussafaka85-75
22/01/23ABarcelona78-88
14/01/23ABasquet Girona59-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayWWWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %86%90%82%
Points / game87.891.784.3
Allowed / game75.775.775.6
Point differential+12.1+16.0+8.6
Avg total163.5167.4159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%90%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL43%
HomeLLWLW60%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%60%27%
Points / game76.780.873.0
Allowed / game79.675.982.9
Point differential-2.9+4.9-9.9
Avg total156.3156.7155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%40%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2118386%87.875.7+12.1
2 Barcelona2117481%83.873.0+10.8
3 Baskonia2117481%91.082.2+8.9
4 Tenerife2115671%82.472.8+9.6
5 Unicaja2114767%86.877.3+9.5
6 Joventut Badalona2214864%81.177.0+4.1
7 Gran Canaria2213959%82.978.2+4.6
8 Valencia21111052%85.084.0+1.0
9 Obradoiro CAB22111150%79.281.7-2.5
10 Breogan21101148%78.779.8-1.1
11 Bilbao2191243%76.779.6-2.9
12 Basquet Girona2181338%76.180.4-4.3
13 Murcia2181338%78.983.9-5.0
14 Basket Zaragoza2271532%78.081.2-3.1
15 Granada2271532%77.587.6-10.2
16 Real Betis2151624%77.285.6-8.4
17 Manresa2041620%82.091.2-9.2
18 Fuenlabrada2131814%76.990.9-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1127262286
Bilbao1513132465
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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