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Denmark vs Croatia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-79
21-12 17-24 19-24 19-19
Position#79
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Croatia 🏆
Position#5
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game101.0
Allowed / game64.0
EuropeWorld Cup· Farum Arena
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denmark winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Croatia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDenmark
Date
Competition
Kosovo
#32
W
88-63
88
63
+25
no box
A05/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
52-72
52
72
-20
40avg 49
H21/11
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
51-98
51
98
-47
34avg 49
A24/11
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
60-62
60
62
-2
48avg 49
A21/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
L
77-83
77
83
-6
73avg 49
H24/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#75
W
89-71
89
71
+18
no box
H02/08
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
71-100
71
100
-29
no box
A09/08
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
79-70
79
70
+9
no box
A13/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
23-11
21-17
20-18
12-23
16-14
22-16
25-16
27-23
31-19
14-30
13-17
6-29
13-14
16-19
17-10
17-25
11-25
11-20
12-28
21-19
4-18
20-11
15-14
25-24
22-17
23-18
7-24
25-15
20-21
20-17
24-18
14-24
29-32
16-21
12-23
15-12
22-15
18-22
24-21
150.4Avg total
72.7Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.780.3160.0-0.767%
Season at home (1)89.071.0160.0+18.0100%
Season away (2)75.085.0160.0-10.050%
Last 10 (10)72.777.7150.4-5.040%
Last 5 (5)75.277.2152.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)64.686.9151.4-22.30%
vs Similar (10)72.673.0145.6-0.430%
vs Weaker (13)80.574.3154.8+6.269%
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCroatia
Date
Competition
Luxembourg
#38
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
A02/08
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
61-73
61
73
-12
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
92-63
92
63
+29
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
89-76
89
76
+13
84avg 85
H21/11
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
L
90-110
90
110
-20
no box
A24/11
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
80-83
80
83
-3
69avg 85
H21/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
104-67
104
67
+37
112avg 85
A24/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#75
W
101-68
101
68
+33
no box
A06/08
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
100-71
100
71
+29
no box
H09/08
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
102-53
102
53
+49
no box
H16/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-12
25-25
24-18
17-24
14-15
16-20
14-22
17-16
22-8
26-16
22-26
22-13
30-19
20-29
23-12
16-16
21-22
29-28
13-33
27-27
17-20
18-17
16-22
29-24
26-14
22-11
26-18
30-24
20-21
31-18
27-12
23-17
24-14
32-29
21-16
23-12
28-14
34-8
22-13
18-18
165.3Avg total
91.0Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)101.064.0165.0+37.0100%
Season at home (2)101.062.0163.0+39.0100%
Season away (1)101.068.0169.0+33.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.074.3165.3+16.770%
Last 5 (5)97.468.4165.8+29.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.684.6162.2-7.020%
vs Similar (6)86.089.2175.2-3.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.167.3154.4+19.884%
This opponent (Denmark) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.1+3.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.1+3.1
DenmarkCroatia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DenmarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kosovo
#32
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A05/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H23/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A26/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
19-43
19
43
-24
H21/11
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A24/11
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A21/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H24/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#75
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H02/08
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A09/08
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A13/08
World Cup
77.4Avg total
37.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.638.576.1-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.438.877.2-0.460%-
Last 30 away (15)36.838.275.0-1.440%-
Last 10 (10)37.739.777.4-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.478.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.946.379.1-13.40%-
vs Similar (10)34.235.669.8-1.440%-
vs Weaker (13)42.836.579.3+6.285%-
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luxembourg
#38
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A02/08
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A23/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H26/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H21/11
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A24/11
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H21/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A24/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#75
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A06/08
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H09/08
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
62-22
62
22
+40
H16/08
World Cup
84.0Avg total
48.0Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.036.578.5+5.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.234.479.6+10.873%-
Last 30 away (15)38.738.677.3+0.140%-
Last 10 (10)48.036.084.0+12.070%-
Last 5 (5)50.433.283.6+17.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.841.474.2-8.60%-
vs Similar (6)42.045.587.5-3.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.432.476.7+12.079%-
This opponent (Denmark) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denmarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denmark: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.1
51.0%
-36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.87.6
27.3%
-22.8
🏀 Free throws19.212.4
64.6%
-12.4
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Croatiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.3
55.3%
-36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.812.1
40.6%
-36.3
🏀 Free throws19.215.0
78.1%
-15.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denmark
WLWLLLLLWW
Croatia
WWWWLLWWLW
#79
League position
#5
-2.5
Net rating
+22.7
98.9
Offensive rating
120.4
101.4
Defensive rating
97.6
46.6%
Effective FG%
57.9%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
18.9%
Turnover %
15.9%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.3%
3-point %
40.6%
62.3%
Assist %
74.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Denmark   ■ Croatia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Denmark wins
1
Croatia wins
DateGameScore
09/08/25Croatia v Denmark100-71
Denmarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/08/25ANorway79-70
09/08/25ACroatia71-100
02/08/25HNorway89-71
24/02/25HFinland77-83
21/02/25AGeorgia60-62
24/11/24ASerbia51-98
21/11/24HSerbia52-72
26/02/24AFinland85-89
23/02/24HGeorgia75-69
05/08/23AKosovo88-63
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/08/25HNorway102-53
09/08/25HDenmark100-71
06/08/25ANorway101-68
24/02/25ACyprus104-67
21/02/25HFrance80-83
24/11/24ABosnia & Herzegovina90-110
21/11/24HBosnia & Herzegovina89-76
26/02/24HCyprus92-63
23/02/24AFrance61-73
02/08/23ALuxembourg91-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denmark
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game79.789.075.0
Allowed / game80.371.085.0
Point differential-0.7+18.0-10.0
Avg total160.0160.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Croatia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game101.0101.0101.0
Allowed / game64.062.068.0
Point differential+37.0+39.0+33.0
Avg total165.0163.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Croatia330100%101.064.0+37.0
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Switzerland108280%75.962.3+13.6
4 Ukraine43175%78.871.8+7.0
5 Romania86275%77.171.9+5.2
6 Hungary32167%82.066.7+15.3
7 Netherlands32167%72.072.3-0.3
8 Denmark32167%79.780.3-0.7
9 Austria85362%89.276.2+13.0
10 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
11 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
12 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
13 Bulgaria31233%77.782.3-4.7
14 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
15 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
16 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
17 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
18 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
19 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
20 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
21 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
22 North Macedonia3030%65.385.0-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 22 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denmark2117191976
Croatia1224241979
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