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Den Helder vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 65-91
14-19 12-19 21-20 18-33
Position#16
Record5-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#7
Record9-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game73.5
EuropeBNXT League· Sporthal Sportlaan
Other2024-25
Meetings · Den Helder v Leuven Bears
31 Jan 2026
DEN 71
LEUV66
11 Jan 2025
DEN 65
LEUV91
20 Apr 2024
DEN 65
LEUV82
19 Mar 2023
DEN 77
LEUV87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Den Helder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Den HelderLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHelder
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
68-99
68
99
-31
50avg 60
H02/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
64-96
64
96
-32
53avg 60
H09/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
77-91
77
91
-14
69avg 60
A16/11
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
75-66
75
66
+9
70avg 60
A29/11
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
91-79
91
79
+12
86avg 60
H01/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
83-94
83
94
-11
74avg 60
A07/12
BNXT League
Attacus
#11
W
90-69
90
69
+21
no box
A11/12
DBL Cup
Mechelen
#3
L
48-75
48
75
-27
30avg 60
H14/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
71-92
71
92
-21
56avg 60
A20/12
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#4
L
89-98 OT
89
98
-9
no box
H05/01
DBL Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
15-28
17-25
18-24
16-25
21-24
8-30
19-17
16-22
17-24
24-23
20-22
17-15
13-21
25-16
20-14
27-23
24-14
21-13
19-29
20-21
22-22
23-24
18-27
25-21
23-14
21-19
21-15
9-14
15-22
14-20
10-19
13-14
20-21
16-35
22-22
20-25
26-22
16-10
22-27
161.5Avg total
75.6Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)71.782.8154.5-11.131%
Season at home (7)71.784.3156.0-12.629%
Season away (9)71.781.7153.3-10.033%
Last 10 (10)75.685.9161.5-10.330%
Last 5 (5)76.285.6161.8-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)69.584.2153.7-14.719%
vs Similar (1)79.073.0152.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker (2)81.589.0170.5-7.50%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
68avg 70
H09/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 70
A13/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
81-97
81
97
-16
70avg 70
A16/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
73-69
73
69
+4
67avg 70
H01/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
60-70
60
70
-10
52avg 70
H07/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
93-85
93
85
+8
99avg 70
A15/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
90-85
90
85
+5
81avg 70
H20/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
74-57
74
57
+17
69avg 70
H26/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
A03/01
Belgian Cup
Mechelen
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
no box
H05/01
Belgian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
18-28
17-25
21-15
19-26
24-23
15-12
18-21
29-31
15-26
22-17
15-23
14-24
20-20
17-7
22-18
21-15
12-21
12-19
15-15
26-23
26-18
14-17
27-27
13-18
20-18
25-24
32-25
21-10
16-15
21-15
16-17
19-24
17-15
30-18
20-25
17-17
28-15
11-26
22-15
157.9Avg total
78.8Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.273.5151.8+4.856%
Season at home (8)79.469.4148.8+10.075%
Season away (8)77.177.6154.8-0.538%
Last 10 (10)78.879.1157.9-0.360%
Last 5 (5)84.276.4160.6+7.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.084.7154.7-14.70%
vs Similar (9)75.276.1151.3-0.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)81.169.9151.0+11.182%
This opponent (Den Helder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
Den HelderLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Den HelderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H02/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H09/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A16/11
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A29/11
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H01/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A07/12
BNXT League
Attacus
#11
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A11/12
DBL Cup
Mechelen
#3
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H14/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A20/12
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H05/01
DBL Cup
79.1Avg total
37.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.041.576.5-6.520%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.441.676.0-7.314%-
Last 30 away (16)35.641.476.9-5.825%-
Last 10 (10)37.741.479.1-3.720%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.277.8-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)33.741.274.9-7.619%-
vs Similar (1)39.039.078.0+0.00%-
vs Weaker (2)44.049.593.5-5.50%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H09/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A13/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A16/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H01/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H07/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A15/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H20/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H26/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A03/01
Belgian Cup
Mechelen
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H05/01
Belgian Cup
80.6Avg total
39.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.638.277.7+1.452%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.134.975.0+5.364%-
Last 30 away (15)39.041.380.3-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)39.641.080.6-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.634.675.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.048.785.7-11.70%-
vs Similar (9)38.141.179.2-3.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.834.875.5+6.071%-
This opponent (Den Helder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Den Heldertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Den Helder: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.619.1
44.8%
52.6%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.96.7
30.6%
34.1%20.1
🏀 Free throws18.613.0
69.9%
71.9%13.0
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.7
51.1%
52.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.6
34.4%
34.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.614.2
62.8%
71.9%14.2
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Den Helder
LLLWLWWLLL
Leuven Bears
WWWWWLWLLL
#16
League position
#7
-17.4
Net rating
+1.2
91.8
Offensive rating
103.3
109.2
Defensive rating
102.1
45.2%
Effective FG%
51.3%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
20.8%
Turnover %
21.1%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.6%
3-point %
34.4%
52.3%
Assist %
64.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.8 · 103.3Defence109.2 · 102.1Shooting45.2% · 51.3%3-point %30.6% · 34.4%Ball care20.8% · 21.1%Off. rebounds28.6% · 33.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Den Helder   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Den Helder wins
5
Leuven Bears wins
Den Helderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25HRotterdam89-98 OT
20/12/24AKortrijk71-92
14/12/24HMechelen48-75
11/12/24AAttacus90-69
07/12/24AOostende83-94
01/12/24HZwolle91-79
29/11/24ALeiden75-66
16/11/24ABelfius Mons77-91
09/11/24HOkapi Aalst64-96
02/11/24HAntwerp Giants68-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25HMechelen78-73
03/01/25AMechelen86-82
26/12/24HBAL Weert74-57
20/12/24HQSTA Utd90-85
15/12/24AFeyenoord93-85
07/12/24HBelfius Mons60-70
01/12/24HSpirou Charleroi73-69
16/11/24ALWD Basket81-97
13/11/24ADen Bosch76-82
09/11/24HOostende77-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Den Helder
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL31%
HomeWLLWL29%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %31%29%33%
Points / game71.771.771.7
Allowed / game82.884.381.7
Point differential-11.1-12.6-10.0
Avg total154.5156.0153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %6%14%0%
Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW56%
HomeLWLWW75%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%75%38%
Points / game78.279.477.1
Allowed / game73.569.477.6
Point differential+4.8+10.0-0.5
Avg total151.8148.8154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende1614288%90.377.0+13.3
2 Kortrijk1612475%96.080.0+16.0
3 Limburg1611569%81.373.6+7.7
4 Mechelen1611569%80.975.4+5.6
5 Circus Brussels1610662%75.875.2+0.5
6 Antwerp Giants148657%79.279.1+0.1
7 Spirou Charleroi169756%80.474.2+6.2
8 Leuven Bears169756%78.273.5+4.8
9 LWD Basket169756%80.981.6-0.6
10 Belfius Mons158753%80.678.3+2.3
11 Okapi Aalst168850%79.177.8+1.4
12 Leiden178947%76.880.6-3.8
13 Zwolle167944%82.686.4-3.8
14 Den Bosch156940%80.183.9-3.7
15 Donar Groningen145936%74.879.1-4.4
16 Feyenoord1551033%82.389.9-7.5
17 Den Helder1651131%71.782.8-11.1
18 QSTA Utd1621412%78.187.5-9.4
19 BAL Weert1621412%69.984.1-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Den Helder1412211865
Leuven Bears1919203391
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