PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ludwigsburg vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 82-63
20-17 20-16 25-12 17-18
Position#26
Record3-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#31
Record3-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game83.3
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Final· Arena Ludwigsburg
European cup2023
Meetings · Ludwigsburg v Darussafaka
16 Jan 2024
LUD99
DAR73
02 Jan 2024
LUD82
DAR63
30 Nov 2022
LUD63
DAR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ludwigsburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LudwigsburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Sassari
#37
W
97-80
97
80
+17
94avg 75
A22/11
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#2
W
87-79
87
79
+8
73avg 75
H26/11
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
104-76
104
76
+28
109avg 75
A28/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
75-72
75
72
+3
62avg 75
A02/12
BBL
Szczecin
#38
L
60-80
60
80
-20
40avg 75
A06/12
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
78-81
78
81
-3
66avg 75
H17/12
BBL
AEK Athens
#33
W
83-79
83
79
+4
66avg 75
H20/12
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
73avg 75
A23/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
104-80
104
80
+24
102avg 75
H27/12
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
104-94
104
94
+10
99avg 75
H30/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
30-23
21-11
22-28
19-21
28-13
21-29
19-16
17-28
37-18
23-12
27-18
20-21
14-15
23-17
18-19
12-22
14-20
17-11
17-27
17-22
21-27
23-12
17-20
21-18
14-20
22-18
26-23
25-20
26-23
18-19
13-21
31-18
27-15
29-18
17-29
24-31
26-17
24-26
30-20
167.8Avg total
87.4Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.081.7161.7-1.750%
Season at home (3)81.382.0163.3-0.767%
Season away (3)78.781.3160.0-2.733%
Last 10 (10)87.480.4167.8+7.070%
Last 5 (5)90.283.4173.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.085.4161.4-9.420%
vs Similar (12)85.278.9164.2+6.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.282.7169.8+4.558%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Samsunspor
#16
W
98-90
98
90
+8
93avg 71
A18/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#7
L
63-72
63
72
-9
48avg 71
A21/11
Champions League
Tofas
#11
L
76-82
76
82
-6
71avg 71
H26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
L
81-83
81
83
-2
78avg 71
A02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
L
86-97
86
97
-11
79avg 71
A05/12
Champions League
Manisa
#6
L
87-89
87
89
-2
79avg 71
H10/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#7
L
78-112
78
112
-34
68avg 71
A15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
VEF Riga
#39
W
87-81
87
81
+6
82avg 71
H19/12
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
56-98
56
98
-42
42avg 71
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
69avg 71
A30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
33-19
20-30
23-24
24-20
9-17
18-13
12-22
18-19
17-13
19-23
22-27
24-20
23-22
23-21
11-20
14-25
25-20
19-26
28-26
34-21
15-24
20-23
18-21
21-22
22-28
16-29
19-33
22-17
19-24
21-23
25-17
14-29
15-22
12-25
15-22
22-26
17-17
16-19
23-23
167.9Avg total
79.0Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.383.3164.7-2.050%
Season at home (3)85.085.3170.3-0.367%
Season away (3)77.781.3159.0-3.733%
Last 10 (10)79.088.9167.9-9.920%
Last 5 (5)77.293.0170.2-15.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.885.6163.4-7.843%
vs Similar (15)84.785.7170.3-1.040%
vs Weaker (1)98.090.0188.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -3.9-3.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -3.9-3.9
LudwigsburgDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#37
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A22/11
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#2
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H26/11
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A28/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A02/12
BBL
Szczecin
#38
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A06/12
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H17/12
BBL
AEK Athens
#33
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H20/12
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A23/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H27/12
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H30/12
BBL
85.7Avg total
44.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.283.0+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.941.083.9+1.943%-
Last 30 away (16)40.841.482.2-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)44.741.085.7+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)46.442.288.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.239.074.2-3.820%-
vs Similar (12)41.439.480.8+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.644.689.2+0.050%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samsunspor
#16
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A18/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A21/11
Champions League
Tofas
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A05/12
Champions League
Manisa
#6
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H10/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
VEF Riga
#39
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H19/12
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.2Avg total
41.0Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.443.284.6-1.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.142.183.2-0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)41.744.385.9-2.627%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.283.2-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.246.086.2-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.842.881.6-4.029%-
vs Similar (15)42.944.086.9-1.133%-
vs Weaker (1)55.036.091.0+19.0100%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.218.8
48.0%
51.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.611.4
37.3%
34.9%34.2
🏀 Free throws19.915.1
75.9%
74.5%15.1
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.1
47.5%
51.4%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.6
36.2%
34.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws15.911.9
74.8%
74.5%11.9
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ludwigsburg
WWLWLLWWWW
Darussafaka
LLWLLLLLLW
#26
League position
#31
+9.7
Net rating
-14.1
112.7
Offensive rating
108.0
102.9
Defensive rating
122.1
51.4%
Effective FG%
50.5%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
13.6%
Turnover %
14.8%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.3%
3-point %
36.2%
63.9%
Assist %
64.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 108.0Defence102.9 · 122.1Shooting51.4% · 50.5%3-point %37.3% · 36.2%Ball care13.6% · 14.8%Off. rebounds29.6% · 27.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Ludwigsburg   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ludwigsburg wins
1
Darussafaka wins
DateGameScore
30/11/22Ludwigsburg v Darussafaka63-77
02/11/22Darussafaka v Ludwigsburg70-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HTubingen104-94
27/12/23HOldenburg104-80
23/12/23ABasketball Braunschweig82-83
20/12/23HAEK Athens83-79
17/12/23HSyntainics MBC78-81
06/12/23ASzczecin60-80
02/12/23AHeidelberg75-72
28/11/23AGottingen104-76
26/11/23HAlba Berlin87-79
22/11/23ASassari97-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23AAnadolu Efes78-85
25/12/23HFenerbahce56-98
19/12/23HVEF Riga87-81
15/12/23APetkim Spor78-112
10/12/23HManisa87-89
05/12/23ACholet86-97
02/12/23AMerkezefendi81-83
26/11/23HTofas76-82
21/11/23ATenerife63-72
18/11/23ASamsunspor98-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ludwigsburg
Champions League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game80.081.378.7
Allowed / game81.782.081.3
Point differential-1.7-0.7-2.7
Avg total161.7163.3160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Darussafaka
Champions League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game81.385.077.7
Allowed / game83.385.381.3
Point differential-2.0-0.3-3.7
Avg total164.7170.3159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia65183%86.271.2+15.0
2 Dijon65183%87.773.5+14.2
3 Hapoel Jerusalem65183%85.573.3+12.2
4 AEK Athens65183%88.076.8+11.2
5 Tortona65183%83.380.7+2.7
6 Strasbourg97278%81.277.4+3.8
7 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
8 Rytas64267%84.875.8+9.0
9 Unicaja64267%81.773.7+8.0
10 Tenerife64267%81.773.8+7.8
11 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
12 Cholet96367%81.980.4+1.4
13 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
14 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
15 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
16 Promitheas63350%86.079.2+6.8
17 Bonn63350%82.878.8+4.0
18 Galatasaray63350%85.582.0+3.5
19 Le Mans63350%79.577.2+2.3
20 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
21 Karsiyaka63350%82.581.2+1.3
22 Hapoel Holon63350%77.276.0+1.2
23 Breogan63350%77.076.5+0.5
24 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
25 Ludwigsburg63350%80.081.7-1.7
26 Darussafaka63350%81.383.3-2.0
27 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
28 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
29 Peristeri63350%77.282.2-5.0
30 Bursaspor63350%73.278.8-5.7
31 Oostende63350%77.083.2-6.2
32 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
33 Benfica94544%81.778.7+3.0
34 Tofas73443%89.687.7+1.9
35 PAOK73443%74.081.9-7.9
36 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
37 Szczecin62433%78.882.7-3.8
38 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
39 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
40 Sassari62433%84.890.5-5.7
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea6060%72.587.0-14.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ludwigsburg2020251782
Darussafaka1716121863
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.