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Darussafaka vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 67-91
17-20 20-26 16-20 14-25
Position#16
Record3-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game84.8
Darussafaka
vs
Panathinaikos 🏆
Position#7
Record11-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game79.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 25
European cup2018
Meetings · Darussafaka v Panathinaikos
07 Mar 2019
DAR67
PAO91
03 Mar 2017
DAR77
PAO72
24 Mar 2016
DAR84
PAO86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A18/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H25/01
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#5
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#3
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H01/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
86-95 OT
86
95
-9
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
78-90
78
90
-12
A08/02
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#10
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
75-97
75
97
-22
H22/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A28/02
Euroleague
Tofas
#4
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
11-24
20-21
23-16
21-29
24-18
18-14
17-14
13-14
17-13
17-19
18-16
16-23
22-30
21-19
23-14
19-23
18-24
18-13
24-19
17-19
19-21
25-20
17-30
17-25
23-22
18-22
27-23
12-26
23-20
13-27
27-24
10-18
13-20
18-19
17-20
21-22
17-24
14-14
20-20
158.5Avg total
74.9Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.384.8159.1-10.512%
Season at home (12)76.380.8157.1-4.425%
Season away (12)72.288.9161.2-16.70%
Last 10 (10)74.983.6158.5-8.720%
Last 5 (5)73.687.2160.8-13.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)73.985.1159.0-11.112%
vs Similar (9)77.177.9155.0-0.833%
vs Weaker (4)85.072.8157.8+12.275%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#9
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H28/01
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H01/02
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
80-55
80
55
+25
A04/02
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#2
L
66-85
66
85
-19
A08/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#5
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H13/02
Greek Cup
PAOK
#2
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A17/02
Greek Cup
Khimki M.
#13
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H22/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
88-78
88
78
+10
A25/02
Basket League
Gran Canaria
#14
W
99-80
99
80
+19
A28/02
Euroleague
Rethymno
#10
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A03/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
29-20
9-25
25-6
24-16
18-21
19-19
27-19
23-19
18-12
24-12
15-12
18-24
11-24
17-15
20-22
–
–
–
–
29-15
17-21
13-22
20-15
33-21
32-29
13-17
16-18
24-29
23-14
19-18
22-17
28-26
22-19
23-21
26-14
24-15
26-21
16-21
21-18
145.7Avg total
78.6Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.979.9158.8-1.046%
Season at home (12)85.479.4164.8+6.075%
Season away (12)72.380.4152.8-8.117%
Last 10 (10)78.667.1145.7+11.590%
Last 5 (5)89.478.2167.6+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.482.8160.2-5.440%
vs Similar (10)75.279.4154.6-4.230%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)82.765.8148.5+16.9100%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +5.7+5.7
DarussafakaPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A18/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H25/01
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#5
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#3
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H01/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A08/02
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#10
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H22/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A28/02
Euroleague
Tofas
#4
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
78.3Avg total
34.7Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.641.178.7-3.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.340.981.2-0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)35.241.276.5-6.031%-
Last 10 (10)34.743.678.3-8.910%-
Last 5 (5)34.443.477.8-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)35.943.479.3-7.424%-
vs Similar (9)39.238.677.8+0.744%-
vs Weaker (4)41.037.278.2+3.8100%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#9
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H28/01
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H01/02
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A04/02
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#2
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A08/02
Euroleague
PAOK
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A17/02
Greek Cup
Khimki M.
#13
W
65-50
65
50
+15
H22/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A25/02
Basket League
Gran Canaria
#14
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A28/02
Euroleague
Rethymno
#10
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A03/03
Basket League
86.8Avg total
46.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.237.779.9+4.569%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.836.882.6+9.183%-
Last 30 away (17)39.638.477.9+1.259%-
Last 10 (9)46.840.086.8+6.889%-
Last 5 (5)51.642.093.6+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.041.479.4-3.440%-
vs Similar (10)39.139.778.8-0.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.934.980.8+10.9100%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.918.6
47.8%
52.7%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.3
33.3%
37.0%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.512.3
79.4%
76.7%12.3
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.7
57.0%
52.7%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.66.0
32.3%
37.0%18.0
🏀 Free throws14.89.5
64.2%
76.7%9.5
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Darussafaka
LLLLLLLWWL
Panathinaikos
WWWWWWLWWW
#16
League position
#7
-15.5
Net rating
-0.7
98.8
Offensive rating
110.6
114.3
Defensive rating
111.3
48.6%
Effective FG%
54.5%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
19.5%
Turnover %
16.4%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.3%
3-point %
32.3%
59.8%
Assist %
56.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 110.6Defence114.3 · 111.3Shooting48.6% · 54.5%3-point %33.3% · 32.3%Ball care19.5% · 16.4%Off. rebounds27.6% · 32.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ Darussafaka   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Darussafaka wins
4
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
14/12/18Panathinaikos v Darussafaka75-67
28/09/17Panathinaikos v Darussafaka75-78 OT
03/03/17Darussafaka v Panathinaikos77-72
25/11/16Panathinaikos v Darussafaka86-80
24/03/16Darussafaka v Panathinaikos84-86
29/01/16Panathinaikos v Darussafaka82-79
Darussafakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/19ATofas72-80
28/02/19AMaccabi Tel Aviv58-77
22/02/19HFenerbahce75-97
11/02/19ABahcesehir Kol.85-92
08/02/19AOlimpia Milano78-90
04/02/19HAnadolu Efes86-95 OT
01/02/19HReal Madrid82-86
28/01/19AGaziantep65-62
25/01/19HBaskonia80-75
18/01/19AAnadolu Efes68-82
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/19ARethymno87-75
28/02/19AGran Canaria99-80
25/02/19AKolossos Rhodes88-78
22/02/19HKhimki M.94-85
17/02/19APAOK79-73
13/02/19HOlympiacos20-0
08/02/19AFenerbahce66-85
04/02/19ALavrio80-55
01/02/19HAnadolu Efes88-75
28/01/19HAris85-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darussafaka
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL12%
HomeWLWLL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game74.376.372.2
Allowed / game84.880.888.9
Point differential-10.5-4.4-16.7
Avg total159.1157.1161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)29% (7)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW46%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %46%75%17%
Points / game78.985.472.3
Allowed / game79.979.480.4
Point differential-1.0+6.0-8.1
Avg total158.8164.8152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%42%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2421388%84.674.5+10.1
2 CSKA Moscow2419579%88.080.8+7.2
3 Real Madrid2418675%85.476.7+8.7
4 Anadolu Efes2415962%84.179.8+4.4
5 Barcelona2415962%78.275.7+2.5
6 Olimpia Milano24131154%87.586.0+1.5
7 Baskonia24121250%81.079.5+1.5
8 Olympiacos24121250%77.877.5+0.3
9 Bayern24121250%79.680.5-1.0
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv24111346%79.379.5-0.2
11 Panathinaikos24111346%78.979.9-1.0
12 Khimki M.2491538%78.480.0-1.6
13 Zalgiris Kaunas2491538%77.779.5-1.8
14 Buducnost2461825%74.684.6-10.0
15 Gran Canaria2461825%79.189.0-10.0
16 Darussafaka2432112%74.384.8-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Darussafaka1720161467
Panathinaikos2026202591
← all games of the day
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