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Bursaspor vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-65
19-15 22-15 18-11 18-24
Position#24
Record1-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#29
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game72.5
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 5· Tofas Spor Salonu
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bursaspor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BursasporLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
70-75
70
75
-5
64avg 72
A22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bonn
#9
L
73-91
73
91
-18
65avg 72
H25/10
Champions League
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
83-69
83
69
+14
85avg 72
H29/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 72
A05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
104-91
104
91
+13
98avg 72
H12/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
W
82-80
82
80
+2
76avg 72
A17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bonn
#9
W
92-82
92
82
+10
86avg 72
A21/11
Champions League
Samsunspor
#16
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
no box
H26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
74-93
74
93
-19
63avg 72
H29/11
Champions League
Tofas
#11
L
85-91
85
91
-6
79avg 72
A03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
14-22
16-13
17-19
14-24
20-25
12-19
27-23
20-20
20-19
11-12
32-18
18-31
19-22
23-22
15-20
27-24
26-24
28-22
23-21
11-11
19-24
26-17
26-28
19-24
25-18
29-26
19-14
9-17
17-12
20-20
21-18
24-21
21-21
17-22
12-29
24-23
17-24
17-29
27-15
165.7Avg total
81.6Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.883.5155.2-11.825%
Season at home (2)73.592.0165.5-18.50%
Season away (2)70.075.0145.0-5.050%
Last 10 (10)81.684.1165.7-2.550%
Last 5 (5)82.284.0166.2-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.082.6156.6-8.625%
vs Similar (18)82.886.3169.1-3.633%
vs Weaker (4)80.572.0152.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Palencia
#18
L
59-74
59
74
-15
39avg 62
A21/10
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
70-87
70
87
-17
64avg 62
A28/10
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
63-79
63
79
-16
50avg 62
H05/11
ACB
Bonn
#9
L
71-86
71
86
-15
64avg 62
A08/11
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
76avg 62
H11/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
65avg 62
A15/11
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
L
83-87
83
87
-4
80avg 62
A18/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
82-72
82
72
+10
71avg 62
H22/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
77avg 62
H26/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
58-91
58
91
-33
38avg 62
A03/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
8-24
20-24
14-14
22-15
11-29
18-17
19-26
19-21
12-18
20-19
12-21
9-19
16-28
22-16
24-23
15-19
28-13
13-23
29-22
14-22
19-21
26-24
20-17
24-30
28-15
15-19
16-23
22-17
19-16
19-22
22-17
16-23
18-17
18-17
30-20
19-17
9-24
12-27
18-23
154.6Avg total
73.2Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.072.5147.5+2.550%
Season at home (2)75.060.0135.0+15.0100%
Season away (2)75.085.0160.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)73.281.4154.6-8.230%
Last 5 (5)76.882.2159.0-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)71.283.3154.5-12.28%
vs Similar (15)78.880.7159.5-1.940%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)73.065.0138.0+8.067%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
BursasporBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bonn
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H25/10
Champions League
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H29/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H12/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bonn
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A21/11
Champions League
Samsunspor
#16
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H29/11
Champions League
Tofas
#11
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.4Avg total
38.7Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.941.180.0-2.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.140.480.5-0.257%-
Last 30 away (16)37.841.879.6-3.938%-
Last 10 (10)38.742.781.4-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.076.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.442.680.0-5.238%-
vs Similar (18)39.942.282.1-2.344%-
vs Weaker (4)37.533.270.8+4.275%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#18
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A21/10
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A28/10
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H05/11
ACB
Bonn
#9
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A08/11
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H11/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A15/11
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A18/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H22/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H26/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A03/12
ACB
74.5Avg total
34.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.039.274.2-4.127%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.338.274.5-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)33.740.173.9-6.413%-
Last 10 (10)34.540.074.5-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.478.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.239.571.7-7.38%-
vs Similar (15)37.840.378.1-2.540%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)32.732.365.0+0.333%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.9
51.7%
51.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.08.1
38.6%
34.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.113.5
74.6%
74.5%13.5
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.316.7
46.0%
51.4%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.5
29.5%
34.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.716.3
75.1%
74.5%16.3
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bursaspor
LLWWWWLWLL
Breogan
LWWLLWLLLL
#24
League position
#29
-7.1
Net rating
-11.2
107.6
Offensive rating
96.6
114.7
Defensive rating
107.9
53.9%
Effective FG%
45.3%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
16.2%
Turnover %
19.2%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
38.6%
3-point %
29.5%
61.4%
Assist %
61.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 96.6Defence114.7 · 107.9Shooting53.9% · 45.3%3-point %38.6% · 29.5%Ball care16.2% · 19.2%Off. rebounds22.7% · 28.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Bursaspor   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bursaspor wins
1
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
18/10/23Breogan v Bursaspor68-48
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23ATofas85-91
29/11/23HHapoel Holon74-93
26/11/23HSamsunspor78-74 OT
21/11/23ABonn92-82
17/11/23AGalatasaray82-80
12/11/23HBahcesehir Kol.104-91
05/11/23AKarsiyaka75-95
29/10/23HÇağdaş Bodrum Spor83-69
25/10/23HBonn73-91
22/10/23ABuyukcekmece70-75
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23AReal Madrid58-91
26/11/23HBasket Zaragoza82-77
22/11/23HHapoel Holon82-72
18/11/23ABasquet Girona83-87
15/11/23AHapoel Holon79-84
11/11/23HJoventut Badalona85-77
08/11/23ABonn71-86
05/11/23HBarcelona63-79
28/10/23AUnicaja70-87
21/10/23APalencia59-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bursaspor
Champions League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game71.873.570.0
Allowed / game83.592.075.0
Point differential-11.8-18.5-5.0
Avg total155.2165.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breogan
Champions League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game75.075.075.0
Allowed / game72.560.085.0
Point differential+2.5+15.0-10.0
Avg total147.5135.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dijon440100%94.573.5+21.0
2 AEK Athens550100%89.875.6+14.2
3 Tortona440100%87.080.8+6.2
4 Strasbourg76186%80.376.1+4.1
5 Murcia43175%85.069.2+15.8
6 Hapoel Jerusalem43175%86.277.8+8.5
7 Unicaja43175%82.275.2+7.0
8 Karsiyaka43175%82.878.0+4.8
9 Cholet86275%81.579.1+2.4
10 PAOK43175%78.880.5-1.8
11 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
12 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
13 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
14 Tenerife53260%79.871.6+8.2
15 Bonn53260%81.075.2+5.8
16 Hapoel Holon53260%77.876.2+1.6
17 Benfica74357%86.374.9+11.4
18 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
19 Promitheas42250%87.076.8+10.2
20 Rytas42250%83.875.8+8.0
21 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
22 Breogan42250%75.072.5+2.5
23 Le Mans42250%79.577.5+2.0
24 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
25 Ludwigsburg42250%84.282.8+1.5
26 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
27 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
28 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
29 Peristeri42250%77.283.5-6.2
30 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
31 Darussafaka52340%80.283.8-3.6
32 VEF Riga52340%70.073.8-3.8
33 Oldenburg41325%82.580.5+2.0
34 Galatasaray41325%85.287.5-2.2
35 Szombathely41325%79.081.8-2.8
36 Szczecin41325%78.084.8-6.8
37 Tofas41325%89.599.0-9.5
38 Oostende41325%74.284.8-10.5
39 Bursaspor41325%71.883.5-11.8
40 Sassari51420%82.492.4-10.0
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea4040%74.086.5-12.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
52 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
53 Opava4040%65.0104.2-39.2
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bursaspor1922181877
Breogan1515112465
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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