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Den Helder vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 65-82
12-24 17-22 15-15 21-21
Position#20
Record5-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#11
Record12-16
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game77.9
EuropeBNXT League· Sporthal Sportlaan
Other2023-24
Meetings · Den Helder v Leuven Bears
31 Jan 2026
DEN 71
LEUV66
11 Jan 2025
DEN 65
LEUV91
20 Apr 2024
DEN 65
LEUV82
19 Mar 2023
DEN 77
LEUV87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Den Helder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Den HelderLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHelder
Date
Competition
Leiden
#5
L
60-86
60
86
-26
44avg 59
A10/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
77-74
77
74
+3
78avg 59
H17/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
82-73
82
73
+9
79avg 59
H02/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
61-87
61
87
-26
51avg 59
A08/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
79-98
79
98
-19
74avg 59
A16/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
69-81
69
81
-12
55avg 59
H23/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 59
A27/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
55-91
55
91
-36
43avg 59
H30/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
61-98
61
98
-37
46avg 59
A05/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
66-78
66
78
-12
59avg 59
H11/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
22-20
17-20
6-23
19-18
24-15
18-22
16-19
23-26
16-19
19-14
24-14
18-19
21-18
7-29
15-21
23-24
12-26
20-28
24-20
17-21
19-22
18-15
15-23
27-19
22-23
13-22
15-19
19-25
11-20
20-21
5-25
13-25
20-24
20-29
8-20
15-18
12-18
14-15
25-27
153.6Avg total
68.7Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)66.881.2148.0-14.321%
Season at home (12)66.078.7144.7-12.725%
Season away (12)67.783.7151.3-16.017%
Last 10 (10)68.784.9153.6-16.220%
Last 5 (5)65.686.2151.8-20.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)68.482.6151.0-14.224%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
L
73-87
73
87
-14
66avg 68
H14/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
86-76
86
76
+10
77avg 68
A17/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 68
H08/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
98-79
98
79
+19
102avg 68
H16/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 68
A23/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
71-63
71
63
+8
69avg 68
H27/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
85-71
85
71
+14
76avg 68
A30/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
71avg 68
H06/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
76-90
76
90
-14
64avg 68
A10/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
91-64
91
64
+27
91avg 68
H12/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
17-20
25-23
7-27
19-14
22-20
24-20
21-22
23-18
18-19
24-21
15-17
24-23
26-12
28-20
20-24
27-24
19-15
15-18
19-18
17-18
22-16
18-20
14-9
18-22
23-18
20-15
24-16
20-21
20-11
14-21
15-16
12-21
19-26
25-19
20-24
25-18
29-18
16-11
21-17
157.5Avg total
81.9Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.577.9154.5-1.443%
Season at home (15)77.176.5153.7+0.653%
Season away (13)75.879.5155.4-3.731%
Last 10 (10)81.975.6157.5+6.380%
Last 5 (5)80.472.8153.2+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)64.383.6147.9-19.30%
vs Similar (14)75.775.9151.6-0.243%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.272.7156.9+11.689%
This opponent (Den Helder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
Den HelderLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Den HelderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leiden
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A10/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H17/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H02/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A08/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A16/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H23/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A27/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H30/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A05/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H11/04
BNXT League
79.1Avg total
36.8Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.840.375.1-5.430%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.239.274.4-4.029%-
Last 30 away (16)34.541.275.7-6.731%-
Last 10 (10)36.842.379.1-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.043.078.0-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)34.940.175.0-5.331%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H14/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A17/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H08/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H16/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A23/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H27/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A30/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H06/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A10/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H12/04
BNXT League
79.5Avg total
42.4Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.738.976.6-1.248%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.837.477.2+2.469%-
Last 30 away (13)35.140.775.8-5.623%-
Last 10 (10)42.437.179.5+5.390%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.878.8+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.341.473.7-9.114%-
vs Similar (14)37.138.975.9-1.843%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.536.680.1+6.988%-
This opponent (Den Helder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Den Heldertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Den Helder: 67.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.717.6
49.3%
52.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.9
34.8%
33.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws13.08.8
67.7%
71.4%8.8
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.5
52.8%
52.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.5
37.8%
33.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.914.6
73.4%
71.4%14.6
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Den Helder
LLLLLLLWWL
Leuven Bears
WLWWWWWWWL
#20
League position
#11
-22.8
Net rating
+9.0
94.3
Offensive rating
111.8
117.1
Defensive rating
102.8
50.4%
Effective FG%
54.2%
59.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
23.1%
Turnover %
17.6%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.8%
3-point %
37.8%
55.7%
Assist %
65.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence94.3 · 111.8Defence117.1 · 102.8Shooting50.4% · 54.2%3-point %34.8% · 37.8%Ball care23.1% · 17.6%Off. rebounds26.3% · 30.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Den Helder   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Den Helder wins
3
Leuven Bears wins
DateGameScore
16/03/24Leuven Bears v Den Helder98-79
28/04/23Leuven Bears v Den Helder85-56
19/03/23Den Helder v Leuven Bears77-87
Den Helderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/24HBelfius Mons66-78
05/04/24ACircus Brussels61-98
30/03/24HMechelen55-91
27/03/24ABelfius Mons77-83
23/03/24HOkapi Aalst69-81
16/03/24ALeuven Bears79-98
08/03/24AKortrijk61-87
02/03/24HKortrijk82-73
17/02/24HQSTA Utd77-74
10/02/24ALeiden60-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/24HFeyenoord91-64
10/04/24AMechelen76-90
06/04/24HQSTA Utd79-76 OT
30/03/24ALWD Basket85-71
27/03/24HOkapi Aalst71-63
23/03/24AFeyenoord80-75
16/03/24HDen Helder98-79
08/03/24HCircus Brussels80-75
17/02/24AOkapi Aalst86-76
14/02/24HLimburg73-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Den Helder
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeWWLLL25%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %21%25%17%
Points / game66.866.067.7
Allowed / game81.278.783.7
Point differential-14.3-12.7-16.0
Avg total148.0144.7151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW43%
HomeWWWWW53%
AwayLWWWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %43%53%31%
Points / game76.577.175.8
Allowed / game77.976.579.5
Point differential-1.4+0.6-3.7
Avg total154.5153.7155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2624292%82.070.6+11.4
2 Den Bosch2318578%81.372.4+8.8
3 Antwerp Giants2620677%82.472.1+10.3
4 Leiden2216673%77.370.0+7.2
5 Limburg2617965%76.772.5+4.1
6 Spirou Charleroi26151158%73.174.4-1.3
7 Liege27151256%79.878.9+1.0
8 Zwolle22121055%75.270.6+4.6
9 Circus Brussels28141450%78.676.5+2.1
10 Mechelen28141450%77.976.7+1.2
11 Donar Groningen22101245%72.071.9+0.1
12 Leuven Bears28121643%76.577.9-1.4
13 Belfius Mons28121643%77.780.6-2.9
14 BAL Weert2291341%71.275.3-4.1
15 Kortrijk28101836%78.581.0-2.5
16 Feyenoord2481633%73.781.8-8.1
17 Okapi Aalst2891932%76.879.9-3.1
18 LWD Basket2471729%78.084.1-6.2
19 QSTA Utd2461825%72.579.5-7.0
20 Den Helder2451921%66.881.2-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Den Helder1217152165
Leuven Bears2422152182
← all games of the day
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