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Liberty vs New Mexico State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 83-58
38-32 45-26
Position#158
Record16-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game65.1
Liberty 🏆
USA
vs
Position#285
Record11-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.7
Allowed / game71.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Liberty v New Mexico State
30 Jan 2027
LIBE v NEW
upcoming
15 Jan 2026
LIBE73
NEW 71
18 Jan 2025
LIBE68
NEW 60
29 Feb 2024
LIBE83
NEW 58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
A14/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H19/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H21/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A27/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
73-79 OT
73
79
-6
A02/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A04/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
88-53
88
53
+35
H09/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A18/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-30
32-39
36-29
42-40
41-33
41-33
31-33
31-40
37-35
32-34
37-29
30-36
40-31
48-22
22-29
43-33
27-50
46-33
34-37
37-39
144.1Avg total
73.5Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.165.1140.2+10.059%
Season at home (18)77.860.3138.1+17.678%
Season away (9)69.774.7144.3-5.022%
Last 10 (10)73.570.6144.1+2.950%
Last 5 (5)72.867.8140.6+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.075.0146.0-4.00%
vs Similar (8)65.675.2140.9-9.625%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)78.561.1139.6+17.470%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H21/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
53-73
53
73
-20
A27/01
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
79-73 OT
79
73
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H04/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
49-74
49
74
-25
A11/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A16/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A17/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
58-79
58
79
-21
H23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
58-67
58
67
-9
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-26
39-36
37-38
30-41
28-33
25-40
35-37
34-32
28-33
39-32
27-35
22-39
38-24
31-52
33-33
25-39
23-48
35-31
26-26
32-41
135.1Avg total
63.1Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)67.771.9139.6-4.139%
Season at home (16)71.065.5136.5+5.569%
Season away (12)63.380.3143.7-17.00%
Last 10 (10)63.172.0135.1-8.930%
Last 5 (5)58.473.6132.0-15.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)57.469.2126.6-11.929%
vs Similar (5)73.877.2151.0-3.420%
vs Weaker (2)77.057.0134.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: -7.1-7.1
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: -7.1-7.1
LibertyNew Mexico State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#54
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A14/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H19/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H21/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A27/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A02/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A04/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H09/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
22-29
22
29
-7
H11/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A18/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A23/02
NCAA
67.8Avg total
34.2Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.531.266.7+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.428.865.2+7.668%-
Last 30 away (11)33.835.569.3-1.645%-
Last 10 (10)34.233.667.8+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)32.035.267.2-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.037.071.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (8)30.835.966.6-5.125%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)37.629.467.0+8.275%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H21/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A26/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A27/01
NCAA
Liberty
#158
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H02/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H04/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A11/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A16/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A17/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
23-48
23
48
-25
H23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H25/02
NCAA
64.2Avg total
30.9Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)31.333.664.9-2.436%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.031.662.6-0.644%-
Last 30 away (12)31.736.468.1-4.725%-
Last 10 (10)30.933.364.2-2.420%-
Last 5 (5)29.433.262.6-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)29.436.365.6-6.916%-
vs Similar (5)32.828.861.6+4.080%-
vs Weaker (2)32.526.559.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Liberty wins
1
New Mexico State wins
DateGameScore
02/02/24New Mexico State v Liberty79-73 OT
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/24AFlorida International71-76
18/02/24ASam Houston St.73-83
11/02/24HLouisiana Tech65-62
09/02/24HMiddle Tenn. St.88-53
04/02/24AUTEP67-65
02/02/24ANew Mexico State73-79 OT
27/01/24AJacksonville State62-73
21/01/24HSam Houston St.82-66
19/01/24HFlorida International78-69
14/01/24ALouisiana Tech76-80 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24HLouisiana Tech58-67
23/02/24HSam Houston St.58-79
17/02/24AWestern Kentucky58-72
16/02/24AMiddle Tenn. St.69-76
11/02/24AUTEP49-74
04/02/24HJacksonville State67-65
02/02/24HLiberty79-73 OT
27/01/24ALouisiana Tech53-73
26/01/24ASam Houston St.67-79
21/01/24HMiddle Tenn. St.73-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL59%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games27189
Win %59%78%22%
Points / game75.177.869.7
Allowed / game65.160.374.7
Point differential+10.0+17.6-5.0
Avg total140.2138.1144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%67%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %7%0%22%
New Mexico State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL39%
HomeWWWLL69%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %39%69%0%
Points / game67.771.063.3
Allowed / game71.965.580.3
Point differential-4.1+5.5-17.0
Avg total139.6136.5143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)71% (7)0% (1)
Overtime %11%12%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech2921872%75.063.9+11.1
2 Western Kentucky2819968%80.274.4+5.8
3 Sam Houston St.28171161%71.669.8+1.8
4 Delaware30181260%74.169.9+4.2
5 Liberty27161159%75.165.1+10.0
6 Kennesaw State29151452%82.880.0+2.7
7 Missouri State30151550%72.172.8-0.7
8 Jacksonville State29141548%70.265.6+4.6
9 UTEP29141548%73.069.8+3.3
10 Middle Tenn. St.28121643%65.769.3-3.6
11 New Mexico State28111739%67.771.9-4.1
12 Florida International2891932%73.776.3-2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Liberty384583
New Mexico State322658
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