Delaware hosts James Madison on 11 November 2026 in an NCAA matchup where the Pythia model names Delaware the favourite, assigning it a 79% chance of victory and projecting a 78-69 scoreline that totals 147.1 points; the home team's line is 3.5 with an 85% probability of covering, while the over line of 147.0 carries a 50% chance. Delaware's season record stands at 1-1, with 84.5 points scored and 58.5 allowed per game, and they are 182nd in the league; at home they are undefeated 1-0, averaging 105.0 points and 44.0 allowed, and their last five games include a 105-44 win over Notre Dame MD and a 64-73 loss to Wisconsin. James Madison, meanwhile, is 0-2 with 78.5 points scored and 87.5 allowed per game, ranked 333rd, and on the road they are 0-1, averaging 80.0 points and 89.0 allowed; their last five games feature a single win and three defeats, including a 77-86 loss to Miami (Ohio).
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Delaware winLost
79.1%fair 1.26
Best odds2.50
Implied39.8%
Edge+39.3pp
James Madison winWon
20.9%fair 4.80
Best odds1.60
Implied60.2%
Edge-39.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 07:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Delaware) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 141.5Actual: Under 141.5
Over 141.5
62.9%
@ 1.40-5.8pp
Under 141.5
37.1%
@ 3.25+5.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betano
2.70
Over/Under 146.5 · main lineActual: Under 146.5
Over 146.5
50.9%
@ 1.85-2.0pp
Under 146.5
49.1%
@ 2.22+2.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
1xBet
1.75
Marathon Be
1.72
Under
Bet365
2.22
Betano
2.15
Marathon Be
1.99
1xBet
1.96
WilliamHill
1.91
Over/Under 151.5Actual: Under 151.5
Over 151.5
38.8%
@ 2.12-5.9pp
Under 151.5
61.2%
@ 1.72+5.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.07
Under
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathon Be
1.70
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.66
📊 3. Team Totals
Delaware total 67.5Actual: Delaware under 67.5
Over 67.5
no forecast
@ 1.33
Under 67.5
no forecast
@ 3.20
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.30
Under
1xBet
3.20
Betano
2.85
Delaware total 72 · main lineActual: Delaware under 72
Over 72
73.8%
@ 1.85+23.7pp
Under 72
26.2%
@ 1.86-23.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Delaware total 76Actual: Delaware under 76
Over 76
58.8%
Under 76
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
James Madison total 71Push
Over 71
41.1%
Under 71
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
James Madison total 75 · main lineActual: James Madison under 75
Over 75
26.7%
@ 1.85-23.3pp
Under 75
73.3%
@ 1.85+23.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
James Madison total 79Actual: James Madison under 79
Over 79
15.6%
Under 79
84.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Delaware +0.5Actual: James Madison -0.5
DELA +0.5
79.1%
JAME -0.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
DELA
No market prices yet.
JAME
No market prices yet.
Spread Delaware +3.5 · main lineActual: James Madison -3.5
DELA +3.5
85.4%
@ 1.96+36.5pp
JAME -3.5
14.6%
@ 1.90-36.5pp
Best 5 market prices
DELA
Pinnacle
1.96
Betano
1.95
Bet365
1.91
Marathon Be
1.90
BetVictor
1.88
JAME
Bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.83
Betano
1.83
Spread Delaware +6.5Actual: James Madison -6.5
DELA +6.5
90.6%
@ 1.64+32.9pp
JAME -6.5
9.4%
@ 2.25-32.9pp
Best 5 market prices
DELA
1xBet
1.64
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.57
JAME
Bet365
2.25
Betano
2.18
1xBet
2.12
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
DelawareJames Madison
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (James Madison) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
James MadisonLast 10 – 2nd half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#332
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H13/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H14/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A19/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A21/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H26/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A05/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#93
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H03/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#177
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A07/11
NCAA
80.4Avg total
39.7Scored
40.7Allowed
2nd half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 77.5
Last 30 (30)
39.4
39.9
79.3
-0.5
43%
60%
Last 30 at home (16)
38.4
37.7
76.1
+0.7
50%
38%
Last 30 away (14)
40.6
42.4
83.1
-1.8
36%
86%
Last 10 (10)
39.7
40.7
80.4
-1.0
50%
50%
Last 5 (5)
41.8
47.0
88.8
-5.2
20%
80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)
39.1
44.8
83.9
-5.6
25%
88%
vs Similar (17)
40.6
37.9
78.5
+2.6
53%
53%
vs Weaker (5)
36.0
38.8
74.8
-2.8
40%
40%
This opponent (Delaware) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: James Madison win
DELA win
no forecast
@ 2.25
JAME win
no forecast
@ 1.65
2nd half Spread Delaware +1.5 · main lineActual: Delaware +1.5
DELA +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
JAME -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
2nd half Over/Under 77.5 · main lineActual: Under 77.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: James Madison (regulation)
DELA
no forecast
@ 2.27
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.00
JAME
no forecast
@ 1.70
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Delaware (regulation)
76.9%
2.45
Marathon Bet
2.54
Betano
2.52
1xBet
2.30
-
-
+41.3pp
Lost
Delaware -1
78.7%
2.50
Bet365
2.50
-
-
-
-
+41.2pp
Lost
Delaware -2
76.2%
2.65
Bet365
2.65
-
-
-
-
+41.1pp
Lost
Delaware -3
72.7%
2.90
Bet365
2.90
-
-
-
-
+40.8pp
Lost
Delaware +2
83.2%
2.17
Pinnacle
2.24
Bet365
2.10
-
-
-
+40.5pp
Lost
Delaware -1.5
77.0%
2.50
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.45
-
-
+40.3pp
Lost
Delaware -3.5
70.7%
3.00
Bet365
3.05
Betano
2.95
-
-
-
+39.8pp
Lost
Delaware -2.5
73.5%
2.72
Betano
2.72
Bet365
2.72
-
-
-
+39.5pp
Lost
Delaware win
79.1%
2.39
WilliamHill
2.50
Betano
2.45
Bet365
2.42
Pinnacle
2.42
Marathon Bet
2.39
+39.3pp
Lost
Delaware +1
80.6%
2.22
Bet365
2.22
-
-
-
-
+39.1pp
Lost
Delaware +2.5
83.6%
2.04
Pinnacle
2.15
Betano
2.10
Bet365
2.06
1xBet
1.87
-
+39.0pp
Lost
Delaware +3
85.2%
1.99
Pinnacle
2.06
Bet365
2.01
Marathon Bet
1.96
SBO
1.93
-
+38.7pp
Lost
Delaware +1.5
81.0%
2.11
Betano
2.18
Bet365
2.15
1xBet
1.99
-
-
+38.0pp
Lost
Delaware +3.5
85.4%
1.90
Pinnacle
1.96
Betano
1.95
Bet365
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.90
BetVictor
1.88
+36.5pp
Lost
Delaware +4
87.1%
1.83
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Bet
1.84
SBO
1.81
Bet365
1.80
-
+35.8pp
Lost
Delaware +4.5
87.4%
1.77
Betano
1.83
Pinnacle
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.77
SBO
1.75
Bet365
1.74
+33.5pp
Lost
Delaware +6.5
90.6%
1.60
1xBet
1.64
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.57
-
-
+32.9pp
Lost
Delaware +5
88.9%
1.71
Bet365
1.71
Pinnacle
1.71
-
-
-
+32.9pp
Lost
Delaware +7
91.8%
1.54
Bet365
1.54
-
-
-
-
+31.4pp
Lost
Delaware +5.5
89.1%
1.68
1xBet
1.72
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.66
Pinnacle
1.65
-
+31.0pp
Lost
Delaware +6
90.5%
1.60
Bet365
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
-
-
-
+30.6pp
Lost
Delaware +7.5
91.9%
1.51
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
+30.5pp
Lost
Delaware +8.5
93.1%
1.44
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
+28.9pp
Lost
Delaware +8
93.0%
1.45
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
-
+28.8pp
Lost
Delaware +9.5
94.1%
1.38
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
+27.2pp
Lost
Delaware +9
94.0%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+27.0pp
Lost
James Madison under 76
76.5%
1.84
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83
-
-
-
+26.2pp
Won
James Madison under 76.5
77.2%
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.88
Betano
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
+26.0pp
Won
James Madison under 77.5
79.9%
1.73
Pinnacle
1.74
Betano
1.72
-
-
-
+25.8pp
Won
James Madison under 75.5
74.2%
1.87
Betano
2.02
Pinnacle
1.94
BetVictor
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.83
+25.7pp
Won
Delaware +10
94.9%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+25.4pp
Push
James Madison under 74.5
71.0%
2.01
Betano
2.12
1xBet
1.90
-
-
-
+25.4pp
Won
Delaware +10.5
95.0%
1.33
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
+25.3pp
Won
Delaware +11
95.7%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+23.8pp
Won
Delaware +11.5
95.7%
1.28
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
+23.7pp
Won
Delaware over 72
73.8%
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.84
-
-
-
+23.7pp
Lost
James Madison under 78.5
82.4%
1.56
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.53
-
-
-
+23.6pp
Won
James Madison under 79.5
84.7%
1.51
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.50
-
-
+23.5pp
Won
James Madison under 75
73.3%
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
-
-
-
+23.3pp
Won
James Madison under 80.5
86.8%
1.42
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
-
+23.1pp
Won
Delaware over 71.5
74.7%
1.81
Marathon Bet
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Pinnacle
1.75
+20.7pp
Lost
Delaware over 73
70.3%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+20.3pp
Lost
Delaware over 72.5
71.4%
1.83
Bet365
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Betano
1.82
+20.3pp
Lost
Delaware +13.5
96.9%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+19.1pp
Won
Delaware over 70.5
77.7%
1.53
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.54
1xBet
1.50
-
-
+17.3pp
Lost
Delaware +18.5
98.6%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+12.5pp
Won
Delaware +23.5
99.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+9.8pp
Won
Overtime: no
96.2%
1.04
WilliamHill
1.05
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Won
Under 155.5
70.0%
1.42
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
+4.8pp
Won
Under 156.5
72.1%
1.37
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
+4.6pp
Won
Under 156
71.5%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+4.5pp
Won
Under 157
73.6%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+4.1pp
Won
Under 157.5
74.1%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+3.6pp
Won
Under 174.5
95.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.4pp
Won
Under 159.5
77.8%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+3.1pp
Won
Under 169.5
91.2%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Won
Under 164.5
85.6%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+1.8pp
Won
Over 124.5
91.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.2pp
Won
Delaware under 90.5
89.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.0pp
Won
Over 129.5
85.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-3.9pp
Won
Delaware under 88.5
85.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-5.7pp
Won
James Madison +21.5
86.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-6.8pp
Won
Over 134.5
77.6%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-7.4pp
Lost
James Madison over 58.5
84.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-7.7pp
Won
Delaware under 86.5
79.9%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-9.1pp
Won
James Madison over 59.5
82.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-10.1pp
Won
James Madison over 60.5
79.4%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-11.1pp
Won
Delaware under 84.5
73.8%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-12.8pp
Won
James Madison over 61.5
76.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-14.3pp
Won
James Madison +16.5
74.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-15.3pp
Won
James Madison over 62.5
73.3%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-15.4pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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