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CSKA Moscow vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 99-97 (OT)
16-18 21-20 22-22 27-26 13-11
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game79.4
CSKA Moscow 🏆
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas
Position#9
Record3-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game81.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 8
European cup2018
Meetings · CSKA Moscow v Zalgiris Kaunas
13 Jan 2021
CMO83
ZAL73
21 Nov 2018
CMO99
ZAL97
20 May 2018
CMO77
ZAL79
03 Nov 2017
CMO94
ZAL91
18 Nov 2016
CMO95
ZAL86
01 Apr 2016
CMO100
ZAL86
10 Jan 2014
CMO77
ZAL62
15 Mar 2013
CMO70
ZAL61
03 Feb 2013
CMO68
ZAL74
29 Sep 2012
CMO89
ZAL87
23 Nov 2011
CMO95
ZAL82
24 Sep 2011
CMO69
ZAL61
03 Oct 2010
CMO79
ZAL73
10 Mar 2010
CMO84
ZAL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#16
W
79-75
79
75
+4
106avg 116
H18/10
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
102-75
102
75
+27
no box
H22/10
VTB United League
Gran Canaria
#14
W
106-91
106
91
+15
138avg 116
A26/10
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#12
W
108-84
108
84
+24
no box
H29/10
VTB United League
Olympiacos
#6
W
69-65
69
65
+4
92avg 116
H01/11
Euroleague
Saratov
#11
W
110-76
110
76
+34
no box
H04/11
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
90-85
90
85
+5
118avg 116
A08/11
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
93-76
93
76
+17
no box
A11/11
VTB United League
Bayern
#12
W
93-79
93
79
+14
124avg 116
A16/11
Euroleague
Minsk
#14
W
119-88
119
88
+31
no box
H18/11
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
12-21
26-10
22-27
31-14
23-24
23-19
25-18
26-29
26-26
28-22
26-14
26-23
24-13
35-22
23-26
13-15
18-20
21-9
17-21
25-18
28-28
29-16
28-14
16-21
24-20
23-25
27-19
32-18
18-21
22-22
21-15
30-23
26-17
21-25
16-14
33-24
21-23
39-15
26-26
176.3Avg total
96.9Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.779.4168.1+9.3100%
Season at home (3)81.071.7152.7+9.3100%
Season away (4)94.585.2179.8+9.2100%
Last 10 (10)96.979.4176.3+17.5100%
Last 5 (5)101.080.8181.8+20.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)83.092.0175.0-9.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)94.879.9174.7+14.993%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
98avg 109
H19/10
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
88-75
88
75
+13
no box
H22/10
LKL
Panathinaikos
#7
W
87-83 OT
87
83
+4
no box
A26/10
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
W
71-58
71
58
+13
no box
H28/10
LKL
Real Madrid
#3
L
79-90
79
90
-11
107avg 109
H02/11
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
93-68
93
68
+25
no box
A04/11
LKL
Buducnost
#15
W
72-60
72
60
+12
104avg 109
A09/11
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
94-65
94
65
+29
no box
A12/11
LKL
Barcelona
#5
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
no box
H16/11
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
102-61
102
61
+41
no box
H18/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
17-16
15-19
18-29
24-22
18-19
22-18
24-16
20-13
24-20
14-18
18-25
12-18
21-20
22-6
16-14
32-18
12-25
24-19
11-28
25-16
14-20
31-19
23-13
18-15
15-18
24-15
15-12
23-9
25-17
27-22
19-17
18-23
16-16
16-21
26-16
26-13
24-13
28-14
24-21
157.6Avg total
84.6Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.481.3162.7+0.143%
Season at home (4)79.586.8166.2-7.20%
Season away (3)84.074.0158.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.673.0157.6+11.670%
Last 5 (5)89.268.4157.6+20.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)81.582.0163.5-0.550%
vs Similar (4)79.583.5163.0-4.025%
vs Weaker (22)85.170.3155.4+14.891%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +8.2+8.2Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +8.2+8.2Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
CSKA MoscowZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#16
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H18/10
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H22/10
VTB United League
Gran Canaria
#14
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A26/10
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#12
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H29/10
VTB United League
Olympiacos
#6
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H01/11
Euroleague
Saratov
#11
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H04/11
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A08/11
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A11/11
VTB United League
Bayern
#12
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A16/11
Euroleague
Minsk
#14
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H18/11
VTB United League
88.6Avg total
47.1Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.041.689.5+6.467%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.440.987.3+5.565%-
Last 30 away (13)50.042.592.5+7.569%-
Last 10 (10)47.141.588.6+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)50.642.693.2+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)46.047.093.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)48.041.489.4+6.769%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H19/10
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H22/10
LKL
Panathinaikos
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A26/10
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H28/10
LKL
Real Madrid
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H02/11
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A04/11
LKL
Buducnost
#15
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A09/11
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A12/11
LKL
Barcelona
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H16/11
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H18/11
LKL
75.8Avg total
40.9Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.136.177.1+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.836.877.6+4.062%-
Last 30 away (14)41.435.276.6+6.164%-
Last 10 (10)40.934.975.8+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.832.072.8+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)43.236.079.2+7.2100%-
vs Similar (4)37.538.275.8-0.825%-
vs Weaker (22)41.335.777.0+5.664%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.420.0
48.3%
52.7%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.210.1
40.1%
37.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.316.0
78.8%
76.7%16.0
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.122.9
58.6%
52.7%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.25.9
41.5%
37.0%17.7
🏀 Free throws20.315.4
75.9%
76.7%15.4
They take 53.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 14.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Moscow
WWWWWWWWWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWWWLWWWL
#1
League position
#9
+7.7
Net rating
+2.3
114.3
Offensive rating
114.5
106.6
Defensive rating
112.2
52.8%
Effective FG%
59.6%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
14.6%
Turnover %
20.8%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.38
40.1%
3-point %
41.5%
55.1%
Assist %
64.2%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 114.5Defence106.6 · 112.2Shooting52.8% · 59.6%3-point %40.1% · 41.5%Ball care14.6% · 20.8%Off. rebounds32.0% · 32.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)100% · 70%
■ CSKA Moscow   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
CSKA Moscow wins
3
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
20/05/18CSKA Moscow v Zalgiris Kaunas77-79
30/03/18Zalgiris Kaunas v CSKA Moscow85-73
03/11/17CSKA Moscow v Zalgiris Kaunas94-91
24/01/17Zalgiris Kaunas v CSKA Moscow79-74
18/11/16CSKA Moscow v Zalgiris Kaunas95-86
01/04/16CSKA Moscow v Zalgiris Kaunas100-86
05/02/16Zalgiris Kaunas v CSKA Moscow59-94
06/03/14Zalgiris Kaunas v CSKA Moscow86-88
10/01/14CSKA Moscow v Zalgiris Kaunas77-62
15/03/13CSKA Moscow v Zalgiris Kaunas70-61
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/18HMinsk119-88
16/11/18ABayern93-79
11/11/18ALokomotiv Kuban93-76
08/11/18AOlimpia Milano90-85
04/11/18HSaratov110-76
01/11/18HOlympiacos69-65
29/10/18HParma Perm108-84
26/10/18AGran Canaria106-91
22/10/18HBC Kalev/Cramo102-75
18/10/18HDarussafaka79-75
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/18HSiauliai102-61
16/11/18HBarcelona85-88 OT
12/11/18AAlytaus Dzukija94-65
09/11/18ABuducnost72-60
04/11/18ASiauliai93-68
02/11/18HReal Madrid79-90
28/10/18HLietkabelis71-58
26/10/18APanathinaikos87-83 OT
22/10/18HAlytaus Dzukija88-75
19/10/18HFenerbahce75-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.781.094.5
Allowed / game79.471.785.2
Point differential+9.3+9.3+9.2
Avg total168.1152.7179.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL43%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%0%100%
Points / game81.479.584.0
Allowed / game81.386.874.0
Point differential+0.1-7.2+10.0
Avg total162.7166.2158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %29%25%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid880100%91.475.9+15.5
2 CSKA Moscow770100%88.779.4+9.3
3 Fenerbahce87188%86.278.5+7.8
4 Anadolu Efes86275%85.680.1+5.5
5 Olimpia Milano75271%87.382.7+4.6
6 Barcelona75271%81.778.4+3.3
7 Panathinaikos74357%82.980.4+2.4
8 Olympiacos84450%78.077.8+0.2
9 Zalgiris Kaunas73443%81.481.3+0.1
10 Bayern83538%80.280.8-0.5
11 Baskonia72529%79.381.0-1.7
12 Khimki M.82625%80.181.6-1.5
13 Gran Canaria82625%82.492.4-10.0
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv81712%75.983.6-7.8
15 Buducnost81712%69.079.1-10.1
16 Darussafaka81712%75.990.8-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
CSKA Moscow162122271399
Zalgiris Kaunas182022261197
← all games of the day
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