Decic vs Podgorica Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Apr 2024

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 94-99

25-30 25-25 23-22 21-22

Position#11

Record6-13

FormWLLLW

Points / game82.6

Allowed / game87.2

Decic

Podgorica 🏆

Position#3

Record15-4

FormWLWWW

Points / game88.7

Allowed / game71.9

Prva A LigaRound 21

Other2023-24

Meetings · Decic v Podgorica

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Decic winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Podgorica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Decic

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormDecic

Date

Competition

Kotor

78-68

+10

no box

H27/01

Prva A Liga

Primorje

97-101

101

-4

no box

A07/02

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

68-79

-11

no box

H10/02

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

#13

93-91

no box

H03/03

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

71-92

-21

no box

A06/03

Prva A Liga

Tivat

82-73

no box

H10/03

Prva A Liga

Danilovgrad

#12

79-84

-5

no box

A16/03

Prva A Liga

Ibar Rozaje

84-92

-8

no box

H27/03

Prva A Liga

Studentski Centar

69-101

101

-32

no box

H28/03

Prva A Liga

Milenijum

#10

82-73

no box

A02/04

Prva A Liga

27-15

22-24

14-17

15-12

27-29

29-23

28-31

13-18

21-16

15-21

19-24

13-18

22-28

21-19

16-16

34-28

13-23

17-21

19-26

22-22

19-10

20-21

21-21

22-21

21-17

13-20

14-21

31-26

24-26

21-21

21-20

18-25

17-21

13-30

22-24

17-26

19-15

14-23

23-16

26-19

165.7Avg total

80.3Scored

85.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	82.6	87.2	169.7	-4.6	32%
Season at home (10)	84.9	83.7	168.6	+1.2	50%
Season away (9)	80.0	91.0	171.0	-11.0	11%
Last 10 (10)	80.3	85.4	165.7	-5.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	84.6	163.8	-5.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	77.7	91.0	168.7	-13.3	22%
vs Similar (10)	82.2	84.4	166.6	-2.2	30%
vs Weaker (10)	93.0	81.3	174.3	+11.7	60%

This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Podgorica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPodgorica

Date

Competition

Primorje

100-91

100

no box

H01/03

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

71-72

-1

no box

A06/03

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

#13

92-67

+25

no box

H09/03

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

82-87

-5

no box

A14/03

Prva A Liga

Cedevita Junior

#13

85-79

86avg 70

A19/03

ABA League 2

Pelister

#11

86-81

82avg 70

H21/03

ABA League 2

Helios Domzale

75-76

-1

70avg 70

A23/03

ABA League 2

Tivat

81-69

+12

no box

H27/03

Prva A Liga

Danilovgrad

#12

100-52

100

+48

no box

A30/03

Prva A Liga

Ibar Rozaje

77-60

+17

no box

H02/04

Prva A Liga

26-23

23-20

33-33

18-15

12-24

20-18

22-15

17-15

22-15

21-25

27-15

22-12

22-24

25-17

16-32

19-14

21-26

22-17

20-16

22-20

19-21

17-20

22-25

28-15

22-21

23-19

18-19

12-17

26-12

17-16

20-21

18-20

31-13

22-15

28-9

19-15

24-22

14-7

17-16

22-15

158.3Avg total

84.9Scored

73.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	88.7	71.9	160.6	+16.7	79%
Season at home (10)	93.1	71.0	164.1	+22.1	100%
Season away (9)	83.8	73.0	156.8	+10.8	56%
Last 10 (10)	84.9	73.4	158.3	+11.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	67.6	151.4	+16.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	73.3	85.0	158.3	-11.7	33%
vs Similar (3)	75.7	77.0	152.7	-1.3	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	87.5	73.1	160.6	+14.4	78%

This opponent (Decic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

DecicPodgorica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.3	41.7	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	19.5	41.6	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	21.3	41.9	-0.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.3	20.8	38.1	-3.4	22%	-
vs Similar (10)	23.1	21.5	44.6	+1.6	70%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.2	19.1	42.3	+4.1	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.5	42.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	20.1	42.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	17.8	42.2	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.3	22.0	45.3	+1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.7	61%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	22.5	43.0	-2.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	22.8	43.1	-2.6	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	22.1	42.9	-1.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	22.3	40.8	-3.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	23.0	39.2	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.2	24.8	44.0	-5.6	22%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.3	21.4	42.7	-0.1	30%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.7	21.1	41.8	-0.4	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.1	39.5	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	16.1	37.9	+5.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	17.4	37.8	+3.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	15.4	34.0	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	24.7	42.7	-6.7	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.7	16.7	33.3	+0.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.2	17.5	39.7	+4.7	65%	-

DecicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kotor

49-39

+10

H27/01

Prva A Liga

Primorje

56-52

A07/02

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

36-37

-1

H10/02

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

#13

43-47

-4

H03/03

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

30-44

-14

A06/03

Prva A Liga

Tivat

39-31

H10/03

Prva A Liga

Danilovgrad

#12

34-37

-3

A16/03

Prva A Liga

Ibar Rozaje

45-47

-2

H27/03

Prva A Liga

Studentski Centar

30-51

-21

H28/03

Prva A Liga

Milenijum

#10

33-38

-5

A02/04

Prva A Liga

81.8Avg total

39.5Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	42.8	84.7	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	42.3	84.7	+0.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.3	43.4	84.7	-2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	42.3	81.8	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	40.8	77.0	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	36.6	45.6	82.1	-9.0	22%	-
vs Similar (10)	44.4	42.9	87.3	+1.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.9	40.2	84.1	+3.7	60%	-

This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Primorje

49-43

H01/03

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

32-42

-10

A06/03

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

#13

43-40

H09/03

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

47-41

A14/03

Prva A Liga

Cedevita Junior

#13

43-43

A19/03

ABA League 2

Pelister

#11

36-41

-5

H21/03

ABA League 2

Helios Domzale

45-40

A23/03

ABA League 2

Tivat

43-28

+15

H27/03

Prva A Liga

Danilovgrad

#12

53-28

+25

A30/03

Prva A Liga

Ibar Rozaje

38-29

H02/04

Prva A Liga

80.4Avg total

42.9Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	38.6	81.7	+4.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	36.2	79.9	+7.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.6	40.9	83.5	+1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	37.5	80.4	+5.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	33.2	76.2	+9.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	41.3	46.7	88.0	-5.3	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	36.3	39.0	75.3	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	44.0	37.7	81.7	+6.3	65%	-

This opponent (Decic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.6	41.3	-1.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	22.2	25.1	47.3	-2.9	11%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.5	20.2	37.7	-2.7	30%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.3	19.8	43.1	+3.5	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.5	39.4	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	18.9	40.3	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	20.1	38.4	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	20.1	42.4	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.7	24.3	39.0	-9.7	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	18.3	17.0	35.3	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.9	19.2	40.1	+1.7	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.9	42.4	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	20.6	42.4	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.5	42.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	23.4	46.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.9	20.3	39.2	-1.4	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.3	21.3	41.6	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	25.8	21.3	47.1	+4.5	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	17.2	39.3	+4.9	87%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.0	19.6	44.6	+5.4	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	14.8	34.1	+4.5	87%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	15.8	35.5	+3.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.4	36.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	14.0	31.3	+3.3	67%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.6	16.2	38.8	+6.3	96%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	42.4	84.8	+0.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.2	41.6	84.8	+1.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.6	43.2	84.9	-1.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	43.1	83.9	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	43.8	86.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	41.1	45.4	86.6	-4.3	22%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.8	41.5	79.3	-3.7	20%	-
vs Weaker (10)	49.1	41.1	90.2	+8.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	36.7	78.7	+5.2	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.4	38.5	84.9	+7.9	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	34.9	72.5	+2.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	35.9	77.9	+6.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	34.4	75.2	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	32.0	38.3	70.3	-6.3	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	39.3	38.0	77.3	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	43.5	35.4	78.9	+8.1	87%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Decictheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podgorica: 76.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game

53%

30%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.3	21.0	53.4%	58.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.2	6.6	29.7%	31.5%	19.8
🏀 Free throws	20.8	14.9	71.6%	69.7%	14.9

They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.2	17.6	54.7%	58.8%	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.8	9.0	30.2%	31.5%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	19.4	14.1	72.7%	69.7%	14.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.4	21.5	54.7%	58.8%	43.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.8	6.8	29.7%	31.5%	20.3
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.6	73.9%	69.7%	14.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.3	17.7	53.1%	58.8%	35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	9.2	32.1%	31.5%	27.7
🏀 Free throws	18.5	13.6	73.4%	69.7%	13.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Decic wins

Podgorica wins

Date	Game	Score
17/01/24	Podgorica v Decic	109-68
14/02/23	Decic v Podgorica	79-80
19/01/23	Decic v Podgorica	76-69
13/10/22	Podgorica v Decic	80-62

Deciclast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/04/24	A	Milenijum	82-73
28/03/24	H	Studentski Centar	69-101
27/03/24	H	Ibar Rozaje	84-92
16/03/24	A	Danilovgrad	79-84
10/03/24	H	Tivat	82-73
06/03/24	A	Sutjeska	71-92
03/03/24	H	Jedinstvo	93-91
10/02/24	H	Lovcen Cetinje	68-79
07/02/24	A	Primorje	97-101
27/01/24	H	Kotor	78-68

Podgoricalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/04/24	H	Ibar Rozaje	77-60
30/03/24	A	Danilovgrad	100-52
27/03/24	H	Tivat	81-69
23/03/24	A	Helios Domzale	75-76
21/03/24	H	Pelister	86-81
19/03/24	A	Cedevita Junior	85-79
14/03/24	A	Sutjeska	82-87
09/03/24	H	Jedinstvo	92-67
06/03/24	A	Lovcen Cetinje	71-72
01/03/24	H	Primorje	100-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Decic

Prva A Liga 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	32%
Home	LWWLL	50%
Away	LLLLW	11%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	32%	50%	11%
Points / game	82.6	84.9	80.0
Allowed / game	87.2	83.7	91.0
Point differential	-4.6	+1.2	-11.0
Avg total	169.7	168.6	171.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	30%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	100% (1)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Podgorica

Prva A Liga 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	79%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLLLW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	79%	100%	56%
Points / game	88.7	93.1	83.8
Allowed / game	71.9	71.0	73.0
Point differential	+16.7	+22.1	+10.8
Avg total	160.6	164.1	156.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	58%	70%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	-	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sutjeska	18	16	2	89%	91.3	75.8	+15.4
2	Podgorica	19	15	4	79%	88.7	71.9	+16.7
3	Primorje	18	14	4	78%	85.6	76.1	+9.6
4	Tivat	18	14	4	78%	86.2	76.9	+9.3
5	Studentski Centar	17	11	6	65%	84.9	75.3	+9.6
6	Lovcen Cetinje	17	8	9	47%	75.1	75.2	-0.2
7	Milenijum	19	8	11	42%	82.9	84.4	-1.5
8	Kotor	18	7	11	39%	72.6	79.7	-7.2
9	Danilovgrad	19	7	12	37%	81.7	93.6	-11.8
10	Decic	19	6	13	32%	82.6	87.2	-4.6
11	Jedinstvo	18	5	13	28%	81.1	87.6	-6.5
12	Ibar Rozaje	19	5	14	26%	72.7	83.8	-11.1
13	Pljevlja	19	3	16	16%	74.9	90.6	-15.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Decic	25	25	23	21	94
Podgorica	30	25	22	22	99

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Decic vs Podgorica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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