Panathinaikos vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 85-65

22-14 29-20 9-25 25-6

Position#1

Record13-0

FormLWLWL

Points / game89.8

Allowed / game68.7

Panathinaikos 🏆

Aris

Position#9

Record5-9

FormLLWWW

Points / game68.9

Allowed / game71.4

Basket LeagueRound 15

Domestic2018-19

Meetings · Panathinaikos v Aris

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aris winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Panathinaikos Greece

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CSKA Moscow

96-84

+12

H28/12

Euroleague

Promitheas

86-69

+17

A30/12

Basket League

Olympiacos

65-79

-14

A04/01

Euroleague

Holargos B.C.

86-64

+22

H06/01

Basket League

Bayern

#12

77-67

+10

H09/01

Euroleague

Barcelona

68-79

-11

A11/01

Euroleague

G.S. Kymis

#11

87-62

+25

A14/01

Basket League

Zalgiris Kaunas

69-82

-13

A18/01

Euroleague

Ifaistos Limnou

84-62

+22

A21/01

Basket League

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#10

75-84

-9

A24/01

Euroleague

19-26

36-18

17-18

24-22

16-21

19-13

26-16

25-19

14-16

11-25

15-18

25-20

23-13

21-16

21-19

21-16

22-11

21-21

16-18

18-17

13-17

23-20

16-19

16-23

19-18

27-17

27-10

14-17

19-13

18-20

14-19

18-30

20-10

21-17

24-18

19-17

17-16

18-24

19-22

21-22

152.5Avg total

79.3Scored

73.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	89.8	68.7	158.5	+21.1	100%
Season at home (7)	92.1	68.6	160.7	+23.6	100%
Season away (6)	87.0	68.8	155.8	+18.2	100%
Last 10 (10)	79.3	73.2	152.5	+6.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	73.8	150.4	+2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	73.8	83.0	156.8	-9.2	25%
vs Similar (11)	75.8	79.6	155.5	-3.8	27%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	87.7	69.8	157.5	+17.9	100%

This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aris

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Peristeri

62-68

-6

H18/11

Basket League

Lukoil Levski

81-76

H21/11

FIBA Europe Cup

PAOK

79-95

-16

A25/11

Basket League

AEK Athens

77-81

-4

H08/12

Basket League

Promitheas

61-71

-10

A15/12

Basket League

Holargos B.C.

58-59

-1

H22/12

Basket League

G.S. Kymis

#11

57-75

-18

A29/12

Basket League

Ifaistos Limnou

65-54

+11

H06/01

Basket League

Rethymno

#10

76-74

A12/01

Basket League

Lavrio

#13

84-70

+14

H19/01

Basket League

14-18

16-20

13-18

19-12

24-26

22-17

13-11

22-22

18-28

20-24

23-24

18-19

18-17

15-22

19-22

25-20

13-15

12-15

6-21

30-20

22-10

14-17

8-15

14-17

18-13

17-13

13-20

9-29

26-20

16-6

14-17

9-11

18-18

14-24

19-15

25-17

18-19

18-18

21-14

27-19

142.3Avg total

70.0Scored

72.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	68.9	71.4	140.3	-2.6	36%
Season at home (7)	68.6	69.1	137.7	-0.6	29%
Season away (7)	69.1	73.7	142.9	-4.6	43%
Last 10 (10)	70.0	72.3	142.3	-2.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	68.0	66.4	134.4	+1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	66.8	74.4	141.2	-7.6	0%
vs Similar (12)	69.9	68.4	138.3	+1.5	58%
vs Weaker (12)	72.8	66.0	138.8	+6.8	58%

This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PanathinaikosAris

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.2	36.6	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	16.3	37.0	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	18.1	36.1	-0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	16.1	34.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	14.8	32.4	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	13.0	21.5	34.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.5	17.8	35.3	-0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.5	15.6	38.1	+6.9	93%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.9	37.8	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	18.3	37.3	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	19.4	38.3	-0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	18.4	37.3	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.0	36.4	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	14.8	19.4	34.2	-4.6	20%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.8	16.7	38.5	+5.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.2	40.5	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	18.9	41.9	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.1	40.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.8	20.0	43.8	+3.8	75%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.9	22.1	41.0	-3.2	18%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.3	16.9	39.2	+5.5	87%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.2	17.1	33.3	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.5	17.0	33.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.9	17.3	33.1	-1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	17.6	34.0	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	15.6	31.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	15.2	20.0	35.2	-4.8	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.5	16.5	34.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	15.2	16.2	31.4	-1.1	58%	-

PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CSKA Moscow

55-44

+11

H28/12

Euroleague

Promitheas

35-34

A30/12

Basket League

Olympiacos

25-41

-16

A04/01

Euroleague

Holargos B.C.

44-29

+15

H06/01

Basket League

Bayern

#12

43-32

+11

H09/01

Euroleague

Barcelona

36-37

-1

A11/01

Euroleague

G.S. Kymis

#11

46-35

+11

A14/01

Basket League

Zalgiris Kaunas

37-33

A18/01

Euroleague

Ifaistos Limnou

41-27

+14

A21/01

Basket League

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#10

35-40

-5

A24/01

Euroleague

74.9Avg total

39.7Scored

35.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	36.4	77.0	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	35.2	78.9	+8.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	37.6	75.1	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	35.2	74.9	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	34.4	73.4	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	36.8	41.5	78.2	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	36.4	39.9	76.3	-3.5	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	44.8	32.5	77.3	+12.3	93%	-

This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Peristeri

30-38

-8

H18/11

Basket League

Lukoil Levski

46-43

H21/11

FIBA Europe Cup

PAOK

38-52

-14

A25/11

Basket League

AEK Athens

33-39

-6

H08/12

Basket League

Promitheas

25-30

-5

A15/12

Basket League

Holargos B.C.

36-27

H22/12

Basket League

G.S. Kymis

#11

35-26

A29/12

Basket League

Ifaistos Limnou

42-26

+16

H06/01

Basket League

Rethymno

#10

32-42

-10

A12/01

Basket League

Lavrio

#13

36-37

-1

H19/01

Basket League

71.3Avg total

35.3Scored

36.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.1	36.0	71.1	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.4	35.3	70.7	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.8	36.7	71.5	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.3	36.0	71.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	31.6	67.8	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	30.0	39.4	69.4	-9.4	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	35.2	36.8	72.0	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	37.0	32.9	69.9	+4.1	58%	-

This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.3	38.3	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	19.1	39.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	17.6	36.7	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.7	37.2	+1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.6	37.6	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.5	18.8	38.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.4	18.7	36.1	-1.4	18%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.9	17.9	39.9	+4.0	87%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	15.8	32.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	15.4	33.3	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	16.1	32.2	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.9	17.7	32.6	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	16.2	31.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	15.2	18.8	34.0	-3.6	20%	-
vs Similar (12)	16.3	15.1	31.4	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.9	15.3	34.2	+3.6	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.1	40.7	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	19.9	42.0	+2.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.2	39.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.3	40.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.8	39.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	22.8	40.2	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.5	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	17.3	35.5	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.7	15.2	31.9	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.6	35.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	21.6	16.2	37.8	+5.4	80%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.3	16.6	34.9	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	16.8	17.8	34.6	-0.9	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	38.4	79.0	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	39.0	81.9	+3.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.3	37.8	76.1	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	38.0	77.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	39.4	77.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.0	41.5	78.5	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	38.8	38.7	77.5	+0.1	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	42.9	37.3	80.2	+5.5	87%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.3	33.0	68.3	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.6	30.6	65.2	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.9	35.5	71.4	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.7	36.3	71.0	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.8	34.8	66.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	36.8	35.0	71.8	+1.8	60%	-
vs Similar (12)	34.7	31.7	66.3	+3.0	58%	-
vs Weaker (12)	35.8	33.1	68.8	+2.7	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 73.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀63%

🏀🏀🏀24%

🏀13%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 63% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 24% of the points

🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.2	23.3	53.9%	53.7%	46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.7	5.8	29.4%	34.8%	17.4
🏀 Free throws	14.8	9.7	65.5%	73.9%	9.7

They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	19.2	52.6%	53.7%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.4	8.2	38.3%	34.8%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	21.9	16.0	73.1%	73.9%	16.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	22.2	53.8%	53.7%	44.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.3	7.0	31.2%	34.8%	20.9
🏀 Free throws	17.6	12.0	67.9%	73.9%	12.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	19.7	52.0%	53.7%	39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.1	7.6	36.2%	34.8%	22.9
🏀 Free throws	21.1	15.4	72.9%	73.9%	15.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Panathinaikos wins

Aris wins

Date	Game	Score
13/10/18	Aris v Panathinaikos	70-84
02/04/18	Panathinaikos v Aris	84-63
10/12/17	Aris v Panathinaikos	70-88
05/03/17	Panathinaikos v Aris	70-54
18/02/17	Panathinaikos v Aris	68-59
21/11/16	Aris v Panathinaikos	59-71
27/12/15	Panathinaikos v Aris	90-69
28/04/15	Aris v Panathinaikos	56-72
16/12/14	Panathinaikos v Aris	76-69
02/03/14	Panathinaikos v Aris	71-59

Panathinaikoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/01/19	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	75-84
21/01/19	A	Ifaistos Limnou	84-62
18/01/19	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	69-82
14/01/19	A	G.S. Kymis	87-62
11/01/19	A	Barcelona	68-79
09/01/19	H	Bayern	77-67
06/01/19	H	Holargos B.C.	86-64
04/01/19	A	Olympiacos	65-79
30/12/18	A	Promitheas	86-69
28/12/18	H	CSKA Moscow	96-84

Arislast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/01/19	H	Lavrio	84-70
12/01/19	A	Rethymno	76-74
06/01/19	H	Ifaistos Limnou	65-54
29/12/18	A	G.S. Kymis	57-75
22/12/18	H	Holargos B.C.	58-59
15/12/18	A	Promitheas	61-71
08/12/18	H	AEK Athens	77-81
25/11/18	A	PAOK	79-95
21/11/18	H	Lukoil Levski	81-76
18/11/18	H	Peristeri	62-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos

Basket League 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	89.8	92.1	87.0
Allowed / game	68.7	68.6	68.8
Point differential	+21.1	+23.6	+18.2
Avg total	158.5	160.7	155.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	85%	71%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Aris

Basket League 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	36%
Home	LLLWW	29%
Away	WLLLW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	36%	29%	43%
Points / game	68.9	68.6	69.1
Allowed / game	71.4	69.1	73.7
Point differential	-2.6	-0.6	-4.6
Avg total	140.3	137.7	142.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	29%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	0% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Panathinaikos	13	13	0	100%	89.8	68.7	+21.1
2	Olympiacos	15	14	1	93%	84.8	68.6	+16.2
3	PAOK	15	10	5	67%	79.5	73.2	+6.3
4	AEK Athens	15	10	5	67%	80.0	76.1	+3.9
5	Promitheas	15	10	5	67%	77.1	73.3	+3.8
6	Peristeri	15	10	5	67%	76.9	75.9	+1.1
7	Holargos B.C.	15	8	7	53%	69.5	71.1	-1.6
8	Ifaistos Limnou	15	8	7	53%	73.9	77.1	-3.2
9	Aris	14	5	9	36%	68.9	71.4	-2.6
10	Lavrio	14	3	11	21%	74.1	82.5	-8.4
11	Rethymno	15	3	12	20%	71.8	79.5	-7.7
12	Panionios	15	3	12	20%	72.7	81.7	-9.0
13	G.S. Kymis	15	3	12	20%	70.8	81.9	-11.1
14	Kolossos Rhodes	13	2	11	15%	74.0	81.7	-7.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Panathinaikos	22	29	9	25	85
Aris	14	20	25	6	65

← all games of the day

Panathinaikos vs Aris Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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