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Dayton vs North Florida Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 84-61
46-23 38-38
Position#65
Record7-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game72.0
Dayton 🏆
USA
vs
Position#361
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game86.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Dayton v North Florida
13 Dec 2025
DAYT84
NORT61
30 Dec 2019
DAYT77
NORT59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Florida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canisius
#327
W
88-48
88
48
+40
H04/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H08/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A12/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
91-82
91
82
+9
H16/11
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
77-71 OT
77
71
+6
A20/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
74-55
74
55
+19
H22/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
84-79 OT
84
79
+5
H28/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H29/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H03/12
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
51-27
37-21
41-37
36-34
26-33
36-41
45-39
46-43
39-34
29-34
44-20
30-35
40-31
29-38
36-30
43-53
46-38
42-33
33-37
40-49
151.3Avg total
79.3Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.372.0151.3+7.370%
Season at home (7)83.069.9152.9+13.186%
Season away (3)70.777.0147.7-6.333%
Last 10 (10)79.372.0151.3+7.370%
Last 5 (5)79.674.8154.4+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.878.6152.4-4.840%
vs Similar (17)73.373.0146.3+0.359%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)81.367.4148.7+13.986%
This opponent (North Florida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#275
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A03/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
64-104
64
104
-40
A07/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
66-99
66
99
-33
A13/11
NCAA
New College (FL)
#595
W
122-67
122
67
+55
H15/11
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A20/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
83-92
83
92
-9
A23/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H23/11
NCAA
Trinity Baptist
#671
W
111-67
111
67
+44
H29/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H03/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
58-109
58
109
-51
A08/12
NCAA
1H
2H
45-38
24-52
28-52
36-52
30-47
36-52
55-43
67-24
35-34
43-52
46-35
37-57
44-32
38-53
62-25
49-42
29-30
34-42
28-53
30-56
166.7Avg total
79.6Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.886.8167.6-6.022%
Season at home (4)94.572.8167.2+21.850%
Season away (5)69.898.0167.8-28.20%
Last 10 (10)79.687.1166.7-7.520%
Last 5 (5)79.485.0164.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)72.689.8162.4-17.16%
vs Similar (4)79.084.5163.5-5.550%
vs Weaker (9)94.881.3176.1+13.478%
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +7.5+7.51st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: -8.8-8.8
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +7.5+7.51st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: -8.8-8.8
DaytonNorth Florida
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canisius
#327
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H04/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H08/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A12/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H16/11
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H22/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H28/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H29/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H03/12
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A06/12
NCAA
72.7Avg total
40.1Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.633.669.2+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.432.668.9+3.865%-
Last 30 away (13)34.734.869.5-0.246%-
Last 10 (10)40.132.672.7+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)39.831.271.0+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.834.867.6-2.040%-
vs Similar (17)33.633.266.8+0.453%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.432.974.3+8.671%-
This opponent (North Florida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#275
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A03/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A07/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A13/11
NCAA
New College (FL)
#595
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H15/11
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A20/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A23/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H23/11
NCAA
Trinity Baptist
#671
W
62-25
62
25
+37
H29/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H03/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A08/12
NCAA
79.1Avg total
40.2Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.377.5-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.638.579.1+2.246%-
Last 30 away (17)36.439.976.2-3.547%-
Last 10 (10)40.238.979.1+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.835.076.8+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)33.642.275.9-8.624%-
vs Similar (4)43.033.876.8+9.275%-
vs Weaker (9)44.736.180.8+8.678%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Dayton wins
0
North Florida wins
DateGameScore
31/12/19Dayton v North Florida77-59
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25AVirginia73-86
03/12/25HEast Tennessee St88-71
29/11/25HBrigham Young79-83
28/11/25HGeorgetown84-79 OT
22/11/25HN. Carolina Central74-55
20/11/25AMarquette77-71 OT
16/11/25HBethune-Cookman91-82
12/11/25ACincinnati62-74
08/11/25HUMBC Retrievers77-71
04/11/25HCanisius88-48
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/25AGonzaga58-109
03/12/25HSiu Edwardsville63-72
29/11/25HTrinity Baptist111-67
23/11/25HPrairie View A&M82-85
23/11/25ASouthern Miss83-92
20/11/25AWofford78-86
15/11/25HNew College (FL)122-67
13/11/25ATennessee66-99
07/11/25AFlorida64-104
03/03/25AAustin Peay69-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL70%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %70%86%33%
Points / game79.383.070.7
Allowed / game72.069.977.0
Point differential+7.3+13.1-6.3
Avg total151.3152.9147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %20%14%33%
North Florida
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%50%0%
Points / game80.894.569.8
Allowed / game86.872.898.0
Point differential-6.0+21.8-28.2
Avg total167.6167.2167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 George Mason1110191%79.564.9+14.5
2 Richmond Spiders109190%85.671.1+14.5
3 St. Louis Billikens98189%91.669.6+22.0
4 St. Bonaventure1210283%77.268.8+8.5
5 Davidson108280%76.467.1+9.3
6 Dayton107370%79.372.0+7.3
7 Fordham128467%76.362.5+13.8
8 George Washington128467%86.875.6+11.2
9 Rhode Island117464%75.568.5+7.0
10 VCU Rams106460%83.771.9+11.8
11 Duquesne106460%84.580.6+3.9
12 Saint Josephs Hawks106460%75.974.1+1.8
13 La Salle114736%67.367.6-0.4
14 Loyola Chicago103730%67.675.1-7.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lipscomb106460%80.473.8+6.6
2 North Alabama95456%73.474.7-1.2
3 West Georgia95456%76.280.6-4.3
4 Austin Peay105550%76.369.2+7.1
5 Florida Gulf Coast105550%85.882.6+3.2
6 Queens Royals105550%85.583.2+2.3
7 Bellarmine104640%77.678.5-0.9
8 Central Arkansas114736%73.574.4-0.9
9 Eastern Kentucky113827%82.680.5+2.1
10 Stetson113827%67.778.7-11.0
11 North Florida92722%80.886.8-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Dayton463884
North Florida233861
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