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Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 01:00
Postponed
Position#7
Record47-22
FormLWLWL
Points / game110.3
Allowed / game106.9
vs
Position#22
Record24-46
FormWLLLW
Points / game106.9
Allowed / game109.8
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Chicago Bulls
11 Feb 2027
DEN v CHI
upcoming
11 Oct 2026
DEN133
CHI128
17 Nov 2025
DEN127
CHI130
14 Oct 2025
DEN124
CHI117
24 Mar 2025
DEN119
CHI129
04 Nov 2023
DEN123
CHI101
15 Oct 2023
DEN116
CHI102
08 Mar 2023
DEN96
CHI117
19 Nov 2021
DEN108
CHI114
19 Mar 2021
DEN131
CHI127
03 Apr 2020
DEN v CHI
upcoming
17 Jan 2019
DEN135
CHI105
30 Nov 2017
DEN111
CHI110
22 Nov 2016
DEN110
CHI107
05 Feb 2016
DEN115
CHI110
08 Oct 2015
DEN112
CHI94
25 Nov 2014
DEN114
CHI109
13 Jul 2014
DEN76
CHI103
21 Nov 2013
DEN97
CHI87
15 Jul 2013
DEN81
CHI93
07 Feb 2013
DEN128
CHI96
26 Nov 2010
DEN98
CHI97
21 Nov 2009
DEN112
CHI93
23 Nov 2008
DEN114
CHI101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Chicago Bulls win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
101-113
101
113
-12
A22/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
128-116
128
116
+12
H23/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
115-98
115
98
+17
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
103-132
103
132
-29
A29/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
133-118
133
118
+15
H01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
L
100-116
100
116
-16
H04/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
114-112
114
112
+2
A06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
102-104
102
104
-2
A08/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
109-95
109
95
+14
H10/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
L
97-113
97
113
-16
A12/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
31-21
29-30
24-35
43-38
30-27
24-22
31-29
29-23
30-23
23-26
33-26
27-37
29-29
23-32
24-34
40-32
33-37
27-27
33-22
25-26
33-23
23-33
19-34
31-34
29-17
20-31
34-30
33-23
28-35
22-27
19-19
39-24
23-30
14-17
33-24
29-33
21-24
35-27
12-29
221.9Avg total
110.2Scored
111.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)110.3106.9217.2+3.468%
Season at home (34)111.3105.3216.5+6.076%
Season away (35)109.3108.5217.8+0.960%
Last 10 (10)110.2111.7221.9-1.550%
Last 5 (5)104.4108.0212.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)121.2112.0233.2+9.275%
vs Similar (15)109.0109.7218.7-0.760%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)113.5110.6224.2+2.964%
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago BullsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#23
L
93-103
93
103
-10
H21/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
104-112
104
112
-8
H23/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
126-117
126
117
+9
H24/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
122-124
122
124
-2
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
L
115-125
115
125
-10
A29/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
109-107
109
107
+2
H03/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
L
108-115
108
115
-7
A05/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
102-108
102
108
-6
H07/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
107-110
107
110
-3
A08/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
108-103
108
103
+5
H11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-33
24-27
29-19
20-24
24-22
33-25
23-36
24-29
35-31
38-27
28-27
25-32
28-36
27-36
38-19
29-33
25-31
28-35
33-23
29-36
19-29
29-29
33-17
28-32
29-22
29-33
21-33
29-27
25-29
21-33
26-27
30-19
23-22
27-36
20-19
37-33
27-29
27-23
24-26
30-25
221.8Avg total
109.4Scored
112.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)106.9109.8216.7-2.834%
Season at home (37)106.9108.1215.1-1.241%
Season away (33)106.9111.6218.5-4.627%
Last 10 (10)109.4112.4221.8-3.030%
Last 5 (5)106.8108.6215.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)104.9114.2219.1-9.28%
vs Similar (15)109.5114.1223.6-4.533%
vs Weaker (3)114.7108.3223.0+6.3100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
Denver NuggetsChicago Bulls
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A22/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H23/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A29/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H04/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A08/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H10/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A12/03
NBA
116.3Avg total
60.0Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.456.0112.4+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.053.2111.2+4.864%-
Last 30 away (16)55.058.5113.5-3.538%-
Last 10 (10)60.056.3116.3+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)58.253.8112.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.562.8125.2-0.250%-
vs Similar (15)53.555.2108.7-1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)58.154.7112.8+3.473%-
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago BullsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#23
L
44-60
44
60
-16
H21/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H23/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
73-58
73
58
+15
H24/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
55-72
55
72
-17
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
L
53-66
53
66
-13
A29/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
L
48-58
48
58
-10
H03/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A05/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H07/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A08/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H11/03
NBA
112.6Avg total
53.8Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.658.1111.7-4.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.458.5111.9-5.133%-
Last 30 away (15)53.957.7111.5-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)53.858.8112.6-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)51.257.0108.2-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)50.657.6108.2-7.017%-
vs Similar (15)55.557.9113.5-2.440%-
vs Weaker (3)56.360.7117.0-4.367%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.432.1
57.9%
52.3%64.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.7
36.3%
35.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.213.9
76.4%
77.2%13.9
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chicago Bullstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chicago Bulls: 109.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.429.9
54.0%
52.3%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.412.2
35.5%
35.7%36.6
🏀 Free throws18.313.0
71.0%
77.2%13.0
They take 89.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLWLWLWWL
Chicago Bulls
WLLLWLLWLL
#7
League position
#22
-1.5
Net rating
-3.0
111.4
Offensive rating
108.6
113.0
Defensive rating
111.6
56.7%
Effective FG%
53.7%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.0%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.20
36.3%
3-point %
35.5%
62.6%
Assist %
56.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 108.6Defence113.0 · 111.6Shooting56.7% · 53.7%3-point %36.3% · 35.5%Ball care15.3% · 15.0%Off. rebounds23.2% · 26.0%Free throws0.21 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Chicago Bulls
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Denver Nuggets wins
1
Chicago Bulls wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/20ADallas Mavericks97-113
10/03/20HMilwaukee Bucks109-95
08/03/20ACleveland Cavaliers102-104
06/03/20ACharlotte Hornets114-112
04/03/20HGolden State Warriors100-116
01/03/20HToronto Raptors133-118
29/02/20ALos Angeles Clippers103-132
26/02/20HDetroit Pistons115-98
23/02/20HMinnesota Timberwolves128-116
22/02/20AOklahoma City Thunder101-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/20HCleveland Cavaliers108-103
08/03/20ABrooklyn Nets107-110
07/03/20HIndiana Pacers102-108
05/03/20AMinnesota Timberwolves108-115
03/03/20HDallas Mavericks109-107
29/02/20ANew York Knicks115-125
26/02/20HOklahoma City Thunder122-124
24/02/20HWashington Wizards126-117
23/02/20HPhoenix Suns104-112
21/02/20HCharlotte Hornets93-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL68%
HomeWWWLW76%
AwayLLWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693435
Win %68%76%60%
Points / game110.3111.3109.3
Allowed / game106.9105.3108.5
Point differential+3.4+6.0+0.9
Avg total217.2216.5217.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%35%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (20)57% (7)62% (13)
Overtime %9%6%11%
Chicago Bulls
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW34%
HomeWLWLW41%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703733
Win %34%41%27%
Points / game106.9106.9106.9
Allowed / game109.8108.1111.6
Point differential-2.8-1.2-4.6
Avg total216.7215.1218.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%14%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won41% (17)50% (10)29% (7)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks70581283%118.8107.2+11.6
2 Los Angeles Lakers69521775%113.7106.6+7.1
3 Toronto Raptors68482071%113.1107.0+6.1
4 Boston Celtics68472169%112.9105.7+7.2
5 Denver Nuggets69472268%110.3106.9+3.4
6 Los Angeles Clippers67442366%115.1109.6+5.5
7 Miami Heat70452564%112.4108.5+3.9
8 Houston Rockets69432662%118.5114.8+3.7
9 Oklahoma City Thunder67412661%110.4108.5+1.9
10 Philadelphia 76ers69422761%109.4106.6+2.8
11 Indiana Pacers69422761%109.9107.6+2.3
12 Utah Jazz68412760%111.2109.1+2.2
13 Dallas Mavericks72423058%115.8109.8+5.9
14 Memphis Grizzlies68333549%112.3113.7-1.5
15 New Orleans Pelicans69333648%116.9117.1-0.2
16 Brooklyn Nets67323548%110.5111.1-0.6
17 Orlando Magic71333846%105.9106.7-0.8
18 Sacramento Kings68303844%109.5111.2-1.7
19 Portland Trail Blazers70304043%113.5115.3-1.9
20 San Antonio Spurs68293943%112.5114.7-2.2
21 Phoenix Suns69284141%112.3113.6-1.3
22 Washington Wizards68264238%115.2118.7-3.5
23 Chicago Bulls70244634%106.9109.8-2.8
24 Charlotte Hornets70244634%102.9109.4-6.5
25 Detroit Pistons71234832%107.1110.8-3.7
26 New York Knicks70224831%105.7112.0-6.3
27 Minnesota Timberwolves68204829%113.1117.7-4.6
28 Atlanta Hawks72215129%110.6119.2-8.5
29 Cleveland Cavaliers68194928%106.2114.8-8.6
30 Golden State Warriors70175324%106.7115.1-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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