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Davidson vs Dayton Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 59-72
21-36 38-36
Position#234
Record10-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game65.5
Davidson
USA
vs
Dayton 🏆
USA
Position#30
Record10-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game65.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Davidson v Dayton
02 Jan 2027
DAVI v DAYT
upcoming
03 Jan 2024
DAVI59
DAYT72
31 Dec 2022
DAVI55
DAYT69
08 Jan 2021
DAVI78
DAYT89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Davidson winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DavidsonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#170
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A18/11
NCAA
Boston University
#221
W
69-45
69
45
+24
H22/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
L
55-89
55
89
-34
A24/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
W
85-81
85
81
+4
A30/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H02/12
NCAA
Campbell
#262
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H07/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H09/12
NCAA
Lynchburg
#532
W
98-63
98
63
+35
H16/12
NCAA
USC Upstate
#317
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H22/12
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-23
37-47
36-21
33-24
20-44
35-45
33-33
52-48
43-39
39-34
21-25
41-25
40-22
39-39
47-25
51-38
33-27
29-32
33-40
39-29
139.2Avg total
73.2Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)72.865.5138.4+7.377%
Season at home (7)76.959.1136.0+17.7100%
Season away (6)68.273.0141.2-4.850%
Last 10 (10)73.266.0139.2+7.280%
Last 5 (5)74.660.4135.0+14.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)62.473.6136.0-11.114%
vs Similar (19)71.166.4137.4+4.763%
vs Weaker (2)65.056.5121.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#182
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A16/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H17/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
55-69
55
69
-14
A20/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#53
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H25/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A30/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
76-46
76
46
+30
H02/12
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H09/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A17/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
91-67
91
67
+24
H21/12
NCAA
Longwood
#129
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-32
40-35
38-40
50-41
28-36
27-33
37-35
40-34
35-37
30-26
40-16
36-30
–
–
35-29
47-39
46-28
45-39
34-37
44-32
143.3Avg total
76.4Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.465.6140.0+8.883%
Season at home (7)79.364.1143.4+15.1100%
Season away (5)67.667.6135.2+0.060%
Last 10 (10)76.466.9143.3+9.590%
Last 5 (5)81.864.0145.8+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)55.069.0124.0-14.00%
vs Similar (14)72.166.2138.3+5.971%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)72.062.1134.1+9.973%
This opponent (Davidson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: +5.6+5.6
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: +5.6+5.6
DavidsonDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DavidsonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#170
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A18/11
NCAA
Boston University
#221
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H22/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
L
20-44
20
44
-24
A24/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A30/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H02/12
NCAA
Campbell
#262
L
21-25
21
25
-4
H07/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H09/12
NCAA
Lynchburg
#532
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H16/12
NCAA
USC Upstate
#317
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H22/12
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A30/12
NCAA
63.6Avg total
33.7Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.930.763.6+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.129.564.6+5.767%-
Last 30 away (15)30.632.062.6-1.453%-
Last 10 (10)33.729.963.6+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)34.827.862.6+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)29.135.164.3-6.043%-
vs Similar (19)33.929.963.8+4.163%-
vs Weaker (2)26.522.549.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#182
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A16/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A20/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#53
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H25/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A30/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
40-16
40
16
+24
H02/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A17/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H21/12
NCAA
Longwood
#129
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H30/12
NCAA
68.1Avg total
35.9Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.230.263.4+3.059%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.529.264.7+6.373%-
Last 30 away (14)30.731.362.0-0.643%-
Last 10 (9)35.932.268.1+3.744%-
Last 5 (5)38.029.467.4+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)28.036.064.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (13)34.732.367.0+2.462%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)32.228.060.2+4.260%-
This opponent (Davidson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Davidson wins
5
Dayton wins
DateGameScore
18/01/23Dayton v Davidson68-61
31/12/22Davidson v Dayton55-69
05/03/22Dayton v Davidson82-76
09/01/21Davidson v Dayton78-89 OT
29/02/20Dayton v Davidson82-67
Davidsonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23AOhio72-69
22/12/23HUSC Upstate62-59
16/12/23HLynchburg98-63
09/12/23HMiami (Ohio)79-61
07/12/23HCampbell62-50
02/12/23HWright State82-73
30/11/23ACharlotte85-81
24/11/23ASt. Marys (CA)55-89
22/11/23HBoston University69-45
18/11/23AEast Tennessee St68-70
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HLongwood78-69
21/12/23HOakland91-67
17/12/23ACincinnati82-68
09/12/23HTroy82-70
02/12/23HGrambling St.76-46
30/11/23ASMU Mustangs65-63
25/11/23HYoungstown State77-69
20/11/23AHouston55-69
17/11/23HSt. John's (N.Y.)88-81
16/11/23ALSU70-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Davidson
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %77%100%50%
Points / game72.876.968.2
Allowed / game65.559.173.0
Point differential+7.3+17.7-4.8
Avg total138.4136.0141.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dayton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %83%100%60%
Points / game74.479.367.6
Allowed / game65.664.167.6
Point differential+8.8+15.1+0.0
Avg total140.0143.4135.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%57%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 George Mason1412286%75.465.4+10.0
2 George Washington1311285%80.872.0+8.8
3 Dayton1210283%74.465.6+8.8
4 Saint Josephs Hawks1310377%77.964.7+13.2
5 Davidson1310377%72.865.5+7.3
6 St. Bonaventure129375%74.364.2+10.1
7 Duquesne129375%77.868.1+9.7
8 La Salle149564%76.772.1+4.6
9 Richmond Spiders138562%75.065.8+9.2
10 Loyola Chicago138562%74.266.7+7.5
11 VCU Rams138562%73.866.3+7.5
12 St. Louis Billikens137654%74.075.5-1.5
13 Fordham136746%72.970.9+2.0
14 Rhode Island136746%72.872.2+0.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Davidson213859
Dayton363672
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