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Bilbao vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 85-75
18-14 16-22 26-16 25-23
Position#26
Record4-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game70.8
Bilbao 🏆
vs
Position#25
Record4-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game74.5
EuropeChampions League
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
W
76-72
76
72
+4
68avg 70
H03/12
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
77-80
77
80
-3
69avg 70
H11/12
ACB
Bahcesehir Kol.
#34
W
92-60
92
60
+32
96avg 70
A14/12
Champions League
Manresa
#14
W
86-76
86
76
+10
78avg 70
A17/12
ACB
Nymburk
#33
L
71-81
71
81
-10
59avg 70
H21/12
Champions League
Real Madrid
#3
L
80-85
80
85
-5
no box
H27/12
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
79-92
79
92
-13
74avg 70
A04/01
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
99-81
99
81
+18
97avg 70
H08/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
L
59-84
59
84
-25
45avg 70
A14/01
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
75avg 70
A22/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
15-13
17-22
24-21
20-19
9-19
24-22
24-20
23-18
19-14
28-14
22-14
24-22
26-16
20-26
16-12
17-18
23-32
15-14
16-17
16-21
26-21
16-17
22-26
20-23
21-19
15-28
23-22
27-21
23-19
27-20
22-21
14-22
14-15
14-25
17-22
11-18
18-29
26-16
23-25
159.6Avg total
79.7Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.570.8150.3+8.767%
Season at home (3)77.377.0154.3+0.333%
Season away (3)81.764.7146.3+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.779.9159.6-0.240%
Last 5 (5)79.086.0165.0-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.279.5154.6-4.345%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.679.6160.3+1.055%
vs Weaker (8)83.875.8159.5+8.062%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#4
L
71-87
71
87
-16
no box
H17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
69-92
69
92
-23
56avg 72
H20/12
Champions League
Besiktas
#14
L
84-98
84
98
-14
no box
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#5
L
71-97
71
97
-26
no box
A28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
no box
H31/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Benfica
#8
W
89-76
89
76
+13
90avg 72
A04/01
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#3
L
82-95
82
95
-13
no box
A07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Benfica
#8
W
83-72 OT
83
72
+11
no box
H11/01
Champions League
Gaziantep
#15
W
78-74
78
74
+4
no box
H15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
79-97
79
97
-18
no box
H21/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
15-27
18-11
22-26
24-22
17-29
13-19
15-22
20-33
20-22
15-13
29-30
19-27
15-15
15-26
22-29
25-19
28-16
17-15
18-32
27-16
20-19
25-22
17-19
11-31
22-19
15-23
34-22
18-24
17-18
20-11
13-15
21-22
21-15
12-22
24-15
21-22
20-30
24-26
14-19
166.4Avg total
79.4Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.174.5149.6+0.650%
Season at home (4)75.580.0155.5-4.550%
Season away (4)74.869.0143.8+5.850%
Last 10 (10)79.487.0166.4-7.640%
Last 5 (5)82.282.8165.0-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.285.4159.6-11.215%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.277.6156.8+1.671%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.1-2.1
BilbaoDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H03/12
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H11/12
ACB
Bahcesehir Kol.
#34
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A14/12
Champions League
Manresa
#14
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A17/12
ACB
Nymburk
#33
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H21/12
Champions League
Real Madrid
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H27/12
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A04/01
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H08/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A14/01
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A22/01
ACB
78.1Avg total
38.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.779.0-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.938.579.4+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)37.740.978.5-3.220%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.578.1-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.679.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.241.279.4-3.036%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.738.377.0+0.545%-
vs Weaker (8)41.539.681.1+1.938%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#4
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H20/12
Champions League
Besiktas
#14
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#6
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H31/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Benfica
#8
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A04/01
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Benfica
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H11/01
Champions League
Gaziantep
#15
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H21/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.6Avg total
39.7Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.241.680.8-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.642.179.6-4.531%-
Last 30 away (14)41.141.182.2-0.164%-
Last 10 (10)39.744.984.6-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.282.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.744.280.8-7.531%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.139.780.8+1.459%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.6
52.2%
51.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.6
36.8%
35.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.212.9
75.0%
74.3%12.9
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.1
55.8%
51.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.06.4
27.8%
35.2%19.2
🏀 Free throws17.713.0
73.4%
74.3%13.0
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
LLWLLLWWLW
Darussafaka
LWWLWWLLLL
#26
League position
#25
+0.0
Net rating
-3.3
108.3
Offensive rating
104.1
108.3
Defensive rating
107.4
53.5%
Effective FG%
50.3%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
19.0%
Turnover %
21.3%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.8%
3-point %
27.8%
54.6%
Assist %
63.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 104.1Defence108.3 · 107.4Shooting53.5% · 50.3%3-point %36.8% · 27.8%Ball care19.0% · 21.3%Off. rebounds30.2% · 32.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Bilbao   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bilbao wins
0
Darussafaka wins
No previous meetings.
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/23ABarcelona78-88
14/01/23ABasquet Girona59-84
08/01/23HMurcia99-81
04/01/23AUnicaja79-92
27/12/22HReal Madrid80-85
21/12/22HNymburk71-81
17/12/22AManresa86-76
14/12/22ABahcesehir Kol.92-60
11/12/22HObradoiro CAB77-80
03/12/22HGran Canaria76-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23HTurk Telekom79-97
15/01/23HGaziantep78-74
11/01/23HBenfica83-72 OT
07/01/23AFenerbahce82-95
04/01/23ABenfica89-76
31/12/22HTofas88-82
28/12/22ABursaspor71-97
24/12/22ABesiktas84-98
20/12/22HHapoel Jerusalem69-92
17/12/22HKarsiyaka71-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
Champions League 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%33%100%
Points / game79.577.381.7
Allowed / game70.877.064.7
Point differential+8.7+0.3+17.0
Avg total150.3154.3146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Darussafaka
Champions League 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game75.175.574.8
Allowed / game74.580.069.0
Point differential+0.6-4.5+5.8
Avg total149.6155.5143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja87188%89.873.1+16.6
2 Bonn65183%83.273.8+9.3
3 Hapoel Jerusalem65183%80.074.7+5.3
4 Tenerife75271%85.370.3+15.0
5 Galatasaray75271%87.778.0+9.7
6 Manresa75271%83.477.0+6.4
7 Strasbourg75271%85.384.4+0.9
8 Chemnitz32167%89.076.3+12.7
9 Bilbao64267%79.570.8+8.7
10 FMP Beograd32167%83.376.0+7.3
11 Hapoel Holon96367%91.185.6+5.6
12 Levice32167%77.772.7+5.0
13 Murcia96367%82.883.7-0.9
14 Benfica117464%79.177.2+1.9
15 AEK Athens85362%77.075.0+2.0
16 Ludwigsburg95456%83.178.7+4.4
17 Dijon95456%79.680.6-1.0
18 Bahcesehir Kol.95456%74.876.8-2.0
19 Budivelnyk21150%90.574.0+16.5
20 Rytas105550%81.978.1+3.8
21 Limoges105550%77.074.5+2.5
22 Darussafaka84450%75.174.5+0.6
23 Voluntari21150%63.564.5-1.0
24 Bamberg21150%85.090.5-5.5
25 Swans Gmunden21150%73.581.5-8.0
26 Den Bosch21150%71.593.5-22.0
27 Oostende94544%78.079.7-1.7
28 Peristeri94544%79.284.6-5.3
29 Tofas104640%78.275.5+2.7
30 Igokea83538%78.281.2-3.0
31 Bakken Bears83538%75.080.9-5.9
32 Szombathely62433%78.782.3-3.7
33 PAOK93633%73.377.7-4.3
34 Nymburk62433%72.877.8-5.0
35 Sassari62433%78.384.7-6.3
36 Reggiana62433%72.779.8-7.2
37 Bnei Herzliya62433%78.088.2-10.2
38 Karsiyaka82625%81.085.4-4.4
39 Legia61517%72.882.5-9.7
40 VEF Riga61517%68.379.0-10.7
41 Parnu1010%80.082.0-2.0
42 Keravnos1010%65.073.0-8.0
43 Kormend1010%70.079.0-9.0
44 Leicester Riders1010%61.070.0-9.0
45 Breogan1010%64.076.0-12.0
46 Siauliai1010%73.085.0-12.0
47 Opava1010%76.092.0-16.0
48 TFT Skopje1010%77.096.0-19.0
49 Fribourg Olympic1010%70.093.0-23.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%57.081.0-24.0
51 Golden Eagle Ylli1010%67.092.0-25.0
52 Norrkoping1010%51.087.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao1816262585
Darussafaka1422162375
← all games of the day
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