PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 123-101
23-22 28-31 35-21 37-27
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game113.2
Allowed / game105.3
vs
Position#20
Record2-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game105.7
Allowed / game112.2
USANBA· Ball Arena (Denver)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Chicago Bulls
11 Feb 2027
DEN v CHI
upcoming
17 Nov 2025
DEN127
CHI130
24 Mar 2025
DEN119
CHI129
04 Nov 2023
DEN123
CHI101
08 Mar 2023
DEN96
CHI117
19 Nov 2021
DEN108
CHI114
19 Mar 2021
DEN131
CHI127
03 Apr 2020
DEN v CHI
upcoming
17 Jan 2019
DEN135
CHI105
30 Nov 2017
DEN111
CHI110
22 Nov 2016
DEN110
CHI107
05 Feb 2016
DEN115
CHI110
25 Nov 2014
DEN114
CHI109
21 Nov 2013
DEN97
CHI87
07 Feb 2013
DEN128
CHI96
26 Nov 2010
DEN98
CHI97
21 Nov 2009
DEN112
CHI93
23 Nov 2008
DEN114
CHI101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chicago Bulls winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#10
L
108-111
108
111
-3
105avg 111
H05/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
109-94
109
94
+15
116avg 111
A08/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
108-95
108
95
+13
102avg 111
A10/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 111
H13/06
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
119-107
119
107
+12
115avg 111
H24/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
108-104
108
104
+4
99avg 111
A27/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
128-95
128
95
+33
135avg 111
A29/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
110-102
110
102
+8
110avg 111
H31/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
89-110
89
110
-21
73avg 111
A02/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
125-114
125
114
+11
126avg 111
H04/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
34-25
26-24
25-36
24-24
29-24
29-20
27-26
20-21
35-30
31-22
22-22
22-24
22-27
26-20
24-18
34-20
29-34
24-26
32-27
25-18
36-38
28-23
19-25
34-23
35-28
28-24
31-20
31-21
27-24
22-24
30-33
21-28
23-35
28-26
17-21
40-24
30-31
32-32
23-27
211.9Avg total
109.8Scored
102.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)113.2105.3218.5+7.883%
Season at home (3)118.0107.7225.7+10.3100%
Season away (3)108.3103.0211.3+5.367%
Last 10 (10)109.8102.1211.9+7.780%
Last 5 (5)112.0105.0217.0+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)116.1108.5224.5+7.673%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)109.9104.3214.1+5.673%
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago BullsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBulls
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
115-112
115
112
+3
111avg 104
A08/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
103-81
103
81
+22
89avg 104
H09/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
109-105
109
105
+4
96avg 104
A12/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
91-102
91
102
-11
82avg 104
A14/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
104-124
104
124
-20
91avg 104
H26/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
104-103 OT
104
103
+1
86avg 104
H28/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
102-118
102
118
-16
78avg 104
A28/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
112-105
112
105
+7
100avg 104
A30/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
105-114
105
114
-9
94avg 104
A02/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
107-109
107
109
-2
96avg 104
H04/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
28-38
31-24
30-21
26-25
23-21
18-18
36-17
23-28
24-30
25-23
37-24
21-29
23-20
24-18
23-35
35-33
20-28
27-30
22-33
24-18
18-17
23-33
28-25
26-29
18-28
33-27
25-34
27-30
26-25
25-28
34-22
23-26
27-23
33-32
22-33
30-35
28-24
22-19
27-31
212.5Avg total
105.2Scored
107.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)105.7112.2217.8-6.533%
Season at home (3)105.0112.0217.0-7.033%
Season away (3)106.3112.3218.7-6.033%
Last 10 (10)105.2107.3212.5-2.150%
Last 5 (5)106.0109.8215.8-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)108.0114.5222.5-6.550%
vs Similar (20)109.0110.2219.2-1.345%
vs Weaker (8)114.0105.0219.0+9.075%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
Denver NuggetsChicago Bulls
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#10
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H05/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A08/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A10/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H13/06
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H24/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A27/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
69-51
69
51
+18
A29/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H31/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
44-63
44
63
-19
A02/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H04/11
NBA
109.9Avg total
57.4Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.753.5111.2+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.150.3107.4+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)58.356.7115.0+1.560%-
Last 10 (10)57.452.5109.9+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)60.454.0114.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)59.156.7115.8+2.547%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)56.350.3106.6+5.987%-
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago BullsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A08/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H09/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A12/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A14/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H26/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H28/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A28/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A30/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A02/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H04/11
NBA
103.2Avg total
49.6Scored
53.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.754.3108.0-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.456.6111.1-2.243%-
Last 30 away (16)53.052.3105.3+0.750%-
Last 10 (10)49.653.6103.2-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)49.451.0100.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)54.058.0112.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (20)53.055.5108.5-2.445%-
vs Weaker (8)55.150.6105.8+4.562%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 109.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.733.1
58.4%
54.4%66.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.2
35.1%
36.3%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.213.0
71.4%
78.2%13.0
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chicago Bullstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chicago Bulls: 105.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.031.3
52.2%
54.4%62.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.1
30.1%
36.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.515.3
78.5%
78.2%15.3
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWWWWWWL
Chicago Bulls
LLWLWLLWWW
#3
League position
#20
+7.9
Net rating
-2.1
113.1
Offensive rating
105.8
105.1
Defensive rating
107.9
56.4%
Effective FG%
49.8%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
13.5%
Turnover %
10.9%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.1%
3-point %
30.1%
63.7%
Assist %
51.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 105.8Defence105.1 · 107.9Shooting56.4% · 49.8%3-point %35.1% · 30.1%Ball care13.5% · 10.9%Off. rebounds25.6% · 21.5%Free throws0.21 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Chicago Bulls
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Denver Nuggets wins
3
Chicago Bulls wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HDallas Mavericks125-114
02/11/23AMinnesota Timberwolves89-110
31/10/23HUtah Jazz110-102
29/10/23AOklahoma City Thunder128-95
27/10/23AMemphis Grizzlies108-104
24/10/23HLos Angeles Lakers119-107
13/06/23HMiami Heat94-89
10/06/23AMiami Heat108-95
08/06/23AMiami Heat109-94
05/06/23HMiami Heat108-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HBrooklyn Nets107-109
02/11/23ADallas Mavericks105-114
30/10/23AIndiana Pacers112-105
28/10/23ADetroit Pistons102-118
28/10/23HToronto Raptors104-103 OT
26/10/23HOklahoma City Thunder104-124
14/04/23AMiami Heat91-102
12/04/23AToronto Raptors109-105
09/04/23HDetroit Pistons103-81
08/04/23ADallas Mavericks115-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game113.2118.0108.3
Allowed / game105.3107.7103.0
Point differential+7.8+10.3+5.3
Avg total218.5225.7211.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chicago Bulls
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game105.7105.0106.3
Allowed / game112.2112.0112.3
Point differential-6.5-7.0-6.0
Avg total217.8217.0218.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics550100%126.4108.0+18.4
2 Denver Nuggets65183%113.2105.3+7.8
3 Golden State Warriors65183%117.5109.8+7.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers54180%116.6104.4+12.2
5 Dallas Mavericks54180%120.8115.8+5.0
6 Atlanta Hawks64267%122.8115.2+7.7
7 Orlando Magic64267%109.7103.5+6.2
8 New Orleans Pelicans64267%108.2111.0-2.8
9 Los Angeles Clippers53260%121.4109.2+12.2
10 Minnesota Timberwolves53260%109.299.6+9.6
11 Milwaukee Bucks53260%114.2118.6-4.4
12 San Antonio Spurs53260%115.0121.2-6.2
13 Brooklyn Nets63350%116.3116.0+0.3
14 Oklahoma City Thunder63350%116.0116.7-0.7
15 Indiana Pacers63350%120.3123.5-3.2
16 Los Angeles Lakers63350%111.8115.7-3.8
17 Portland Trail Blazers63350%105.0109.3-4.3
18 Sacramento Kings52340%113.2114.4-1.2
19 Houston Rockets52340%107.6111.2-3.6
20 Charlotte Hornets52340%116.0121.2-5.2
21 New York Knicks62433%103.3103.3+0.0
22 Detroit Pistons62433%110.0110.5-0.5
23 Phoenix Suns62433%110.7111.2-0.5
24 Toronto Raptors62433%104.5106.0-1.5
25 Miami Heat62433%107.3112.0-4.7
26 Cleveland Cavaliers62433%105.7110.8-5.2
27 Chicago Bulls62433%105.7112.2-6.5
28 Utah Jazz72529%111.6118.7-7.1
29 Washington Wizards51420%115.0125.2-10.2
30 Memphis Grizzlies6060%107.7117.5-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets23283537123
Chicago Bulls22312127101
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.