PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Delaware vs Colgate Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 77-69
Projected total 145.9
Scheduled
Position#271
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game62.7
Delaware
USA
Vs
75%
25%
■ DELA 75%■ COLG 25%
Pythia win probability
Colgate
USA
Position#368
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game85.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Delaware v Colgate
15 Nov 2026
DELA v COLG
upcoming
25 Nov 2022
DELA72
COLG68
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Delaware faces Colgate on 15 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Delaware the clear favourite, rating them 75% to win largely because of their 1-2 record, 76.7 points per game and only 62.7 points allowed, while Colgate sits at 0-3, 69.7 points per game and 85.7 points allowed. Delaware's season shows a 1-1 home record with 83.0 points per game and 57.5 allowed, and they have won two of their last five games, including a 105-44 home victory over Notre Dame MD; Colgate's road record is 0-3, 69.7 points per game and 85.7 allowed, and they have only one win in five, a 74-77 loss to Drexel. In the single meeting between the teams, Delaware won 72-68 on 25 November 2022. Pythia projects a 77-69 score, with a 75% chance of a Delaware win and a 25% chance for Colgate, a total of 145.9 points, and a 45% probability of the over on the 147.5 line; Delaware also has a 75% chance to cover the -1.0 spread, and the game has a 4% chance of overtime. The next contest will test whether Delaware can extend its winning streak against a struggling Colgate squad.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Delaware win
75.1%fair 1.33
Best odds1.86
Implied52.0%
Edge+23.1pp
Colgate win
24.9%fair 4.02
Best odds2.00
Implied48.0%
Edge-23.1pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 18:31 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DelawareUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#223
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A14/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
H19/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
70-80 OT
70
80
-10
A27/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A28/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
38-81
38
81
-43
H07/03
NCAA
Notre Dame MD
#518
W
105-44
105
44
+61
H03/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#50
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A07/11
NCAA
James Madison
#282
L
61-71
61
71
-10
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-25
41-42
41-29
38-50
20-31
46-47
25-25
36-36
25-50
57-40
33-33
50-47
22-40
16-41
55-16
50-28
28-35
36-38
26-35
35-36
148.4Avg total
73.2Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.762.7139.3+14.033%
Season at home (2)83.057.5140.5+25.550%
Season away (1)64.073.0137.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)73.275.2148.4-2.030%
Last 5 (5)70.269.8140.0+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)67.574.6142.1-7.133%
vs Similar (3)65.371.7137.0-6.30%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)63.064.0127.0-1.050%
This opponent (Colgate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ColgateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Navy
#24
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
H14/02
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
58-85
58
85
-27
A16/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
101-98 OT
101
98
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Navy
#24
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A28/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H06/03
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A08/03
NCAA
Washington
#66
L
76-90
76
90
-14
A03/11
NCAA
Drexel
#241
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A07/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#22
L
59-90
59
90
-31
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-40
49-37
23-36
35-49
46-34
36-48
25-31
44-39
40-47
29-38
46-39
44-38
30-33
39-43
38-43
38-47
25-29
49-48
32-49
27-41
157.7Avg total
74.5Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)69.785.7155.3-16.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)69.785.7155.3-16.00%
Last 10 (10)74.583.2157.7-8.720%
Last 5 (5)73.682.0155.6-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)73.180.9154.0-7.714%
vs Similar (11)70.674.5145.1-3.836%
vs Weaker (12)82.271.2153.5+11.092%
This opponent (Delaware) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 142.5
Over 142.5
57.6%
@ 1.50-3.9pp
Under 142.5
42.4%
@ 2.40+3.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Under
Betano
2.40
Over/Under 147.5 · main line
Over 147.5
45.5%
@ 1.95-4.1pp
Under 147.5
54.5%
@ 1.87+4.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.91
Marathon Be
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
SBO
1.85
Under
Betano
1.87
Marathon Be
1.86
Bet365
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
SBO
1.85
Over/Under 152.5
Over 152.5
33.8%
@ 2.45-3.7pp
Under 152.5
66.2%
@ 1.47+3.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Under
Betano
1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

Delaware total 70.5
Over 70.5
73.4%
@ 1.44+10.7pp
Under 70.5
26.6%
@ 2.42-10.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Under
Betano
2.42
Delaware total 74.5 · main line
Over 74.5
59.0%
@ 1.93+9.4pp
Under 74.5
41.0%
@ 1.85-9.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
Betano
1.78
Delaware total 78.5
Over 78.5
43.2%
@ 2.67+9.3pp
Under 78.5
56.8%
@ 1.37-9.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.67
Under
Betano
1.37
Colgate total 69.5
Over 69.5
47.9%
@ 1.40-16.7pp
Under 69.5
52.1%
@ 2.55+16.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Under
Betano
2.55
Colgate total 73.5 · main line
Over 73.5
33.0%
@ 1.87-17.0pp
Under 73.5
67.0%
@ 1.87+17.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
Betano
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Colgate total 77.5
Over 77.5
20.6%
@ 2.57-14.7pp
Under 77.5
79.4%
@ 1.40+14.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.57
Under
Betano
1.40

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Delaware -4.5
DELA -4.5
62.2%
@ 2.37+22.7pp
COLG +4.5
37.8%
@ 1.55-22.7pp
Best 5 market prices
DELA
Betano
2.37
Bet365
2.30
COLG
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.50
Spread Delaware -1.5 · main line
DELA -1.5
72.8%
@ 1.93+23.2pp
COLG +1.5
27.2%
@ 1.90-23.2pp
Best 5 market prices
DELA
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
COLG
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.86
Betano
1.85
SBO
1.85
1xBet
1.80
Spread Delaware +1.5
DELA +1.5
77.2%
@ 1.72+22.0pp
COLG -1.5
22.8%
@ 2.10-22.0pp
Best 5 market prices
DELA
Betano
1.72
Bet365
1.68
COLG
Betano
2.10
Bet365
2.10

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: -4.8-4.82nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -3.8-3.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: -4.8-4.82nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -3.8-3.8
DelawareColgate
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DelawareLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#223
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H19/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
20-31
20
31
-11
A21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A27/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A28/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H06/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
22-40
22
40
-18
H07/03
NCAA
Notre Dame MD
#518
W
55-16
55
16
+39
H03/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#50
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A07/11
NCAA
James Madison
#282
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H12/11
NCAA
62.9Avg total
31.0Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 70
Last 30 (30)30.232.262.3-2.033%20%
Last 30 at home (17)31.433.164.5-1.735%29%
Last 30 away (13)28.530.959.5-2.431%8%
Last 10 (10)31.031.962.9-0.930%20%
Last 5 (5)32.831.864.6+1.020%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)29.333.562.8-4.229%21%
vs Similar (3)29.728.358.0+1.333%0%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)28.530.058.5-1.550%0%
This opponent (Colgate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ColgateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Navy
#24
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H14/02
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A16/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H21/02
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H26/02
NCAA
Navy
#24
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H06/03
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A08/03
NCAA
Washington
#66
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A03/11
NCAA
Drexel
#241
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A07/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#22
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A12/11
NCAA
71.4Avg total
33.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 70
Last 30 (30)34.834.168.8+0.750%43%
Last 30 at home (14)35.732.568.2+3.257%43%
Last 30 away (16)33.935.469.4-1.544%44%
Last 10 (10)33.338.171.4-4.820%50%
Last 5 (5)34.238.672.8-4.420%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)34.339.974.1-5.614%71%
vs Similar (11)31.633.364.9-1.627%27%
vs Weaker (12)37.931.469.3+6.592%42%
This opponent (Delaware) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
DELA win
no forecast
@ 1.85
COLG win
no forecast
@ 1.98
1st half Spread Delaware 0 · main line
DELA 0
no forecast
@ 1.84
COLG 0
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half Over/Under 70 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Delaware 1st half total 35.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Colgate 1st half total 34.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half Over/Under 68.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.65
Under
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Over/Under 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.10
Under
no forecast
@ 1.72
1st half Spread Delaware -1
DELA -1
no forecast
@ 1.88
COLG +1
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half Spread Delaware +1.5
DELA +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
COLG -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
1st half Over/Under 66.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.45
Under
no forecast
@ 2.52
1st half Over/Under 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.40
Under
no forecast
@ 1.50
1st half Spread Delaware -2.5
DELA -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
COLG +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
1st half Spread Delaware +2.5
DELA +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
COLG -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
1st half Spread Delaware -3.5
DELA -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.45
COLG +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread Delaware +3.5
DELA +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.40
COLG -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.67
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
DELA
no forecast
@ 1.91
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
COLG
no forecast
@ 2.02

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
DELA win + total 147.5
🔒 Pro
COLG win + total 147.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: DELA leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Delaware (regulation)72.7%1.87
1xBet
1.92
Betano
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.82		--+24.8pp
Delaware +176.7%1.72
Bet365
1.74
Marathon Bet
1.70		---+23.9pp
Delaware win75.1%1.79
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
SBO
1.78		+23.1pp
Colgate under 74.570.4%1.81
Marathon Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.72		--+20.4pp
Delaware over 71.570.0%1.53
Betano
1.53		----+11.0pp
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
🔒 34 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Delaware wins
0
Colgate wins
DateGameScore
25/11/22Delaware v Colgate72-68
Delawarelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HJames Madison61-71
07/11/26AWisconsin64-73
03/11/26HNotre Dame MD105-44
07/03/26HLouisiana Tech38-81
06/03/26HSam Houston St.83-80
28/02/26AKennesaw State82-90
27/02/26AJacksonville State70-80 OT
21/02/26AMiddle Tenn. St.66-78
19/02/26HWestern Kentucky87-88 OT
14/02/26AMissouri State76-67
Colgatelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)59-90
07/11/26ADrexel74-77
03/11/26AWashington76-90
08/03/26ALehigh69-76
06/03/26HLoyola Maryland90-77
28/02/26ANavy69-85
26/02/26HLafayette69-70
21/02/26HLoyola Maryland101-98 OT
16/02/26ABoston University58-85
14/02/26HNavy80-84 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Delaware
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game76.783.064.0
Allowed / game62.757.573.0
Point differential+14.0+25.5-9.0
Avg total139.3140.5137.0
Over 147.533%50%0%
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Colgate
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
Home--
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %0%-0%
Points / game69.7-69.7
Allowed / game85.7-85.7
Point differential-16.0--16.0
Avg total155.3-155.3
Over 147.5100%-100%
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kennesaw State440100%95.564.8+30.8
2 Missouri State330100%85.361.3+24.0
3 Florida International330100%91.771.0+20.7
4 Western Kentucky43175%84.263.5+20.8
5 Middle Tenn. St.43175%80.876.2+4.5
6 Liberty32167%81.364.0+17.3
7 UTEP32167%71.767.3+4.3
8 Louisiana Tech42250%69.863.2+6.5
9 Jacksonville State42250%80.075.5+4.5
10 Sam Houston St.42250%86.885.0+1.8
11 Delaware31233%76.762.7+14.0
12 New Mexico State31233%66.378.3-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Navy54180%69.265.8+3.4
2 Boston University43175%80.074.5+5.5
3 Army42250%75.566.2+9.2
4 Lafayette63350%76.267.2+9.0
5 Lehigh42250%64.570.2-5.8
6 American University31233%64.075.0-11.0
7 Loyola Maryland51420%68.473.0-4.6
8 Colgate3030%69.785.7-16.0
9 Bucknell4040%62.287.5-25.2
10 Holy Cross3030%64.092.7-28.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.