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Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 116-102
25-24 34-28 28-25 29-25
Position#3
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#20
Record-
FormLWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Chicago Bulls
11 Feb 2027
DEN v CHI
upcoming
17 Nov 2025
DEN127
CHI130
24 Mar 2025
DEN119
CHI129
04 Nov 2023
DEN123
CHI101
15 Oct 2023
DEN116
CHI102
08 Mar 2023
DEN96
CHI117
19 Nov 2021
DEN108
CHI114
19 Mar 2021
DEN131
CHI127
03 Apr 2020
DEN v CHI
upcoming
17 Jan 2019
DEN135
CHI105
30 Nov 2017
DEN111
CHI110
22 Nov 2016
DEN110
CHI107
05 Feb 2016
DEN115
CHI110
25 Nov 2014
DEN114
CHI109
21 Nov 2013
DEN97
CHI87
07 Feb 2013
DEN128
CHI96
26 Nov 2010
DEN98
CHI97
21 Nov 2009
DEN112
CHI93
23 Nov 2008
DEN114
CHI101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chicago Bulls winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
125-100
125
100
+25
122avg 111
A12/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
132-126
132
126
+6
130avg 111
H17/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
108-103
108
103
+5
104avg 111
H19/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
119-108
119
108
+11
114avg 111
A21/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
113-111
113
111
+2
106avg 111
A23/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
104-93
104
93
+11
106avg 111
H02/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
108-111
108
111
-3
105avg 111
H05/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
109-94
109
94
+15
116avg 111
A08/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
108-95
108
95
+13
102avg 111
A10/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 111
H13/06
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
44-26
37-25
22-25
22-24
37-25
35-29
34-38
26-34
27-27
21-26
28-26
32-24
32-20
26-35
26-27
35-26
28-34
30-39
36-16
19-22
29-20
30-22
25-21
20-30
23-26
34-25
26-24
25-36
24-24
29-24
29-20
27-26
20-21
35-30
31-22
22-22
22-24
22-27
26-20
24-18
215.0Avg total
112.0Scored
103.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)112.0103.0215.0+9.090%
Last 5 (5)104.696.4201.0+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)113.9108.4222.3+5.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)109.9104.2214.2+5.769%
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago BullsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBulls
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
112-124
112
124
-12
105avg 105
A28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
110-121
110
121
-11
103avg 105
H30/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
121-91
121
91
+30
114avg 105
A31/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
128-107
128
107
+21
119avg 105
H02/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
105-123
105
123
-18
85avg 105
H05/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
92-105
92
105
-13
86avg 105
A05/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
115-112
115
112
+3
111avg 105
A08/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
103-81
103
81
+22
89avg 105
H09/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
109-105
109
105
+4
96avg 105
A12/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
91-102
91
102
-11
82avg 105
A14/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-27
23-35
22-37
35-25
20-31
31-28
25-26
34-36
31-23
31-23
28-31
31-14
25-36
28-32
40-16
35-23
26-36
27-29
27-25
25-33
21-28
30-21
25-30
16-26
26-29
28-38
31-24
30-21
26-25
23-21
18-18
36-17
23-28
24-30
25-23
37-24
21-29
23-20
24-18
23-35
215.7Avg total
108.6Scored
107.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)108.6107.1215.7+1.550%
Last 5 (5)102.0101.0203.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (23)108.0108.4216.4-0.543%
vs Weaker (7)117.0105.1222.1+11.971%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +4.8+4.8
Denver NuggetsChicago Bulls
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
81-51
81
51
+30
A12/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H17/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H19/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A21/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A23/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H02/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H05/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A08/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A10/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H13/06
NBA
111.4Avg total
58.5Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.154.4110.5+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.552.1107.6+3.456%-
Last 30 away (14)56.857.0113.8-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)58.552.9111.4+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)53.648.6102.2+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)56.857.4114.2-0.535%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)55.250.5105.7+4.677%-
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago BullsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H30/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
62-46
62
46
+16
A31/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
53-68
53
68
-15
H02/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
53-65
53
65
-12
H05/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A05/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A08/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H09/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A12/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A14/04
NBA
108.8Avg total
51.9Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.052.9107.0+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.555.5110.0-1.043%-
Last 30 away (16)53.650.7104.3+2.956%-
Last 10 (10)51.956.9108.8-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)49.053.8102.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (23)52.553.6106.1-1.143%-
vs Weaker (7)59.050.7109.7+8.371%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.730.6
57.0%
54.4%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.9
36.9%
36.3%32.7
🏀 Free throws22.518.1
80.4%
78.2%18.1
They take 83.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chicago Bullstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chicago Bulls: 108.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.833.5
58.0%
54.4%67.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.0
30.3%
36.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.614.6
78.5%
78.2%14.6
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWLWWWWWW
Chicago Bulls
LWWWLLWWLL
#3
League position
#20
+9.4
Net rating
+1.5
117.5
Offensive rating
110.1
108.1
Defensive rating
108.5
56.4%
Effective FG%
53.7%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
11.1%
Turnover %
9.7%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
15.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.21
36.9%
3-point %
30.3%
63.1%
Assist %
57.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.5 · 110.1Defence108.1 · 108.5Shooting56.4% · 53.7%3-point %36.9% · 30.3%Ball care11.1% · 9.7%Off. rebounds24.2% · 15.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Chicago Bulls
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Denver Nuggets wins
3
Chicago Bulls wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/06/23HMiami Heat94-89
10/06/23AMiami Heat108-95
08/06/23AMiami Heat109-94
05/06/23HMiami Heat108-111
02/06/23HMiami Heat104-93
23/05/23ALos Angeles Lakers113-111
21/05/23ALos Angeles Lakers119-108
19/05/23HLos Angeles Lakers108-103
17/05/23HLos Angeles Lakers132-126
12/05/23APhoenix Suns125-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/23AMiami Heat91-102
12/04/23AToronto Raptors109-105
09/04/23HDetroit Pistons103-81
08/04/23ADallas Mavericks115-112
05/04/23AMilwaukee Bucks92-105
05/04/23HAtlanta Hawks105-123
02/04/23HMemphis Grizzlies128-107
31/03/23ACharlotte Hornets121-91
30/03/23HLos Angeles Lakers110-121
28/03/23ALos Angeles Clippers112-124

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Chicago Bulls
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets25342829116
Chicago Bulls24282525102
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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