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Den Helder vs Circus Brussels Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 73-93
14-18 12-32 24-22 23-21
Position#16
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#5
Record2-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game76.8
EuropeBNXT League· Sporthal Sportlaan
Other2024-25
Meetings · Den Helder v Circus Brussels
12 Oct 2024
DEN 73
CIRC93
30 Apr 2024
DEN 57
CIRC62
23 Apr 2023
DEN 90
CIRC89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Den Helder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Circus Brussels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Den HelderLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHelder
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#9
L
61-98
61
98
-37
46avg 58
A05/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
66-78
66
78
-12
59avg 58
H11/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
65-82
65
82
-17
54avg 58
H20/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
66-89
66
89
-23
55avg 58
A27/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
57-62
57
62
-5
46avg 58
H30/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
75-94
75
94
-19
61avg 58
A03/05
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
75-64
75
64
+11
69avg 58
A13/09
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
79-80 OT
79
80
-1
70avg 58
H21/09
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
44-84
44
84
-40
37avg 58
A27/09
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
74-80
74
80
-6
62avg 58
A05/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
20-24
20-29
8-20
15-18
12-18
14-15
25-27
12-24
17-22
15-15
21-21
13-19
14-28
22-28
17-14
10-18
18-16
17-13
12-15
15-22
14-19
23-27
23-26
18-23
19-9
16-23
22-9
18-13
20-8
7-24
16-16
11-15
8-22
7-25
18-22
28-29
14-23
15-11
17-17
147.3Avg total
66.2Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.077.0145.0-9.025%
Season at home (1)79.080.0159.0-1.00%
Season away (3)64.376.0140.3-11.733%
Last 10 (10)66.281.1147.3-14.910%
Last 5 (5)69.480.4149.8-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)67.080.4147.4-13.421%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)74.080.0154.0-6.00%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#17
L
61-80
61
80
-19
46avg 73
A09/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
75-71
75
71
+4
74avg 73
H13/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
83-89
83
89
-6
78avg 73
A21/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
91-82
91
82
+9
91avg 73
H26/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
62-57
62
57
+5
62avg 73
A30/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
88avg 73
H03/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 73
A13/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
67avg 73
H18/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
67-65
67
65
+2
60avg 73
H25/09
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
81-84
81
84
-3
78avg 73
A29/09
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
15-20
14-21
13-20
24-21
22-16
14-15
15-19
20-27
27-24
19-18
17-20
20-21
28-20
15-24
28-17
18-10
16-18
13-17
15-12
18-27
20-13
22-19
21-22
21-16
14-21
21-16
25-23
19-24
12-18
14-23
27-17
19-14
20-21
13-13
15-17
26-22
24-23
16-17
15-22
154.2Avg total
76.6Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.276.8152.0-1.550%
Season at home (2)69.573.5143.0-4.050%
Season away (2)81.080.0161.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)76.677.6154.2-1.060%
Last 5 (5)78.879.4158.2-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.072.6139.6-5.60%
vs Similar (16)76.074.6150.6+1.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.777.6159.2+4.156%
This opponent (Den Helder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
Den HelderCircus Brussels
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Den HelderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#9
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A05/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H11/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H20/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A27/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H30/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A03/05
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A13/09
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H21/09
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
19-37
19
37
-18
A27/09
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A05/10
BNXT League
70.4Avg total
30.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.539.773.2-6.130%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.037.670.6-4.631%-
Last 30 away (17)33.941.275.2-7.329%-
Last 10 (10)30.939.570.4-8.620%-
Last 5 (5)33.036.669.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)33.239.172.3-5.932%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)42.052.094.0-10.00%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#17
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A09/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H13/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A21/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H26/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A30/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H03/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A13/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H18/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H25/09
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A29/09
BNXT League
79.7Avg total
40.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.377.2+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.936.776.6+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)39.837.977.7+1.940%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.579.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.878.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.634.670.2+1.060%-
vs Similar (16)39.236.775.9+2.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.339.983.2+3.444%-
This opponent (Den Helder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Den Heldertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Den Helder: 65.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.718.6
48.1%
52.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.76.2
26.2%
34.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws14.49.2
63.9%
71.9%9.2
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.4
52.6%
52.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.4
33.8%
34.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.614.6
74.5%
71.9%14.6
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Den Helder
LLLWLLLLLL
Circus Brussels
LWLWWWWLWL
#16
League position
#5
-21.1
Net rating
-1.4
88.5
Offensive rating
103.3
109.6
Defensive rating
104.6
44.7%
Effective FG%
51.9%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
22.0%
Turnover %
21.6%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.33
26.2%
3-point %
33.8%
50.8%
Assist %
60.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence88.5 · 103.3Defence109.6 · 104.6Shooting44.7% · 51.9%3-point %26.2% · 33.8%Ball care22.0% · 21.6%Off. rebounds29.9% · 30.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Den Helder   ■ Circus Brussels
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Den Helder wins
3
Circus Brussels wins
Den Helderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24ABAL Weert74-80
27/09/24ALimburg44-84
21/09/24HLeiden79-80 OT
13/09/24AAntwerp Giants75-64
03/05/24AOkapi Aalst75-94
30/04/24HCircus Brussels57-62
27/04/24AMechelen66-89
20/04/24HLeuven Bears65-82
11/04/24HBelfius Mons66-78
05/04/24ACircus Brussels61-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/24AZwolle81-84
25/09/24HAntwerp Giants67-65
18/09/24HOostende72-82
13/09/24ADen Bosch81-76
03/05/24HFeyenoord93-90 OT
30/04/24ADen Helder62-57
26/04/24HKortrijk91-82
21/04/24AQSTA Utd83-89
13/04/24HOkapi Aalst75-71
09/04/24ALWD Basket61-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Den Helder
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game68.079.064.3
Allowed / game77.080.076.0
Point differential-9.0-1.0-11.7
Avg total145.0159.0140.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%100%0%
Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game75.269.581.0
Allowed / game76.873.580.0
Point differential-1.5-4.0+1.0
Avg total152.0143.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk550100%99.078.8+20.2
2 Limburg440100%81.863.2+18.5
3 Oostende54180%86.873.8+13.0
4 Belfius Mons43175%82.575.5+7.0
5 Zwolle43175%83.083.8-0.8
6 Leuven Bears32167%74.769.0+5.7
7 Mechelen42250%80.281.5-1.2
8 Circus Brussels42250%75.276.8-1.5
9 Leiden42250%77.082.0-5.0
10 BAL Weert42250%81.089.0-8.0
11 Spirou Charleroi31233%85.077.3+7.7
12 LWD Basket31233%83.087.3-4.3
13 QSTA Utd31233%71.386.7-15.3
14 Antwerp Giants41325%72.275.2-3.0
15 Okapi Aalst41325%73.880.2-6.5
16 Donar Groningen41325%78.287.0-8.8
17 Den Helder41325%68.077.0-9.0
18 Den Bosch3030%84.389.0-4.7
19 Feyenoord3030%69.089.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Den Helder1412242373
Circus Brussels1832222193
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